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Thoughts on this push (6manSNG)

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  1. dastrey dastrey is offline

    NE
    United States

    Posts: 68
    Joined: Sep 06

    Oct 28th, 2008 (10/28/2008 1:03am)

    Limit - Level VIII (200/400) - 2008/10/28 0:57:10 ET
    Table '116901072 1' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
    Seat 2: legend1409 (1863 in chips)
    Seat 5: Dastrey (2562 in chips)
    Seat 6: Lance_Sher (4575 in chips)
    legend1409: posts the ante 25
    Dastrey: posts the ante 25
    Lance_Sher: posts the ante 25
    Dastrey: posts small blind 200
    Lance_Sher: posts big blind 400
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Dastrey [3s 9d]
    legend1409: folds
    Dastrey: raises 2137 to 2537 and is all-in
    Lance_Sher: calls 2137
    *** FLOP *** [Ah 7d 4s]
    *** TURN *** [Ah 7d 4s] [7c]
    *** RIVER *** [Ah 7d 4s 7c] [9c]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Dastrey: shows [3s 9d] (two pair, Nines and Sevens)
    Lance_Sher: shows [Ks Ad] (two pair, Aces and Sevens)
    Lance_Sher collected 5149 from pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 5149 | Rake 0
    Board [Ah 7d 4s 7c 9c]
    Seat 2: legend1409 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 5: Dastrey (small blind) showed [3s 9d] and lost with two pair, Nines and Sevens
    Seat 6: Lance_Sher (big blind) showed [Ks Ad] and won (5149) with two pair, Aces and Sevens

    I don't know ICM but am I wrong for pushing here?
  2. elusively elusively is offline

    MD
    United States

    Posts: 5,261
    Joined: Feb 07

    Oct 28th, 2008 (10/28/2008 8:56am) in reply to dastrey

    ICM says it's a fold, but this assumes he is calling perfectly and he's probably not so you can shove a little wider.

    <table border="1" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="2"><tbody><tr><th width="40">PU</th><th width="40">CA</th><th width="40">OC</th><th>Range</th></tr><tr><td>BU</td><td>29.7%, 22+ A2s+ A4o+ K6s+ KTo+ Q8s+ QTo+ J8s+ JTo T8s+ 97s+ 87s </td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>12.7%, 55+ A7s+ A9o+ KJs+ KQo </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>8.3%, 66+ ATs+ AJo+ KQs </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>31.5%, 22+ Ax+ K4s+ K9o+ Q8s+ QTo+ J9s+ JTo T9s </td></tr><tr><td>SB</td><td>50.2%, 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K3o+ Q3s+ Q8o+ J5s+ J9o+ T6s+ T8o+ 95s+ 98o 85s+ 75s+ 64s+ 54s </td></tr><tr><td>BB</td><td>30.0%, 22+ Ax+ K6s+ K8o+ Q9s+ QTo+ JTs </td></tr></tbody></table>
  3. smugzy smugzy is offline

    Sherman Oaks, CA
    United States

    Posts: 137
    Joined: Jan 08

    Oct 28th, 2008 (10/28/2008 12:52pm) in reply to dastrey

    ICM assumes everyone is playing optimally. Most players don't. this should be a fold due to the short stacks size. 1800 at 2/4 will be cooked rather quickly.
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