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This is an 11+ Sunday Million satellite. There are 8 to go and 6 get the prize. I am currently in 6th place. I have been trying to work on my satellite play since the ME satellites are right around the corner. I have consistenly been doing fairly well in these sorts of torneys, but I believe this is a leak in my game. I understand that best case scenario, you never want to get all your chips in the middle during a satellite. However, this is a very active table. Anyone who attempted to just "raise" (minus the big stack) was getting re-shoved every time. I believe that if I just raise here, I am going to get shoved (even not knowing their hand) 75% of the time. Right now I am no way secured a seat. What would you do in this position? Should I have open folded? Should I have raised and then folded to her shove? Should I have tried to limp? OR - should I have played it as I did and just ended up UL in a race? Also, is it +EV to make this all in call with 99? Any input is greatly appreciated :) Thanks
pokerstars Game #15091281347: Tournament #76053452, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (1000/2000) - 2008/02/05 - 23:19:31 (ET)
Table '76053452 4' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: jodecijojo (25460 in chips)
Seat 2: Dangeramo (47646 in chips)
Seat 3: CaLLitARUSH (12585 in chips)
Seat 4: whiskers199 (5624 in chips)
Seat 5: Bellama (55522 in chips) is sitting out
Seat 6: daandeleo (32706 in chips)
Seat 7: sugarchuck (28922 in chips)
Seat 8: SmileyLSU (19535 in chips)
jodecijojo: posts the ante 100
Dangeramo: posts the ante 100
CaLLitARUSH: posts the ante 100
whiskers199: posts the ante 100
Bellama: posts the ante 100
daandeleo: posts the ante 100
sugarchuck: posts the ante 100
SmileyLSU: posts the ante 100
SmileyLSU: posts small blind 1000
jodecijojo: posts big blind 2000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to SmileyLSU [Ad Jd]
Dangeramo: folds
CaLLitARUSH: folds
whiskers199: folds
Bellama: folds
daandeleo: folds
sugarchuck: folds
SmileyLSU: raises 17435 to 19435 and is all-in
jodecijojo: calls 17435
*** FLOP *** [Td 4s 7s]
*** TURN *** [Td 4s 7s] [6c]
*** RIVER *** [Td 4s 7s 6c] [2h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
SmileyLSU: shows [Ad Jd] (high card Ace)
jodecijojo: shows [9s 9h] (a pair of Nines)
jodecijojo collected 39670 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 39670 | Rake 0
Board [Td 4s 7s 6c 2h]
Seat 1: jodecijojo (big blind) showed [9s 9h] and won (39670) with a pair of Nines
Seat 2: Dangeramo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: CaLLitARUSH folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: whiskers199 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Bellama folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: daandeleo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: sugarchuck (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: SmileyLSU (small blind) showed [Ad Jd] and lost with high card Ace -
Well, you can last about 3 orbits if you just sit and blind out, if you want to go that route, but chances are this is a great spot to pick up chips IMO....Obviously the other guy wants to risk 19k of his 25k stack on a coinflip...UL it held
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Shove everytime.... that is all...
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pretty standard - you can't really raise and fold here, and since it is Blind v. Blind you only have to get past one player. pretty standard shove and also standard call - I would call with pretty much any pair above 44 and Ace-face. HOWEVER since you are 6th and 6 get seats (and CL is sitting out) it's probably better to play super-tight here and just complete pre-flop and fold to his certain shove, esp since the other two shortys will be in the blinds in a couple of hands and will have to play for all their chips sooooon, and you should be able to out-survive them. very very tough spot.
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i agree with that guys ^ second option, just complete and then fold, theres no reason to risk going broke when there is another player pretty much on the ropes and another a fair bit behind you in terms of chip stacks. Satellites are about getting a seat, you are currently in position to get a seat, i don't think you should risk your seat on a marginal hand like AJoff.
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In the long run, you'll pick up the blinds and antes here with your push. You made the right play since you didn't feel like you could slide into a seat. (Since I'm a nit, I'd consider folding here because I believe I'm in pretty good shape to get a seat...but that's a whole different issue.)
As far as calling with 99 goes, it is +EV for the same reason your push is +EV; both beat the range of hands the other could hold (ie your AJ beats a random hand, and his 99 beats the range you could push with here).
In a satty though, I'd fold 99 with his stack in this scenario because I don't need to win the tourney...I just need a seat. With a 25k stack in this position, I'd just fold to a seat unless I obviously have a monster holding or my stack starts to dwindle in relation to other stacks.
Hopefully that answers your question. -
Thanks for all of the responses. I almost just completed and then folded to the shove, but I felt that if I shoved here, that the other guy would really only be able to call me with AA or another monster since he is basically borderline guaranteed a spot, my stack could cripple him, and there were two other shorties. I go out of a lot of tournaments like this, so I wasn't so sure the shove was as standard as I originally thought it was.
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Isn't that a standard shove and a bad call? How can calling off with 99 here be a good call?
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It's a +EV play against the OP's range, but it's most definitely a bad play on the satty bubble.
Edit: Sorry for the confusion here. I was talking about the call with 99. -
"It's a +EV play against the OP's range, but it's most definitely a bad play on the satty bubble."
No... Wrong...
Shove every time... Unless you beleive he will call you with K9+ Ax+ 22+ Which he shouldnt.. In fact he should probably only call you with AA or KK maybe QQ
Allmost allways u need to shove here... Forget that u had Aj... If he is reasonably tight as he should be u should be shoving ATC...
The way i look at it if u pick up this pot you can sit back and wait till
A. You are short again
B. The others get eliminated and you get a seat. -
This is a tough one. I have no problem with your shove although I doubt I shove there. His call is reall loose and a hugh leak if he plays alot of sattys (I have seen him around latley)
Wiskers is really short stacked so I would wait till he gets knocked out before making a move like this. The other short stack will be blinded in before you so I think ZI would tend to just fold here.
If this table is as active as you say it is then someone will make a mistake or get sucked out on.
In this spot I would sit tight a look for the others to take each other out,
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