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Odds Question

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  1. Tokyo Joe Tokyo Joe is offline

    Posts: 37
    Joined: Dec 05

    Dec 31st, 2005 (12/31/2005 11:45am)

    My friend and I play at a local bar on Friday nights. There are many who are fish there. We got talkin about a math problem related to last night's game. Im no good at the math.

    If you wind up all in pre flop with A-Ko against 7-2o three consecutive times, covered all three times, what are your odds of being alive at the end of the third showdown?

    1st showdown- (YOU)67% vs. 33% (covered)
    2nd showdown- (YOU)67% vs.33% (covered)
    3rd showdown- (YOU)67% vs. 33% (covered)

    What are your chances of being alive now?
  2. gamblingfun gamblingfun is offline

    Johnson City, TN
    United States

    Posts: 2,876
    Joined: Aug 05

    Dec 31st, 2005 (12/31/2005 11:50am) in reply to Tokyo Joe

    .67x.67x.67=about 30%

    well thats the % you will win all 3.. is that what ur asking? Im not sure
  3. Tokyo Joe Tokyo Joe is offline

    Posts: 37
    Joined: Dec 05

    Dec 31st, 2005 (12/31/2005 12:57pm) in reply to gamblingfun

    Thank you for the response. Yes, I wanted to know what is the percentage that you will still be alive after the 3rd all in. The answer is 1 out of 3 times I take it.

    Thank you.
    Thread Starter
  4. fallaway fallaway is offline

    Charlotte, NC
    United States

    Posts: 141
    Joined: Aug 05

    Dec 31st, 2005 (12/31/2005 1:02pm) in reply to Tokyo Joe

    This of course assumes that one of the first two double ups does not leave you with a bigger stack than what you are facing in later hands.
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