Check out our brand new Local Poker Communities! Get updates and interact with poker players in your area.
Visit the United States Poker Community | Visit the California Poker Community | Read more about the Launch of P5s Local

FOR THE MATHMAGICIANS

Reply to Thread
  1. youngcash youngcash is offline

    SD
    United States

    Posts: 100
    Joined: Sep 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 9:22am)

    SO IM PLAYIN A 48+4 6 MAX SNG, HU PLAY BEGINS IVE GOT 3K AND HE HAS 6K, I EVENTUALLY TAKE CL WITH EASY BUTTON STEALS AND MUCKS TO MY BB AGAINST A VERY VERY WEAK PLAYER, ANYWAYS TO GET TO THE POINT, I HAVE HIM IN ALL IN 8X'S, 6X'S I WAS 51-60% FAV, THE OTHER 2 I WAS NO WORSE THEN 60/40. THE ODDS OF HIM WINNING ALL EIGHT HAVE TO BE IN THE MILLIONS? BRING OUT THE MATH WIZARDS OUT OF DA WOOD WORK. GL 2DAY P5'ERS
  2. EvertonYorkie EvertonYorkie is offline

    United Kingdom

    Posts: 17
    Joined: Apr 08

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 9:25am) in reply to youngcash

  3. Do_Wha Do_Wha is offline

    Philadelphia, PA
    United States

    Posts: 194
    Joined: Oct 07

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 9:27am) in reply to youngcash

    he's no better than 1 out of 500, but likely worse than that
  4. youngcash youngcash is offline

    SD
    United States

    Posts: 100
    Joined: Sep 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 9:35am) in reply to Do_Wha

    HOW DO YOU ADD IN THE 6 TIMES I WAS ALL IN WITH 51-60% TO THE ACTUALLY ODDS OF HIM WINNING ALL 8? AND ADD THE 2 NO WORSE THEN 40/60%?
    Thread Starter
  5. YULivin4 YULivin4 is offline

    Carol Stream, IL
    United States

    Posts: 964
    Joined: Apr 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:05am) in reply to youngcash

    caps lock OFF
  6. theslackman theslackman is offline

    Grangemouth
    United Kingdom

    Posts: 307
    Joined: Apr 08

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:07am) in reply to youngcash

    Not as rare as you seem to think. Can't be calculated unless you have the exact equity for each pot, and even then I couldn't be bothered. Just a quick run if they went in w. the same equity every time.

    If he has 40% equity in each pot this becomes: 0.4^8 = one in 1526.

    If he has 50% equity in each pot this becomes: 0.5^8 = one in 256.

    If he has 60% equity in each pot this becomes: 0.6^8 = one in 59.5.

    If you are really that bothered then just multiply the equities he had in each of the pots together and you will get your answer.
  7. doug0713 doug0713 is offline

    Chesterfield, VA
    United States

    Posts: 145
    Joined: Mar 07

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:08am) in reply to youngcash

     
    Originally Posted by youngcash View Post

    SO IM PLAYIN A 48+4 6 MAX SNG, HU PLAY BEGINS IVE GOT 3K AND HE HAS 6K, I EVENTUALLY TAKE CL WITH EASY BUTTON STEALS AND MUCKS TO MY BB AGAINST A VERY VERY WEAK PLAYER, ANYWAYS TO GET TO THE POINT, I HAVE HIM IN ALL IN 8X'S, 6X'S I WAS 51-60% FAV, THE OTHER 2 I WAS NO WORSE THEN 60/40. THE ODDS OF HIM WINNING ALL EIGHT HAVE TO BE IN THE MILLIONS? BRING OUT THE MATH WIZARDS OUT OF DA WOOD WORK. GL 2DAY P5'ERS

    Let's assume you were 55% to win the first 6 and 60% to win the last two, then villain's percentage to win all 8 is:

    (.45)^6 * (.4)^2 = .00133

    This is about 752:1 odds.
  8. youngcash youngcash is offline

    SD
    United States

    Posts: 100
    Joined: Sep 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:30am) in reply to doug0713

    ty,TY
    Thread Starter
  9. LokiToki LokiToki is offline

    Spain

    Posts: 920
    Joined: Nov 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:31am) in reply to EvertonYorkie

     
    Originally Posted by EvertonYorkie View Post


    LOL
  10. Cuthroat187 Cuthroat187 is offline

    Norwalk, CT
    United States

    Posts: 1,951
    Joined: Jun 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:31am) in reply to youngcash

    divide that shit by pie nucka
  11. youngcash youngcash is offline

    SD
    United States

    Posts: 100
    Joined: Sep 06

    Feb 14th, 2009 (2/14/2009 10:42am) in reply to Cuthroat187

    DIANA ROSS NUCKA
    Thread Starter
Reply to Thread