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Pretty early in tourney still, should I still call this river? Advice?
Appreciate the feedback.
pokerstars Game #52217029455: Tournament #338010425, $5.00+$0.50 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2010/11/05 13:47:39 ET
Table '338010425 209' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: Bettylou100 (6815 in chips)
Seat 2: OLD_BOOKIE (3525 in chips)
Seat 3: JakalTheOne (2870 in chips)
Seat 4: Marcusb24 (3165 in chips)
Seat 5: salo melilla (2100 in chips)
Seat 6: RuiDGuina (5390 in chips)
Seat 7: matador270 (4605 in chips)
Seat 8: HIOX (9405 in chips)
Seat 9: JoeyJax64 (1715 in chips)
HIOX: posts small blind 50
JoeyJax64: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to matador270 [5c 6c]
Bettylou100: folds
OLD_BOOKIE: folds
JakalTheOne: folds
Marcusb24: folds
salo melilla: folds
RuiDGuina: folds
matador270: raises 133 to 233
HIOX: calls 183
JoeyJax64: folds
*** FLOP *** [3d 6h Ts]
HIOX: checks
matador270: bets 354
HIOX: calls 354
*** TURN *** [3d 6h Ts] [5s]
HIOX: checks
matador270: bets 542
HIOX: calls 542
*** RIVER *** [3d 6h Ts 5s] [Jh]
HIOX: bets 4000
matador270: calls 3476 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (524) returned to HIOX
*** SHOW DOWN ***
HIOX: shows [Jd 6d] (two pair, Jacks and Sixes)
matador270: shows [5c 6c] (two pair, Sixes and Fives)
HIOX collected 9310 from pot -
Villain check called your flop and your turn; so he is strong enough so far considering he is in a blind. Now he fires all-in on river which screams strength. He put you on a big pair given the board texture and your bet sizing. At that point in the tourney, you can fold, make notes, and recoop. Folding big hands on river is hard, but it improves ROI longtime.
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A big shove like this is either something that beats you (a set, better two pair) or complete air. He has to have air at least 40% of the time for this to be a good call. There's no way this is happening when he calls on a completely dry flop and a fairly innocuous turn.
The more you follow the min-raise philosophy, the more willing you have to be to fold your hand on later streets because you've invited everyone to think they have pot odds to call you pre-flop. In a $5 MTT, I'm raising 3x the BB (plus 1 BB per limper) early, and 2.5x once the antes kick in.
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