This hand was right at the end of the last day 1 flight (of 3) of the Melbourne Poker champs $240 buy in 100k guarantee. I lost the hand but I thought I made the right decision. What do you think? Was it too light with my stack size and time left to play?

So far 50-60 player through to day 2 from the first 2 flights. 5 min left in the last level of the day, so we might get 2-3 more hands in.

Stacks and reads:

Seat 1 - Empty
Seat 2 - 38,300 - Hero - Been pretty tight, 3 bet pre only a few of times all day once with KK and the others were AQ 2-3 times
Seat 3 - 70k - likes to call raises OOP with marginal hands
Seat 4 - >20k - this guys a Nit. Just awful, folded A10s face up to an open raise of 2.5BB with 6-8BB behind
Seat 5 - >20k - new to table, seems competent, waiting for the right spot. shove pre taken blinds and antes a couple times.
Seat 6 - 40-50k Good player, spewed early but doubled with big hands and settled
Seat 7 - 35-40 - Pretty tight, showed AA twice all in lost one won one.
Seat 8 - 70-80k -new relatively new to table but doubled with QQ and busted a short stack with QQ as well
Seat 9 - 50-60k - Chick 3 raising and 3 betting a lot but shown big hands every showdown.
Seat 10 - 16,600 - Villain - Has been pretty snug all the time at the table. showed Ac7c in a all in on flop race vs big stack 10,7 to double a couple hands prior. Other than that has shown A10, AJ after shoves with no callers. but had bee getting blinded out before he doubled.

Blinds are 1k, 2k 200 ante. last level of day 10min left (maybe 3-4 more hands max) as dealer is pitching the cards TD announces there will be 3 more hands for the day.

Button is on Seat 5.

Seat 8 - Fold
Seat 9 - Fold
Seat 10 - All In - 16,400
Seat 1 - Empty
Seat 2 - 7h7d - 38,300 calls leaving 21,700 behind (10.85BB or M=4.52 for this level, next level it will be 9BB or M=3.28)
Seat 3 - Fold
Seat 4 - Fold
Seat 5 - Fold
Seat 6 - Fold
Seat 7 - Fold.

Villain shows Ac5c
Hero shows 7h7d

Board
FLOP: T, J, Q rainbow
TURN: Ad
RIVER: 3

If I win the flip and fold the last 3 hands I'll have 55,900. Would start day 2 with 23BB or M=8.46

If I fold and fold the last 3 hands I'll have 37,700. Would start day 2 with 15.7BB or M=5.71

On the cards alone it worked out to be 65/35 my way pre 77 vs A5s so I was happy with that part of it, but I kept thinking that maybe I should have folded this spot and gone to day 2 with more chips and room to move.

Was my call too light when taking stack sizes into play?

 

Originally Posted by rungoodmuch

Do you post this same hand for strategy discussion if you hold?

Maybe not, but I'd probably ask if I folded too strong if I let it go. does that matter?

Regard less of whether it held or not, I'd like a bit more input than "nuff said"

It doesn't matter if it held if I did call too light, because if I make the same call next time I making a mistake if its the same/similar situation.

I'm trying to find out if I made the right decision once all factors are taken into account, I'm not crying over a lost flip.

This has to be a fold in mid position with your stack size.

If you took away the cards here and ran this scenario, I would think people would say TT+ would be a call/shove here. I don't want to be calling off about half my stack with 77 in this spot.

 

Originally Posted by C_Bomb

Maybe not, but I'd probably ask if I folded too strong if I let it go. does that matter?

Regard less of whether it held or not, I'd like a bit more input than "nuff said"

It doesn't matter if it held if I did call too light, because if I make the same call next time I making a mistake if its the same/similar situation.

I'm trying to find out if I made the right decision once all factors are taken into account, I'm not crying over a lost flip.

I can appreciate this response because you really are looking for insight on the hand and not crying about losing. With that said this spot sucks tbh I see why you posted this and it's pretty borderline considering your stack size (just under 20bbs) and position at the table. If I'm in later position I prob just reshove, but I think I probaly sigh fold here, bag and tag my 19bbs and look for a better spot on day 2.

I used the next levels blinds (only 3 hands left that day) to calculate M.

I could also have my formula wrong. M=BB + SS + 1 round of antes right?

Next level is 1200/2400 + 300ante

With 5 players behind, and only 3 hands left until the close of day 1, I think this is almost always a fold.

What are you going to do if seat 3, 6 or 7 reship on you? You have to call and look like a dunce when they roll JJ+

 

Originally Posted by Sagacious Man

So basically this spot is super thin and you can afford to pass.

Calling and winning still leaves you with an awkwardish stack.

Calling and losing leaves you crippled.

+1

i snap online but live donks are so damn tight that id probably fold.. cant really fault either way tho

Live it might be a borderline call. I always fold this here live though, especially with your read of him being a very snug player. You're either crushed or flipped against his range (since he is most likely not shoving 22-66 here), and you're in big trouble if someone behind you reshoves.

I probably reship 99+/AQ+ here though. AJ is a possibility too but definitely borderline.