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hello everyone, i have some trouble with my push-or-fold decisions in sngs.
after my sessions, i alsways check my decisions with the sng-wizard. it seems i push too lose. here an example in which the wizard tells me to fold. i have 8 bb left and utg calls. with my 44 i would normally push here, even though its a very low pair. too lose? i would be thankful for your opinions.
ps:the limper has about 40% vp$ip
Full Tilt Poker Game #17432173729: $5 + $0.50 Sit & Go (131092607), Table 1 - 50/100 - No Limit Hold'em - 10:05:16 ET - 2010/01/08
Seat 1: Nodry (1,745)
Seat 2: bobberdown145 (1,965)
Seat 4: Mikelev (3,885)
Seat 5: romanix45 (1,880)
Seat 7: PRAZDNIKA (3,195)
Seat 9: Joe404 (830)
bobberdown145 posts the small blind of 50
Mikelev posts the big blind of 100
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Joe404 [4h 4s]
romanix45 calls 100
PRAZDNIKA folds
Joe404 has 15 seconds left to act
Joe404 raises to 830, and is all in
Nodry folds
bobberdown145 folds
Mikelev folds
romanix45 calls 730
Joe404 shows [4h 4s]
romanix45 shows [Qs Jh]
*** FLOP *** [3h Kd 6c]
*** TURN *** [3h Kd 6c] [Ac]
*** RIVER *** [3h Kd 6c Ac] [Qd]
Joe404 shows a pair of Fours
romanix45 shows a pair of Queens
romanix45 wins the pot (1,810) with a pair of Queens
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 1,810 | Rake 0
Board: [3h Kd 6c Ac Qd]
Seat 1: Nodry (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: bobberdown145 (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 4: Mikelev (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 5: romanix45 showed [Qs Jh] and won (1,810) with a pair of Queens
Seat 7: PRAZDNIKA didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: Joe404 showed [4h 4s] and lost with a pair of Fours -
Don't push to lose...push to win....that's your problem.
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I am assuming this to be a 9 man single table tourney. If romanix folds you're shoving any pair, but after his limp utg, he folds very few hands in his range to your shove. I'm folding here unless I think he is really splashing around. 44 seems thin, considering your stack size and the fold equity on a shove.
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Your open shove range would be: 28.2%, 22+ A2s+ A7o+ A5o-A4o K7s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 98s 87s
Your call range for his open shove would be: 4.2%, 99+ AQs+ AKo
He didn't open shove but he isn't folding your shove much, I wouldn't open up a re-shove range here much past: 10.9%, 55+ A8s+ A9o+ and maybe not that wide.
ICM ftw - my 2 cents
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