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Push/fold spot $16 18-man turbo

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  1. Xeno85 Xeno85 is offline

    Wisconsin Rapids, WI
    United States

    Posts: 94
    Joined: Jul 07

    Jan 26th, 2009 (1/26/2009 4:35pm)

    Is this a shove or should I wait for a better spot? Both blinds are around 30/34 over about 40 hands in this $16 18-man. 1st Table still

    pokerstars Game #24305361243: Tournament #136622382, $15+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2009/01/26 16:59:25 ET
    Table '136622382 1' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
    Seat 2: kennypop (2725 in chips)
    Seat 3: rooy (3555 in chips)
    Seat 4: depowly (2600 in chips)
    Seat 5: mattyd86 (975 in chips)
    Seat 6: Xeno85 (970 in chips)
    Seat 7: Magarnickle (2740 in chips)
    Magarnickle: posts small blind 75
    kennypop: posts big blind 150
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Xeno85 [Ac 2h]
    rooy: folds
    depowly: folds
    mattyd86: folds
    Xeno85: ??
  2. BgsaPnaples BgsaPnaples is offline

    Posts: 471
    Joined: May 08

    Jan 26th, 2009 (1/26/2009 4:38pm) in reply to Xeno85

    ez shove
    771 1
  3. MYBLUEDOG MYBLUEDOG is offline

    Greenville, MS
    United States

    Posts: 1,999
    Joined: May 07

    Jan 28th, 2009 (1/28/2009 12:15pm) in reply to Xeno85

    Here's a reasonable range of hands holding 6.47bb's facing two random hands that have you covered. In this situation, you are first to act (FTA) and still have some fold equity. You should be pushing this range.

    <table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><td>BU</td><td>33.6%, 22+ Ax+ K4s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 87s 76s </td></tr></tbody></table>
    If you get called by both players, poker stove shows you're here:

    equity win
    Hand 0: 37.214% { Ac2h }
    Hand 1: 27.418% { random }
    Hand 2: 35.369% { random }

    If you are only called by one random hand, poker stove show's you are here:

    equity win tie
    Hand 0: 54.929% { Ac2h }
    Hand 1: 45.071% { random }

    Pot has 225 in dead money and this would increase your stack by 23% if you are able to steal the blinds. A double or triple if you win a contested pot and put yourself in contention to make ITM and/or win.

    If your opponents are reasonably competent players, they should call you pretty lite. Your stack has lost most of its power and you have only 3 hands before you begin to lose another round of blinds where you'll be OOP. "A" high is pretty big here. Be honest, you need the chips or you're going to blind out soon. FTW.

    <table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><td>SB</td><td>11.5%, 55+ A7s+ A9o+ KQs </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>1.8%, JJ+Over calls
    </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>23.1%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K9s+ KTo+ QTs+
    </td></tr></tbody></table>
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