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Tough river spot. $.50/$1

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  1. emufart69 emufart69 is offline

    New Zealand

    Posts: 38
    Joined: Dec 06

    Jun 17th, 2009 (6/17/2009 11:42pm)

    OK, so i played this hand yesterday. No solid reads on villain, except he seems decent. hes been playing 24/20 preflop, and hasn't gotten out of line at all postflop. I haven't seen him float at all. Given that, and how the hand played out, whats your action on the river, and why? $100 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Wednesday, June 17, 14:23:49 NZST 2009 Table Table 127450 (No DP) (Real Money) Seat 3 is the button Total number of players : 6 Seat 2: AntonErbse ( $101.50 USD ) Seat 4: DukeStackem ( $361.91 USD ) Seat 6: Steppline ( $60.57 USD ) Seat 3: aMadSeal ( $169.14 USD ) Seat 1: emufart ( $109.98 USD ) Seat 5: olgimak ( $103.75 USD ) olgimak posts small blind [$0.50 USD]. Steppline posts big blind [$1 USD]. ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to emufart [ Ah Qd ] emufart raises [$3 USD] DukeStackem has left the table. AntonErbse folds aMadSeal folds olgimak calls [$2.50 USD] Steppline folds ** Dealing Flop ** [ Ts, 7c, 2h ] olgimak checks emufart bets [$4 USD] olgimak calls [$4 USD] ** Dealing Turn ** [ Ac ] olgimak checks emufart checks ** Dealing River ** [ As ] olgimak checks emufart bets [$11 USD] olgimak raises [$63 USD] Your time bank will be activated in 6 secs. If you do not want it to be used, please act now. emufart will be using his time bank for this hand. tillerman420 has joined the table. emufart:????? PS. sorry about the layout, not sure why its like that.
     
  2. JeffOkay JeffOkay is offline

    Burleigh Heads
    Australia

    Posts: 129
    Joined: Oct 06

    Jun 18th, 2009 (6/18/2009 2:29am) in reply to emufart69

    <SPAN lang=EN-AU>I think he thinks you don’t have an A and his slow played pocket JJ-KK are good. No draws hit, we loose to AT A7 A2 AK TT 77 22, but I don’t see A2 22 or maybe AK calling the flop, I doubt he does not bet AT A7 on the turn but then you did check AQ and I doubt that he does not lead out and value bet the river with any A, TT or 77 after you checked the turn. So we crush JJ-KK. I can call this</SPAN>
  3. Tamarick Tamarick is offline

    Newark, DE
    United States

    Posts: 44
    Joined: May 06

    Jun 18th, 2009 (6/18/2009 11:06am) in reply to emufart69

    This is a tough spot. I don't see much you can beat here. Unless he has exactly AJ or AQ you are toast. What bothers me is the Flop call and turn check. I suspect you would have gotten check-raised on the turn, had you not checked behind.

    Let's do the math to be sure though. It costs you $52 to see a pot worth $89 which is 1.5:1. You have to be right ~40% of the time for this to be profitable. Now lets put hands in his range that would make sense, because I wouldn't thin he would bluff at this river. This is a value bet, he thinks he has the best hand.

    Given a range of AT+, 77, 22, TT. You only have a 24% equity. There is no way you can call.

    I think most likely he has a boat here. Good lay down if you folded.
  4. emufart69 emufart69 is offline

    New Zealand

    Posts: 38
    Joined: Dec 06

    Jun 18th, 2009 (6/18/2009 5:50pm) in reply to Tamarick

    I agree with you Tamarick. I think he hardly ever shows up with a bluff here, by far most people would just lead the river if they had made their mind up to bluff. The only bluff i can see him having here, is a hand like 78 which he wanted to play bluff-catcher with, then decided i was making a marginal value bet on the river with like JJ or TJ, and couldn't call a big raise maybe? That said, I don't expect to see it very often at all. His large raise seems to me that hes targeting a call from an ace. So yeah I did lay it down, i didn't want to though lol. sick bluff by me with AQ haha.
     
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