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pokerstars Game #34044856688: Tournament #203040703, $50+$5 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XI (400/800) - 2009/10/14 20:19:17 ET
Table '203040703 27' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: XCappucinoX1 (36700 in chips)
Seat 2: Pwnasaurus (57602 in chips)
Seat 3: TheChosenWun (8527 in chips)
Seat 5: Droofer (20155 in chips)
Seat 6: matej (30298 in chips)
Seat 7: bigblinger (27789 in chips)
Seat 8: lukaluka05 (24363 in chips)
Seat 9: loosenovice (14579 in chips)
XCappucinoX1: posts the ante 75
Pwnasaurus: posts the ante 75
TheChosenWun: posts the ante 75
Droofer: posts the ante 75
matej: posts the ante 75
bigblinger: posts the ante 75
lukaluka05: posts the ante 75
loosenovice: posts the ante 75
TheChosenWun: posts small blind 400
Droofer: posts big blind 800
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to XCappucinoX1 [Tc Td]
matej: raises 1600 to 2400
bigblinger: folds
lukaluka05: folds
loosenovice: folds
XCappucinoX1: calls 2400
Pwnasaurus: calls 2400
TheChosenWun: folds
Droofer: folds
*** FLOP *** [9c 5s 2s]
matej: checks
XCappucinoX1: bets 4225
Pwnasaurus: raises 5375 to 9600
matej: folds
XCappucinoX1: folds
Uncalled bet (5375) returned to Pwnasaurus
Pwnasaurus collected 17450 from pot
Pwnasaurus: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 17450 | Rake 0
Board [9c 5s 2s]
Seat 1: XCappucinoX1 folded on the Flop
Seat 2: Pwnasaurus (button) collected (17450)
Seat 3: TheChosenWun (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: Droofer (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 6: matej folded on the Flop
Seat 7: bigblinger folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: lukaluka05 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: loosenovice folded before Flop (didn't bet)
against a random id prob get it in here without much thought but this spot really just didnt seem right. I have a strong feeling he flatted AA or maybe KK here pre. I cant find anything that I can really beat besides AsQs. -
Yea i cant imagine a good player trying a bluff here, your range easily has lots of sets, overpairs and big flush draws. Basically you are flipping vs his draws and crushed by his sets and overpairs. If he is sick enough to raise here knowing you will fold overpairs then you gotta let him have it.
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^^^^
Originally Posted by gutshtallin
I like a fold here. You literally beat like AQss and maybe 78ss. Pretty rough spot tho, as I would more easily put him on 99 55 or 22 than AA or KK. I think squeezing with AA or KK is perfect here preflop. Either way tho..you beat nothing really and a fold is def right decision.
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You pretty much pinned it yourself here, this is a spot where his range is highly unbalanced to nut hands, big draws, and maybe the occasional bluff hand depending on his postflop aggression. 99% of players never show up with anything bad here, and even if they are able to put some bluffs in there range its mostly still a fold.
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I'd guess he never has AA or KK here as the opener is early pos which usually weights their range stronger and him raising would look bluffy like a squeeze likely getting the utg player or yourself all in pre. He small raise size is giving room for you to raise. I'd guess he has set or huge draw either way with how deep your are fold is prudent.
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I'm def shoving here. When original raiser checks and you bet your range is pretty wide. Pwnasaurus is good, aggro, and capable and all that beats you is 99/55/22. I don't think he flats AA/KK as often as you think and wouldn't raise JJ here imo. He may not even raise sets here all that often since there's not many hands you continue with. He can also have a ton of draws, with the 9 not being a spade that fits many 9xss, plus other flush or combo draws.
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Yea, i must have thought we werent as deep as we actually were here, i don't think he flats AA and KK very often here now that i look at it
Originally Posted by gutshtallin
I like a fold here. You literally beat like AQss and maybe 78ss. Pretty rough spot tho, as I would more easily put him on 99 55 or 22 than AA or KK. I think squeezing with AA or KK is perfect here preflop. Either way tho..you beat nothing really and a fold is def right decision.
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I doubt Mario expects you to be folding overpairs very often, and that's most of your range, and you could also easily have AJss etc which also aren't folding, so I really doubt he's bluffing here very often. I could def see people leveling themselves into stacking off here, but it seems like a trivial fold to me.
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i like fold, but just for the record.....there are a TON of monster draws in his range
34s
64s
67s
68s
69s
78s
79s
89s
9Ts
J9s
Q9s
K9s
A3s
A4s
ATs
AJs
AQs
you are beat by........
