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To take a coin flip or not?

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  1. wattyballs wattyballs is offline

    New York, NY
    United States

    Posts: 137
    Joined: Aug 05

    Nov 23rd, 2005 (11/23/2005 11:21pm)

    $10 NL HE MTT on Full Tilt
    Started with 350 people
    Blinds at 50/100
    I'm roughly 40th with 140 left with a stack of about 4,400 and am playing to win (or at least make FT) rather than worrying about cashing.

    I'm in late position with 10 10. There's one early position limper and the guy to my right goes all-in for 1,500. I'm absolutely certain that he has AK. Should I call to take the coin flip and look to chip up or wait for a better spot?

    Obviously since I'm posting, I called and lost. He did in fact have AK and hit an A on the flop.

    Thanks,
    wb
  2. Davio Davio is offline

    Antwerp
    Belgium

    Posts: 505
    Joined: Sep 05

    Nov 24th, 2005 (11/24/2005 12:59am) in reply to wattyballs

    Take a look at this article: http://www.cardplayer.com/poker_maga...amp;m_id=65576
  3. jay_shark jay_shark is offline

    NY
    United States

    Posts: 2,633
    Joined: Oct 05

    Nov 24th, 2005 (11/24/2005 6:52am) in reply to Davio

    You shouldn't have taken the coin flip .

    Don't even bother reading matts' article because there are several flaws in his argument . He is making the assumption that you're more than twice as likely to finish in 1st , 2nd, 3rd , nth place when this isn't true . His argument would be true if we were talking about a freezout tournament .
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