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Play for the bubble or play for the stack?

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  1. BoltAction BoltAction is offline

    Lakeland, FL
    United States

    Posts: 3
    Joined: Dec 05

    Mar 27th, 2009 (3/27/2009 11:32pm)

    $15 invested, pays top 36 - with $38 for first few spots and $1750 for the win. 42 remain and I am in 30th place. Player to my left has been stealing when he can. UB pro to my right in the big blind. I have changed the names of those involved. My goal of course is to cash with final table money. What do you think? Overplayed AK? Just unlucky? Or should I fold and consider the bubble, make the money first, and then try to build the stack?

    tage #1556693584 Tourney ID 4220685 Holdem Multi Normal Tournament No Limit 2000 - 2009-03-27 22:38:28 (ET)
    Table: 13 (Real Money) Seat #2 is the dealer
    Seat 1 - (11102 in chips)
    Seat 2 - BLIND Stealer (34403 in chips)
    Seat 3 - BOLTACTION (26425 in chips)
    Seat 4 - UB pro (23290 in chips)
    Seat 5 - (224683 in chips)
    Seat 7 - (67990 in chips)
    Seat 8 - (50054 in chips)
    Seat 9 - (120327 in chips)
    - Ante 200
    - Ante 200
    BOLTACTION - Ante 200
    - Ante 200
    - Ante 200
    - Ante 200
    - Ante 200
    - Ante 200
    BOLTACTION - Posts small blind 1000
    UB Pro - Posts big blind 2000
    *** POCKET CARDS ***
    Dealt to BOLTACTION [Kc Ah]
    - Folds
    - Folds
    - Folds
    - Folds
    - Folds
    Blind Stealer - All-In(Raise) 34203 to 34203
    BOLTACTION - All-In 25225
    UB Pro - Folds
    Blind Stealer- returned (7978) : not called
    *** FLOP *** [8s 9d 7d]
    *** TURN *** [8s 9d 7d] [2h]
    *** RIVER *** [8s 9d 7d 2h] [10d]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Blind Stealer- Shows [Jd 9h] (Straight, seven to jack)
    BOLTACTION - Shows [Kc Ah] (ace high)
    Blind Stealer Collects 56050 from main pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total Pot(56050)
    Board [8s 9d 7d 2h 10d]
    Seat 1: MADPOKHER Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 2: Blind Stealer (dealer) won Total (56050) All-In HI:(56050) with Straight, seven to jack [Jd 9h - P:Jd,B:10d,P:9h,B:8s,B:7d]
    Seat 3: BOLTACTION (small blind) HI:lost with ace high [Kc Ah - P:Ah,P:Kc,B:10d,B:9d,B:8s]
    Seat 4: UB pro (big blind) Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 5: Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 7: Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 8: Folded on the POCKET CARDS
    Seat 9: Folded on the POCKET CARDS
  2. MYBLUEDOG MYBLUEDOG is offline

    Greenville, MS
    United States

    Posts: 1,999
    Joined: May 07

    Mar 28th, 2009 (3/28/2009 4:14am) in reply to BoltAction

    FTW, I don't know anyone who's folding in your situation versus a player that plays any two cards.

    You had him pegged correctly.

    Let's just say BS has a little discipline and only plays the 50% range as shown here on my poker stove. You are so far ahead it's a gr8 match up. Being ahead doesn't mean you'll win. I like the call with AKo.

    equity win
    BOLTACTION: 64.936% { AhKc }
    Blind Stealer: 35.064% {50% range -> 33+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J4s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, A2o+, K5o+, Q7o+, J7o+, T7o+, 98o }
  3. Ajint Orange Ajint Orange is offline

    CT
    United States

    Posts: 253
    Joined: Feb 09

    Mar 28th, 2009 (3/28/2009 11:08am) in reply to MYBLUEDOG

    Playing to make the money is super weak.

    How many times would you have to sneak into the money to make up for the one time you win this thing by playing to win?
  4. BoltAction BoltAction is offline

    Lakeland, FL
    United States

    Posts: 3
    Joined: Dec 05

    Mar 28th, 2009 (3/28/2009 2:36pm) in reply to BoltAction

    Thanks for the input.
    Thread Starter
  5. titojuante titojuante is offline

    Saint Louis, MO
    United States

    Posts: 77
    Joined: Mar 09

    Mar 29th, 2009 (3/29/2009 8:09pm) in reply to BoltAction

    I personally think right before the bubble busts is a good time to play a little more agressive. There are many players out there that fold great hands just because they are waiting for the bubble to bust amd do not want to take the chance of loosing a "sure thing". I am not saying anything about making stupid calls, but you had every right to make this call. The board was unkind, but i believe you called it right.
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