22
55
99
JJ
KK/AA (unlikely imo)
obviously some of the drawing hands are unlikely, but i don't think you can rule any of them out. he has a lot of chips, he's on the button, there is already 7k in the pot, and since there is a 30bb stack 3x'ing utg, there is the potential to win a huge pot if he flops good.
so is it a fold? am i way off in ranging him? i kind of agree with whoever said it that he's probably flatting a set on this board
i like fold LOL
EDIT: I <STRIKE>like</STRIKE> dislike fold. The "we beat" list goes from the tip of my index finger to my 2nd knuckle. The "we are beat by" list stops at the first knuckle. -
what a few others said, pwn is def 3betting aa or kk here...pots big enough already, hes aggro, and is def capable of 3betting light. i think its a set, flush draw(where i think around half the time its a weak ace, a3/4/5s) or just complete air. dont think i fold, i prob flat and plan to get it in on a lot of turns, re shove works too tho
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I agree it could be something more towards pocket pairs and hands like KJs+ i just don't know how often he'll flat a full 3x raise here w/ this stack w/ a hand like 89s seems a bit spewy?
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why?? i would do it a ton here, esp when a good reg flats from the cut off.
Originally Posted by Whatshoulditbe
I agree it could be something more towards pocket pairs and hands like KJs+ i just don't know how often he'll flat a full 3x raise here w/ this stack w/ a hand like 89s seems a bit spewy?
nobody thinks ur flatting garbage here, and when you do, your looking to flop huge or get out, so its not like you gonna lose much more post flop with out a good amount of equity. plus from what it looks like by the two flats, the utg is prob a nit and is c/f all missed flops, and when cap fires from cut off, im def raising small/bluffing a lot, and any type of draw im getting it. 40 bbs is more than you think.... -
yea i actually left out a whole lot of hands that are probably in his range if he plays like me lol
really any two spades over a nine is possible. when u add those hands there are just too many hands TT is ahead of------i like getting it in on non-spade turns------his range is weighted so heavily toward a flush/combo draw -
I mean I agree somewhat. Nobody is flatting garbage here but its for a reason...because it wont be profitable. 98s isn't garbage though nor are a few other suited connectors in his range but hands like 64s and K9s just play so terribly postflop that it wont be profitable. But yeah agree with rest esp raising that flop w/ air quite a bit. I think it'd also be fair to say that hes only raising a set say 50% of the time but cant be positive here, might be 100% might be 0% its too player dependent.
Originally Posted by quietwinner
why?? i would do it a ton here, esp when a good reg flats from the cut off.
nobody thinks ur flatting garbage here, and when you do, your looking to flop huge or get out, so its not like you gonna lose much more post flop with out a good amount of equity. plus from what it looks like by the two flats, the utg is prob a nit and is c/f all missed flops, and when cap fires from cut off, im def raising small/bluffing a lot, and any type of draw im getting it. 40 bbs is more than you think.... -
There is no doubt in my mind you can flat wider than not here. I just meant is it as wide as 64s, 34s etc?
Originally Posted by quietwinner
why?? i would do it a ton here, esp when a good reg flats from the cut off.
nobody thinks ur flatting garbage here, and when you do, your looking to flop huge or get out, so its not like you gonna lose much more post flop with out a good amount of equity. plus from what it looks like by the two flats, the utg is prob a nit and is c/f all missed flops, and when cap fires from cut off, im def raising small/bluffing a lot, and any type of draw im getting it. 40 bbs is more than you think.... -
i mean i guess 98s isnt garbage, but it comes down to your flopping big and stacking off someone who won't see it coming/get in with a big draw...or your gonna bluff when say the nit checks(who obv c/fs all day) and a solid reg opens from cut off. im literally never folding whatever i have there. id 20% set, 50% draw, and 30% its air
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Solid thread. I say PD is on the up and up lately as far as having actual good strategy threads goes.
I would just fold in this spot, I have never played with the villian but the way I see it you are either barely ahead of a draw or dominated by a better overpair or set. He could be on a total bluff with air but I doubt that is the case very often. -
yeah idk why i mentioned 89s earlier meant more of a hand like 35s etc. I see what you're saying
Originally Posted by quietwinner
i mean i guess 98s isnt garbage, but it comes down to your flopping big and stacking off someone who won't see it coming/get in with a big draw...or your gonna bluff when say the nit checks(who obv c/fs all day) and a solid reg opens from cut off. im literally never folding whatever i have there. id 20% set, 50% draw, and 30% its air
edit: also totally misread op thought pwnsarus had 40bbs. yeah w/ his stack i can easily see a wide range from him
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