Check out our brand new Local Poker Communities! Get updates and interact with poker players in your area.
Visit the United States Poker Community | Visit the California Poker Community | Read more about the Launch of P5s Local
  1. iwantchipz is shoving 100% of hands...I think this is one of those spots where I don't like to agree with sngwiz...what do you guys think?

    pokerstars Game #22689344997: Tournament #125369285, $25+$2 Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (300/600) - 2008/12/06 22:07:57 ET
    Table '125369285 1' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: thejinx1 (370 in chips)
    Seat 2: sin99ha (3550 in chips)
    Seat 5: L0bstaM0bsta (4355 in chips)
    Seat 9: iwantchipz (5225 in chips)
    thejinx1: posts the ante 50
    sin99ha: posts the ante 50
    L0bstaM0bsta: posts the ante 50
    iwantchipz: posts the ante 50
    sin99ha: posts small blind 300
    L0bstaM0bsta: posts big blind 600
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to L0bstaM0bsta [Kc Ac]
    iwantchipz: raises 4575 to 5175 and is all-in
    thejinx1: calls 320 and is all-in
    sin99ha: folds
    L0bstaM0bsta: ?????
  2. snap call
    take commanding chip lead 3 handed
    shove 100% like villain
    run good
    ship 1st place
     
  3. agree ^

    worst case senario you are 45% to win. He obv isnt doing that with AA or KK. Play to win. Easy snap call.
  4. He is doing it with all hands including aces and kings...literally any two cards in the deck he is shoving
    Thread Starter
  5. I play like a pus when a guy is that low in chips. Fold then when your 3 handed crush him. More than likely its a race or a 60/40 why put all those chips at risk, you can find a better spot.
  6. If the shorty folds then it's an obv easy fold for you, no question. Since he called though that changes things. Now you only have to beat one of them to be gauranteed 3rd place money and should you beat the bigstack you are looking at 1st place money very likely. Most definitely a call as soon as jinx puts his chips in.

    Of course this is a good scenario for the pokerstove geniuses to throw some numbers around. Unfortunately thats not me.
     
  7. I call, fuck icm
     1
  8. snap call then punch the computer when his 10 6 gets there
  9. Id like to hear what Jennifear has to say about this one.
     
  10. I bet he folded 100% sure of it.
  11. scenario 1: you call and SS beats you and BS- you get fourth and no money scenario 2:you call and BS beats you and SS- you get third scenario 3: you call and Beat BS and SS- you have huge stack with three left scenario 4: you call and beat BS and lose to SS- you have huge stack with four left scenario 5: you fold and BS eliminates SS- you are tied for second with three left Scenario 6: you fold and SS beats BS- you are tied for third with four people left and SS gains chips scenarios with you calling 3/4 involve you winning money scenarios with you folding, one involves you winning money, one you still have an above average chance This is probably very close in ICM calcs., as the only way you are guaranteed to not cash is to call, also if you call and the Big stack eliminates you both you get third and no chance at moving up, but that said I call here unless someone shows some math that says its wrong than I'd fold :)
  12.  
    Originally Posted by Reoknows View Post

    snap call then punch the computer when his 10 6 gets there

    No offense to you, as this isn't a shot at you, but is anyone else sick of these posts that state "Well call and give the computer a high five when your 9 hits" or "Shove and punch the computer when you run into AA"

    It just has been getting on my nerves lately haha but seriously no offense to you at all.
     1
  13. Nash says:

