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Live tourney Bubble hand

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  1. degenrat degenrat is offline

    Crosswicks, NJ
    United States

    Posts: 877
    Joined: Feb 06

    Apr 19th, 2007 (4/19/2007 10:44pm)

    $100 live tourney at the Taj in AC. 8 left, 6 pay.

    Payouts:
    1-1400
    2-750
    3-475
    4-325
    5-225
    6-175

    Blinds are 1500-3000 with a 500 ante.

    Stacks:

    P1-120000
    p2-20000
    p3-18000
    p4-17000
    p5-15000
    p6-10000
    sb-8000-hero
    bb-4000-villain

    Villain has said he will be all in this hand, and from the table talk and our read, knows how to play poker.

    folds to your SB. You have 37o. whats your play and why.
  2. mister class mister class is offline

    Montreal
    Canada

    Posts: 163
    Joined: Oct 06

    Apr 19th, 2007 (4/19/2007 10:47pm) in reply to degenrat

    i still fold... you cannot beat anything with this hand. you will need too much luck.
    Serge
  3. sharkzilla1 sharkzilla1 is offline

    Grand Blanc, MI
    United States

    Posts: 1,491
    Joined: Jul 06

    Apr 19th, 2007 (4/19/2007 10:55pm) in reply to degenrat

    blinds = 4500 total
    Antes = 4000 total

    So basically you would be calling 2500(since he has 1k behind) to win 8500. I'm assuming its 4k BEFORE posting his blind, if not regard this.

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 36.602% 33.72% 02.88% 8487091056 726015030.00 { 73o }
    Hand 1: 63.398% 60.51% 02.88% 15231747684 726015030.00 { random }

    I guess this would make it a call assuming you arent playing to just slip into cash. Over 3:1 and not even 2:1 dog.

    The more I think about it my math may be flawed, but still I think you gambool
  4. degenrat degenrat is offline

    Crosswicks, NJ
    United States

    Posts: 877
    Joined: Feb 06

    Apr 19th, 2007 (4/19/2007 10:57pm) in reply to sharkzilla1

    even though you are crippled if you lose? i think its an easy play if you have a few more chips, but being short and haveing the table be relatively short as well i think it's a tough spot.
    Thread Starter
  5. mister class mister class is offline

    Montreal
    Canada

    Posts: 163
    Joined: Oct 06

    Apr 19th, 2007 (4/19/2007 10:58pm) in reply to sharkzilla1

    the way you look at it... not a bad call, you are right
    Serge
  6. sharkzilla1 sharkzilla1 is offline

    Grand Blanc, MI
    United States

    Posts: 1,491
    Joined: Jul 06

    Apr 19th, 2007 (4/19/2007 11:00pm) in reply to degenrat

    If you fold you lose all fold equity and have 1 more orbit at that. Like I said if you are playing to slip into cash then idk what is right, but if you want to win I think you have to toss it in. This is assuming he has 1k behind and 4k was before he posted his bb.
  7. MattyDaCobra MattyDaCobra is offline

    Ensenada
    Mexico

    Posts: 2,131
    Joined: Oct 06

    Apr 20th, 2007 (4/20/2007 2:13am) in reply to sharkzilla1

    Stop and go. He'll call you pre with any two. Less likely to on flop, which he'll miss 2/3 of the time.
     
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