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  1. AlaskanStud AlaskanStud is offline

    AK
    United States

    Posts: 151
    Joined: Sep 06

    Nov 1st, 2007 (11/1/2007 8:17pm)

    Was sure he had the flush from his min-raise on flop. If I was sure should I just have folded turn?

    pokerstars Game #12982889139: Tournament #65883531, $75+$7 Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2007/11/01 - 20:01:41 (ET)
    Table '65883531 1' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
    Seat 1: siderno666 (1490 in chips)
    Seat 3: young_jedi76 (5315 in chips)
    Seat 4: BamaJama77 (1170 in chips)
    Seat 5: docbaby (1440 in chips)
    Seat 6: knobster123 (1540 in chips)
    Seat 8: Smedgous (1435 in chips)
    Seat 9: jclark21 (1110 in chips)
    jclark21: posts small blind 15
    siderno666: posts big blind 30
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Smedgous [2d 2h]
    young_jedi76: folds
    BamaJama77: calls 30
    docbaby: folds
    knobster123: folds
    Smedgous: calls 30
    jclark21: calls 15
    siderno666: checks
    *** FLOP *** [7c Qc 2c]
    jclark21: bets 100
    siderno666: folds
    BamaJama77: raises 100 to 200
    Smedgous: calls 200
    jclark21: folds
    *** TURN *** [7c Qc 2c] [9h]
    BamaJama77: bets 330
    Smedgous: calls 330
    *** RIVER *** [7c Qc 2c 9h] [Jc]
    BamaJama77: bets 450
    Smedgous: folds
    BamaJama77 collected 1280 from pot
    BamaJama77: shows [Ac 3c] (a flush, Ace high)
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 1280 | Rake 0
    Board [7c Qc 2c 9h Jc]
    Seat 1: siderno666 (big blind) folded on the Flop
    Seat 3: young_jedi76 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: BamaJama77 collected (1280)
    Seat 5: docbaby folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 6: knobster123 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 8: Smedgous (button) folded on the River
    Seat 9: jclark21 (small blind) folded on the Flop
  2. MYBLUEDOG MYBLUEDOG is online now

    Greenville, MS
    United States

    Posts: 1,999
    Joined: May 07

    Nov 1st, 2007 (11/1/2007 9:10pm) in reply to AlaskanStud

    A quote from TJ Cloutier: Poker player continue to make errors when the call off chips, when they know they are behind, and not getting a good price to call for improvement.
    See the flop 4 handed 4*30 = 120 pot
    *** FLOP *** [7c Qc 2c]
    jclark21: bets 100
    siderno666: folds
    BamaJama77: raises 100 to 200
    Pot = 120+100+200= 420, PO 2.1:1 or 32.1% is the kind of hand you need to make this call.

    You flopped a set. Assuming your opponents both have (a) flushes or (b) pairs with flush draws, you might win if you make a fullhouse. You have 7 outs. You are about 35.0% to improve to a full house by the river. {(52-5)-7} = 40 bad cards. 7/40 = 17.5% on the turn, & 10/39 = 25.6% on the river since you pick up three outs if you don't make a fullhoouse or quads on the turn. The odds look correct to take one off on the flop. And you have position on the field.

    Smedgous: calls 200
    jclark21: folds

    Good sign, You only have one opponent.
    Pot = 620
    *** TURN *** [7c Qc 2c] [9h]
    BamaJama77(950 behind): bets 330
    Pot = 950, PO of 95:33 2.88:1 so you need 25.77% equity to make the call.
    You have 10 outs and 10/39 = 25.64% equity this is very close to being exactly correct. Not to bad to make the call at this price (very small 0.13% equity error; less than 1% error).
    Smedgous(1205 behind): calls 330 <<< a reasonable call for the price, if you can fold a set when you don't improve.
    *** RIVER *** [7c Qc 2c 9h] [Jc]
    BamaJama77: bets 450
    Smedgous: folds

    I think you played the hand reasonably well based on the price you get.
  3. AlaskanStud AlaskanStud is offline

    AK
    United States

    Posts: 151
    Joined: Sep 06

    Nov 1st, 2007 (11/1/2007 9:34pm) in reply to MYBLUEDOG

    TY, well thought out.
    Thread Starter
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