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Stars Turbo Satty's Tilt Me. Decision help. Most retarded spot ever

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  1. lvlatt1 lvlatt1 is offline

    San Diego, CA
    United States

    Posts: 617
    Joined: Mar 07

    Jan 2nd, 2008 (1/2/2008 7:08pm)

    11+R to Sunday Mil, Everyone timebanks all the way around even though its hand for hand. I'm in 7th with 16k, blinds are a super 6-12k, Two ppl at the table cover me. 12 get seats, and 16 are left.

    pokerstars Game #14279434485: Tournament #71874714, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level XVII (6000/12000) - 2008/01/02 - 20:03:18 (ET)
    Table '71874714 8' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: PrekiGeo (1526 in chips)
    Seat 2: NappDynomit (6538 in chips)
    Seat 3: Lose_anyways (15622 in chips)
    Seat 4: Kenrof (5109 in chips)
    Seat 5: Bryan9191 (7884 in chips)
    Seat 6: MzContrarian (57616 in chips)
    Seat 7: Uncle Arfer (17190 in chips)
    Seat 8: ElFook (5171 in chips)
    PrekiGeo: posts the ante 600
    NappDynomit: posts the ante 600
    Lose_anyways: posts the ante 600
    Kenrof: posts the ante 600
    Bryan9191: posts the ante 600
    MzContrarian: posts the ante 600
    Uncle Arfer: posts the ante 600
    ElFook: posts the ante 600
    NappDynomit: posts small blind 5938 and is all-in
    Lose_anyways: posts big blind 12000
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Lose_anyways [Qs Tc]
    Kenrof: folds
    Bryan9191: calls 7284 and is all-in
    MzContrarian: folds
    Uncle Arfer: raises 4590 to 16590 and is all-in
    ElFook: folds
    PrekiGeo: folds

    So what do I do? Call with prob most live hand, or be blinded in Next hand? Arfer is more retarded then is humanly possible.
  2. tmfd001 tmfd001 is offline

    Cincinnati, OH
    United States

    Posts: 633
    Joined: Mar 07

    Jan 2nd, 2008 (1/2/2008 8:02pm) in reply to lvlatt1

    call
     
  3. DonProvolone DonProvolone is offline

    Naples, FL
    United States

    Posts: 126
    Joined: Oct 07

    Jan 2nd, 2008 (1/2/2008 8:38pm) in reply to lvlatt1

    Fold, If the SB or BB loses the BB will pass you...Only call all your chips with a big made hand.
  4. Jennifear Jennifear is offline

    Niagara Falls, NY
    United States

    Posts: 10,222
    Joined: Nov 05

    Jan 2nd, 2008 (1/2/2008 9:56pm) in reply to lvlatt1

    Easy fold.

    If you call, you have to beat Arfer to win, and he is probably huge. I would put your hand as 35% against him, so you are 35% to survive this way.

    If you fold, and Napp fails to beat BOTH Arfer AND Bryan, the stars forward moving button will ensure that you have the button next hand, and you are almost certain to get a seat. Since's Arfer is likely huge and Bryan certainly has something nice also, his random hand is only about 20% to be best. Also, if you lose, you still have some chance to win the next hand. You are about 85% to survive this way.

    The difference is monumental.
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