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Pocket aces 3 times in a row! What are the odds?

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  1. dbarns dbarns is offline

    Woburn, MA
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    Sep 7th, 2006 (9/7/2006 11:45pm)

    I just got pocket aces on 3 consecutive hands playing $30/$60 Limit on stars.

    Needless to say 2/3 of the table took off and the game broke 2 hands later.

    i mean i have gone whole nights without picking up bullets, just wondering if this is a 1st.
  2. NetFan44 NetFan44 is online now

    New York City, NY
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    Sep 7th, 2006 (9/7/2006 11:59pm) in reply to dbarns

    (4/52*3/51) ^ 3

    (getting 1 ace, then another) ^ (3 hands in a row)

    whatever that number equals
  3. gambler2k4 gambler2k4 is offline

    Columbus, OH
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 12:07am) in reply to NetFan44

    happend to me the other day 5/10 NL at partypoker.

    what are the odds of not getting action on all three hands?
     
  4. deadmoney_18 deadmoney_18 is offline

    Chicago, IL
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 12:08am) in reply to gambler2k4

    Depends upon how gay your table is.
  5. jhill3535 jhill3535 is offline

    Russellville, AR
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 12:12am) in reply to dbarns

    roughly 0.00000009265 or 0.000009265% or 1 in 10,793,308 sets of 3 hands.
     
  6. clizzark clizzark is offline has cockbreath

    Muskogee, OK
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 12:13am) in reply to jhill3535

    50/50. It either happens or it doesn't
  7. Maits10 Maits10 is offline

    Scottsdale, AZ
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 12:28am) in reply to clizzark

    Fuck. Clizzark beat me to it LOL.
  8. P.Mason P.Mason is offline

    Las Vegas, NV
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 1:25am) in reply to dbarns

    It happened to me once at the Mirage about ten years ago in a 6/12 limit game.
    Did someone post the odds? Wouldn't it be something like 220 cubed? Not sure how to figure that.
  9. KJack9 KJack9 is offline

    Tinley Park, IL
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 7:25am) in reply to dbarns

    About a week ago I was 4 tabling stud and I got rolled up trips 5 times in 30 hands! no lie
  10. KJack9 KJack9 is offline

    Tinley Park, IL
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 7:27am) in reply to dbarns

    Soon after I went on the worst losing streak of my career. lol
  11. FouTight FouTight is offline international super spy

    Ottawa
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 8:39am) in reply to dbarns

    I got AA 3 times in a row in a 3$rebuy.......... from 3k chips ---> 24k in no time :P There was always at least 1 other player allin b4 it got to me... and they held 3 times in a row... maybe pokerstars was broken during that time, i dunno lol

    Good times...
    518  
  12. mbardsen mbardsen is offline

    Holmenkollen
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 8:43am) in reply to FouTight

    I had it 8 times last night over 3 hours of 3 tabling and they held every time too!
  13. idareyouAA idareyouAA is offline

    Los Angeles, CA
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 10:36am) in reply to mbardsen

    I've sat down in a 6-max NL cash game and my very first two hands were AA, and I took 2/3 a guys stack on the first one and the rest of his stack on the next one.
  14. An Actuary An Actuary is offline

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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 1:56pm) in reply to NetFan44

    I'm going to disagree with this. If the question was... what is the probability of getting pocket AA on these particular hands (ie: the first three hands of a SnG or something where before the event happens you are indicating the three hands), then the math above is correct.

    However, when you're looking at it over the course of a session or a lifetime even, then you really start counting the number of pocked AA in a row AFTER you have received your first AA. So the real probability becomes (1/221)^2.
  15. jhill3535 jhill3535 is offline

    Russellville, AR
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    Sep 8th, 2006 (9/8/2006 2:37pm) in reply to An Actuary

    I know you are an actuary, but it really doesn't matter. He is correct and you are correct.

    In 10mil sets of 3 hands you should get AA 3 times in a row at some point, and for that matter 22 3 times in a row, and it is the same odds to get AA followed by KK followed by 22.

    Your way is correct in that after the first hand you ask what are the odds that my next two hands will be AA also.

    Just like in most cases dealing with odds, it can be manipulated based off of what the real question is?
     
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