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So this is prob my biggest leak, I think. Overplaying mid pairs 77-TT w/ 20-30BB stack. I don't think it's profitable to set mine so I tend to just ship the money in. Is this wrong? Here's an example:
Edited By: Limo Wreck Jun 4th, 2010 at 05:25 AM
Full Tilt Poker Game #21350739028: The Fifty-Fifty (161404225), Table 53 - 120/240 Ante 25 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:51:29 ET - 2010/06/03
Seat 1: cashinnow111 (3,925)
Seat 2: dznutz161 (7,642)
Seat 3: Crisp86 (3,200)
Seat 4: Stockoption4 (4,045)
Seat 5: bowser125 (6,370)
Seat 6: lilfishy897 (3,976)
Seat 7: gobleegooblee (14,855)
Seat 8: BigHuddy (5,315)
Seat 9: Limo Wreck (6,082)
cashinnow111 antes 25
dznutz161 antes 25
Crisp86 antes 25
Stockoption4 antes 25
bowser125 antes 25
lilfishy897 antes 25
gobleegooblee antes 25
BigHuddy antes 25
Limo Wreck antes 25
BigHuddy posts the small blind of 120
Limo Wreck posts the big blind of 240
The button is in seat #7
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Limo Wreck [8s 8d]
cashinnow111 has 15 seconds left to act
cashinnow111 folds
dznutz161 raises to 720
Crisp86 folds
Stockoption4 folds
bowser125 folds
lilfishy897 folds
gobleegooblee folds
BigHuddy folds
Limo Wreck has 15 seconds left to act
Limo Wreck raises to 6,057, and is all in
dznutz161 calls 5,337
Limo Wreck shows [8s 8d]
dznutz161 shows [Jc Jd]
*** FLOP *** [7h 2s 5c]
*** TURN *** [7h 2s 5c] [9c]
*** RIVER *** [7h 2s 5c 9c] [3h]
Limo Wreck shows a pair of Eights
dznutz161 shows a pair of Jacks
dznutz161 wins the pot (12,459) with a pair of Jacks
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 12,459 | Rake 0
Board: [7h 2s 5c 9c 3h]
Seat 1: cashinnow111 folded before the Flop
Seat 2: dznutz161 showed [Jc Jd] and won (12,459) with a pair of Jacks
Seat 3: Crisp86 folded before the Flop
Seat 4: Stockoption4 folded before the Flop
Seat 5: bowser125 folded before the Flop
Seat 6: lilfishy897 folded before the Flop
Seat 7: gobleegooblee (button) folded before the Flop
Seat 8: BigHuddy (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 9: Limo Wreck (big blind) showed [8s 8d] and lost with a pair of Eights
My thinking is, I'm going to fold out a lot of his broadway coinflipping range, I'm going to be racing AK a lot, dominated some, and ahead some, but it's high variance. Is there a better way to play? I considered on this specific hand flat calling and donking safe flops, but then I have to fold to shoves. Doesn't seem that good either. This is my biggest road block right now.
Please if you comment provide a thought process, short answers aren't useful. -
This raise is coming from a player sitting in EP, so I think we really have to give him credit for some sort of hand. Obv the worst he's showing up with here is AQ and the obv AK. I actually dont mind flatting since it looks like your sitting in the big blind, so why not set mine here? Really easy fold postflop when we dont hit our 8, but I think we also have to be willing to fold flopped draws- we're ONLY going for the 8 here.
Edited By: Donnie2005.2 Jun 4th, 2010 at 05:35 AM
By shoving we're getting called by 99+ AQ/AK, and the occasional donk AJ, but thats the very very bottom of someones raise/calling range imo. Shoving here is definitely not a good play at all. The raises from speculative hands like 78s and JQs here are going to fold, so shoving is just pushing out the only real hands that dont have us beat preflop. (this + we have to factor in that the original raiser started with 31 bbs- this guy shouldnt be raising odd hands from EP) Folding isnt terrible, but I'm def still ok with flatting for our 8. When we miss we're still left with 22 bbs, and thats definitely a stack we can still play with imo -
New to table no reads on this hand.
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If you plan on continuing with this hand then you should be 3bet/calling and not open shoving, you have too much to be open shoving and he is never calling worse pairs or hands you dominate when he calls. When called you are basically hoping to see AK, and even there your still a small favorite. When you just open jam this stack his calling range is probably like JJ+,AQs,AK and maybe a tiny bit wider depending on the player. If you had a 12-17 bb stack then you would be more inclined to just open shove b/c his calling range is much wider against that stacksize anyway. But with this particular stacksize, by 3bet/calling you allow your opponent to widen their 4betting range making your 88 play better.
Edited By: OneTime_10 Jun 4th, 2010 at 05:53 AM -
Thanks for the thoughtful replies guys.
OneTime do you think that's better than folding or set mining. Personally I think set mining is not going to be profitable as I'm going to have to fold a lot when I'm ahead and stacks aren't deep enough to have good implied odds when I hit.
Maybe a smallish 3bet that looks like it will fold to a shove. I just don't like folding quality hands when I'm playing to win. But maybe folding is best and wait for a better spot. -
it's not gonna make much of a difference, if anything this is worse. He might call lighter against a shove than 4bet u light since he's opening 3x utg, it makes little sense for you to bet 3bet/folding to him, so why would he 4bet u light. By 3betting with the appearance of f/e, you make your hand look too strong. And if u get flatted, with 88's and oop. U r gonna hate life.
Originally Posted by OneTime_10
If you plan on continuing with this hand then you should be 3bet/calling and not open shoving, you have too much to be open shoving and he is never calling worse pairs or hands you dominate when he calls. When called you are basically hoping to see AK, and even there your still a small favorite. When you just open jam this stack his calling range is probably like JJ+,AQs,AK and maybe a tiny bit wider depending on the player. If you had a 12-17 bb stack then you would be more inclined to just open shove b/c his calling range is much wider against that stacksize anyway. But with this particular stacksize, by 3bet/calling you allow your opponent to widen their 4betting range making your 88 play better.
Also in this particular spot, I don't even mind folding -
Part of the reason for my shove was to rep AK, which I think is going to get called by hands that I dominate enough to balance the times that I'm dominated. Also, it helps to eliminate tricky decisions post flop. I'm not saying it's right, just the thoughts I had.
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Edited By: OneTime_10 Jun 4th, 2010 at 06:51 AMI never said I did not like folding. I said "If you plan on continuing with this hand, then 3bet/calling is better than shoving." Maybe how I explained it was a little off but theres no way that shoving>3bet/calling.Originally Posted by darkhawk-200
it's not gonna make much of a difference, if anything this is worse. He might call lighter against a shove than 4bet u light since he's opening 3x utg, it makes little sense for you to bet 3bet/folding to him, so why would he 4bet u light. By 3betting with the appearance of f/e, you make your hand look too strong. And if u get flatted, with 88's and oop. U r gonna hate life.
Also in this particular spot, I don't even mind folding -
why arent we shoving every hand then??? but ya dude, this dude potted from EP, with ur stack wedging here is a big leak IMO with 88. just fold here, then its on to the next one
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I'm really thinking, yes folding here is the best option. Not profitable, but the least unprofitable. I have enough chips to wait for better spots.
Thanks guys.