    <table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><th width="40">PU</th><th width="40">CA</th><th width="40">OC</th><th>Range</th></tr><tr><td>CO</td><td>30.0%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K6s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 87s </td></tr><tr><td>BU</td><td>99.1%, 22+ 8x+ 72s+ 73o+ 3x+ </td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>9.2%, 66+ A9s+ ATo+ </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>8.4%, 77+ ATs+ ATo+FOR YOU TO CALL
    </td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>1.4%, QQ+ </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>0.5%, AA </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>1.4%, QQ+ </td></tr><tr><td>BU</td><td>70.7%, 22+ Qx+ J2s+ J4o+ T2s+ T6o+ 94s+ 96o+ 84s+ 86o+ 74s+ 76o 64s+ 54s </td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>100.0%, Any two</td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>27.6%, 22+ Ax+ K6s+ K9o+ QTs+ QJo </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>100.0%, Any two</td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>52.3%, 22+ Kx+ Q2s+ Q8o+ J5s+ J9o+ T6s+ T8o+ 95s+ 98o 85s+ 87o 75s+ 64s+ 54s </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>18.1%, 55+ A3s+ A7o+ K9s+ KTo+ </td></tr></tbody></table>

    Having said that though, given shorty is so dam short, I'm a big scaredy cat and I fold.
  14. I never fold, and this is no exception :)
  15. That's because you're a rebel bish
    Thread Starter
  16. i like that everyone is saying screw ICM i call here and then someone comes and shows that ICM says call. plus ICM says its a call if CO is shoving only 30%, if hes shoving ATC.....
     
  17.  
    Originally Posted by AwesomeO View Post

     
    Originally Posted by Reoknows View Post

    snap call then punch the computer when his 10 6 gets there

    No offense to you, as this isn't a shot at you, but is anyone else sick of these posts that state "Well call and give the computer a high five when your 9 hits" or "Shove and punch the computer when you run into AA"

    It just has been getting on my nerves lately haha but seriously no offense to you at all.

    np
  18. ez call since the shorty called. if either u or bigstack wins u r guaranteed money. if u won u r almost guaranteed 2nd and a fav for first. this is def +EV
  19. The key point here is that it's only a call when the shorty puts his chips in. Otherwise it's a fold 100%.
     
  20. This is a fairly easy call with the shortstack already in the pot.
     
  21.  
    Originally Posted by Randomizer View Post

    Id like to hear what Jennifear has to say about this one.

    She would say call 100% of the time.
  22. ^^100% agreed^^
  23. Definitely a call after ss calls, which is why chipleader shouldn't be pushing 100% of hands. If he really is pushing 100%, you couldn't quite call with the AKs if shorty folded, but at least 99+ if you knew he was, 88 is close.
     
  24. This is a clear call.

    <TABLE class=simple cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=3 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH width=40>PU</TH><TH width=40>CA</TH><TH width=40>OC</TH><TH>Range</TH></TR><TR><TD>CO</TD><TD><TD><TD>30.0%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K6s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 87s <<What he should be shoving</TD></TR><TR><TD><TD>BU</TD><TD><TD>99.1%, 22+ 8x+ 72s+ 73o+ 3x+ </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD><TD>SB</TD><TD>9.2%, 66+ A9s+ ATo+ </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD><TD>BB</TD><TD>8.4%, 77+ ATs+ ATo+ <<Given iwantchips' 30%, this is your proper overcalling range</TD></TR><TR><TD><TD>SB</TD><TD><TD>1.4%, QQ+ </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD><TD>BB</TD><TD>0.5%, AA </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD>BB</TD><TD><TD>1.4%, QQ+ </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
    If iwantchips is shoving 100%, he is wayyyyyyyy too wide here. He should be shoving about 1/3 of that... if that! This is because his lead isn't that big and the button will call for sure, so his risk/reward with low cards like 85o is way too high to make this shove. In iwantchips' position here, I am only shoving 20-25%, because I expect both blinds to call wider than QQ+, so I have to tighten up from what Nash would say.

    If the shortstack folds, you have a close decision. It's NOT a snapfold like you might think. The blinds are too high to fold AKs if he is on any two. The pot odds plus the intangibles from winning the hand would add up to a call.

