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SNG Bubble hand

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  1. andrew1263 andrew1263 is offline

    Bothell, WA
    United States

    Posts: 89
    Joined: Oct 07

    Aug 23rd, 2008 (8/23/2008 4:45am)

    Full Tilt Poker Game #7763592206: $6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) (59041950), Table 1 - 120/240 - No Limit Hold'em - 4:29:15 ET - 2008/08/23
    Seat 3: diablo312 (3,480)
    Seat 5: bddy984 (3,380)
    Seat 6: Matt24MA (3,900)
    Seat 8: Andrew1263 (2,740)
    bddy984 posts the small blind of 120
    Matt24MA posts the big blind of 240
    The button is in seat #3
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Andrew1263 [7s Ah]
    Andrew1263 ???

    Is this a clear cut shove (i'm leaning to this)? 2 hands before this I shoved KT (sb) into the BB and lost... So is this just table dependant or should I wait for a better time.. I don't really like doing this because I have a tendency to run into AK, AQ, AJ, PP, etc in the SB and BB when i shove UTG. WWYD? Thanks.
  2. Jennifear Jennifear is online now

    Niagara Falls, NY
    United States

    Posts: 10,222
    Joined: Nov 05

    Aug 23rd, 2008 (8/23/2008 6:06am) in reply to andrew1263

    Fold. Here's the Nash Equilibrium for this spot:

    <TABLE class=simple cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=3 border=1><TBODY><TR><TH width=40>PU</TH><TH width=40>CA</TH><TH width=40>OC</TH><TH>Range</TH></TR><TR><TD>CO</TD><TD><TD><TD>16.7%, 22+ A8s+ A5s-A4s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s<<your "perfect range" </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD>BU</TD><TD><TD>2.6%, TT+ AKs </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD><TD>SB</TD><TD>0.9%, KK+ </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD><TD>BB</TD><TD>0.9%, KK+ </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD>SB</TD><TD><TD>3.5%, TT+ AKs AKo </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD><TD>BB</TD><TD>1.4%, QQ+ </TD></TR><TR><TD><TD>BB</TD><TD><TD>4.2%, 99+ AQs+ AKo </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

    The are probably calling more often than Nash says so I think you can shove even less than this.

    In addition it's a $6.50 game so they might bust each other calling looser than they should. That also helps your decision to fold.

    Shoving is not abominable here, but I dislike it. Fold this one.
  3. andrew1263 andrew1263 is offline

    Bothell, WA
    United States

    Posts: 89
    Joined: Oct 07

    Aug 23rd, 2008 (8/23/2008 6:12am) in reply to Jennifear

    Thanks Jennifear. You're always a great help with these questions.
    Thread Starter
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