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Thoughts on this spot

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  1. Arizona Bay Arizona Bay is offline

    IL
    United States

    Posts: 461
    Joined: Feb 06

    Apr 12th, 2010 (4/12/2010 3:07am)

    Not sure exactly how many people were left at this point but we were down to 3 tables. I have the villain as a decent winner with a sample of almost 3k at these limits, he was opening slightly over 3x, opened once and showed AQ and jammed about 20 bb's over an open and showed AK. Not all that helpful in this spot but what is ur default play here against the shoving ranges of a seemingly decent player at these low-mid limits? If you do think it's a fold what range are you calling with?

    Full Tilt Poker Game #20013954989: $35,000 Guarantee (153169871), Table 199 - 5000/10000 Ante 1000 - No Limit Hold'em - 1:22:41 ET - 2010/04/12
    Seat 1: fencinirish (361,823)
    Seat 2: SpoonmaN2333 (217,593)
    Seat 3: sedore623 (151,240)
    Seat 4: jocourier (228,298)
    Seat 6: blindxjustice (314,414)
    Seat 7: Bereznator (205,209)
    Seat 8: doubleup26 (186,835)
    Seat 9: MattXWitz (138,841)
    fencinirish antes 1,000
    SpoonmaN2333 antes 1,000
    sedore623 antes 1,000
    jocourier antes 1,000
    blindxjustice antes 1,000
    Bereznator antes 1,000
    doubleup26 antes 1,000
    MattXWitz antes 1,000
    fencinirish posts the small blind of 5,000
    SpoonmaN2333 posts the big blind of 10,000
    The button is in seat #9
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to SpoonmaN2333 [Kc 7c]
    sedore623 folds
    jocourier folds
    blindxjustice folds
    Bereznator folds
    doubleup26 folds
    MattXWitz raises to 137,841, and is all in
    fencinirish has 15 seconds left to act
    fencinirish folds
    SpoonmaN2333 has 15 seconds left to act
    SpoonmaN2333 has requested TIME
    MattXWitz: sm pair?
    SpoonmaN2333:?
  2. JustKLLinItQ JustKLLinItQ is offline

    Pendleton, OR
    United States

    Posts: 1,129
    Joined: Feb 08

    Apr 12th, 2010 (4/12/2010 3:19am) in reply to Arizona Bay

    No offense, but this is really no time to get cute, yeah yeah his range is pretty wide with the set circumstances, but fold, and pick a better spot and preserve the decent stack you still have.

    <input id="gwProxy" type="hidden"><input onclick="jsCall();" id="jsProxy" type="hidden">
  3. feedthemfish feedthemfish is offline

    United States

    Posts: 1,778
    Joined: Apr 08

    Apr 12th, 2010 (4/12/2010 5:12am) in reply to JustKLLinItQ

    insta fold
  4. ABorges ABorges is offline

    Sines
    Portugal

    Posts: 272
    Joined: Jul 08

    Apr 12th, 2010 (4/12/2010 8:20am) in reply to Arizona Bay

    What matters here is his range. From there it's easy to determine our own calling range. We need about 44.3% equity to call in order to be +cEV. You should know better then anyone else what his range really is, since you were the one playing with him, but I'll give it a shot knowing his OPR:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 59.202% 57.82% 01.39% 1354327688 32446332.00 { 22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, A5o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
    Hand 1: 40.798% 39.41% 01.39% 923211520 32446332.00 { K7s }

    Not sure how accurate that is, but assuming his true range doesn't deviate very far from it, it's a fold. So what range should we call with? Let's see what hands have over 44.3% equity versus that range:

    22+, A2s+, A7o+, KTs+, KTo+, QJs

    We have over 44.3% equity with those hands, so it's a +cEV call. I'm not sure how big a role ICM plays at this point in the tournament, but it shouldn't be too big. Play around with stove to get a better feel for this type of thing, it helps a lot.
  5. okse54 okse54 is offline

    New York, NY
    United States

    Posts: 3,692
    Joined: Nov 07

    Apr 12th, 2010 (4/12/2010 10:11am) in reply to ABorges

     
    Originally Posted by ABorges View Post


    What matters here is his range. From there it's easy to determine our own calling range. We need about 44.3% equity to call in order to be +cEV. You should know better then anyone else what his range really is, since you were the one playing with him, but I'll give it a shot knowing his OPR:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 59.202% 57.82% 01.39% 1354327688 32446332.00 { 22+, A2s+, K7s+, Q8s+, J9s+, T9s, 98s, A5o+, K9o+, QTo+, JTo }
    Hand 1: 40.798% 39.41% 01.39% 923211520 32446332.00 { K7s }

    Not sure how accurate that is, but assuming his true range doesn't deviate very far from it, it's a fold. So what range should we call with? Let's see what hands have over 44.3% equity versus that range:

    22+, A2s+, A7o+, KTs+, KTo+, QJs

    We have over 44.3% equity with those hands, so it's a +cEV call. I'm not sure how big a role ICM plays at this point in the tournament, but it shouldn't be too big. Play around with stove to get a better feel for this type of thing, it helps a lot.

    EDIT: nm misread
     
  6. rungoodmuch rungoodmuch is offline

    Posts: 2,881
    Joined: Mar 08

    Apr 12th, 2010 (4/12/2010 10:26am) in reply to Arizona Bay

    I call, just because of what he said in the chat
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