    More on the intangibles that ICM doesn't account for here:

    ICM - advice pls - Pocket Fives#3006539

    Once the shortstack calls, you have free reign to call with the top 1/4 of whatever you think that iwantchips is shoving! Yes, that's right, if you are SURE that iwantchips is on any two, and the shortstack is calling wide as well, you can make this call with hands as weak as KJ, easily!

    The reason for this is because your risk of bubbling drops CONSIDERABLY! In fact, the only way you bubble out is if:

    Shorty wins the hand
    Big stack is second best
    You are third best

    Given equal ranges that will only happen 1/6 of the time, but since you have the tightest of the three ranges, that possibility is worse than 1 in 10!

    Therefore, since your risk of bubbling is a lot less, the chips you risk aren't worth three times as much as the chips you stand to gain like they usually are. That opens up your range. That's why Nash shows 8.4% here, but only QQ+ if the shortstack folds.

    If you want a guide to SNG overcalling so that next time you know what to do in this spot:

    For a more detailed explanation, if you are a PXF member, you can look up my article entitled "Ganging Up" there. Go to the "Training center" and expand the "Blind Straddle" option... go to "Blind Straddle 1" and you can click on the article "Ganging Up".
  25. AK 4 handed????? SNAP CALL ALL DAY
  26.  
    Originally Posted by Jennifear View Post


    This is a clear call.

    <table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><th width="40">PU</th><th width="40">CA</th><th width="40">OC</th><th>Range</th></tr><tr><td>CO</td><td>30.0%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K6s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T7s+ 97s+ 87s <<What he should be shoving</td></tr><tr><td>BU</td><td>99.1%, 22+ 8x+ 72s+ 73o+ 3x+ </td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>9.2%, 66+ A9s+ ATo+ </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>8.4%, 77+ ATs+ ATo+ <<Given iwantchips' 30%, this is your proper overcalling range</td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>1.4%, QQ+ </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>0.5%, AA </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>1.4%, QQ+ </td></tr></tbody></table>
    If iwantchips is shoving 100%, he is wayyyyyyyy too wide here. He should be shoving about 1/3 of that... if that! This is because his lead isn't that big and the button will call for sure, so his risk/reward with low cards like 85o is way too high to make this shove. In iwantchips' position here, I am only shoving 20-25%, because I expect both blinds to call wider than QQ+, so I have to tighten up from what Nash would say.

    If the shortstack folds, you have a close decision. It's NOT a snapfold like you might think. The blinds are too high to fold AKs if he is on any two. The pot odds plus the intangibles from winning the hand would add up to a call.

    More on the intangibles that ICM doesn't account for here:

    ICM - advice pls - Pocket Fives#3006539

    Once the shortstack calls, you have free reign to call with the top 1/4 of whatever you think that iwantchips is shoving! Yes, that's right, if you are SURE that iwantchips is on any two, and the shortstack is calling wide as well, you can make this call with hands as weak as KJ, easily!

    The reason for this is because your risk of bubbling drops CONSIDERABLY! In fact, the only way you bubble out is if:

    Shorty wins the hand
    Big stack is second best
    You are third best

    Given equal ranges that will only happen 1/6 of the time, but since you have the tightest of the three ranges, that possibility is worse than 1 in 10!

    Therefore, since your risk of bubbling is a lot less, the chips you risk aren't worth three times as much as the chips you stand to gain like they usually are. That opens up your range. That's why Nash shows 8.4% here, but only QQ+ if the shortstack folds.

    If you want a guide to SNG overcalling so that next time you know what to do in this spot:

    For a more detailed explanation, if you are a PXF member, you can look up my article entitled "Ganging Up" there. Go to the "Training center" and expand the "Blind Straddle" option... go to "Blind Straddle 1" and you can click on the article "Ganging Up".

    I was just wondering where you get a chart like this?
  27.  
    Originally Posted by fly44 View Post

    I was just wondering where you get a chart like this?

    Nash ICM Push/Fold Calculator

    Specifically the chart for this hand:

    ICM Nash Calculator Results

Similar Threads