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I marked the UTG raiser as Tight Agressive... I thougt my raise would make him fold so I would get fold equity...
I think I should have bet btw $1,100 and $1,300 to make him think I wanted a call and representing AA-QQ, and if he called, well, I would have been pot commited anyway... He called instantly instead...
What do you guys think? Thanks!
pokerstars Game #23586724258: Tournament #131827112, $75+$7 Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2009/01/04 23:35:21 CT [2009/01/05 0:35:21 ET]
Table '131827112 1' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Java1987 (1360 in chips)
Seat 2: DaCumBacK1D (2325 in chips)
Seat 3: Narez (2170 in chips)
Seat 4: J-Beux (950 in chips)
Seat 5: John-Rambo31 (1975 in chips)
Seat 7: Osaka (3595 in chips)
Seat 9: EdMe31 (1125 in chips)
Narez: posts small blind 50
J-Beux: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Narez [Kh As]
John-Rambo31: raises 200 to 300
Osaka: folds
EdMe31: folds
Java1987: folds
DaCumBacK1D: folds
Narez: raises 1870 to 2170 and is all-in
J-Beux: folds
John-Rambo31: calls 1675 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (195) returned to Narez
*** FLOP *** [4d 9h 4h]
*** TURN *** [4d 9h 4h] [Qd]
*** RIVER *** [4d 9h 4h Qd] [8h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Narez: shows [Kh As] (a pair of Fours)
John-Rambo31: shows [Jd Jc] (two pair, Jacks and Fours)
John-Rambo31 collected 4050 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4050 | Rake 0
Board [4d 9h 4h Qd 8h]
Seat 1: Java1987 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: DaCumBacK1D (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Narez (small blind) showed [Kh As] and lost with a pair of Fours
Seat 4: J-Beux (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: John-Rambo31 showed [Jd Jc] and won (4050) with two pair, Jacks and Fours
Seat 7: Osaka folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: EdMe31 folded before Flop (didn't bet) -
You think he's tight? So say 99+ AK,AQs tight? As I see it either it's a coin flip or your way behind. He just opened UTG I don't think he folds. I don't got a read but if he folds here it won't look good for his raises UTG. Any way its 43%/57% against that hand range of 99+ AK,AQs. Is it that bad to flat call here? I mean 2/3 the time you miss the flop. But most of the time thers an A,K, or Q with no J I think like 55% of the time. Well probably less than that because you got AKo. Here I definately think I raise. You really have to right? It is AKo. Maybe you could of tried a raise of 2.5 to 2.75, 750 to 825. Yes smaller raise makes it look like you want a call. It all depends on the opponant though. Here a smaller raise makes sense as you can safely fold to a reraise. If you think he only reraises AA-QQ and AK. But if there's no way you fold here I would say raise all in.
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