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I have no history with villain as he was moved to this table < 10 hands before the start of this one. At the beginning of this hand he's chipleader and I'm second in chips.
pokerstars Game #42637859434: Tournament #306010982, $24759291.25+$18190431.71+$5.00 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIII (600/1200) - 2010/04/13 20:36:02 PT [2010/04/13 23:36:02 ET]
Table '306010982 18' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: surrealz (127959 in chips)
Seat 2: Negriin (19944 in chips)
Seat 3: slystyle12 (28507 in chips)
Seat 5: rubish21 (159040 in chips)
Seat 6: keystone35 (21968 in chips)
surrealz: posts the ante 125
Negriin: posts the ante 125
slystyle12: posts the ante 125
rubish21: posts the ante 125
keystone35: posts the ante 125
slystyle12: posts small blind 600
rubish21: posts big blind 1200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to surrealz [Qs As]
keystone35: folds
surrealz: raises 1462 to 2662
Negriin: folds
slystyle12: folds
rubish21: raises 6938 to 9600
surrealz: calls 6938
*** FLOP *** [3h Ac 4c]
rubish21: bets 12000
surrealz: calls 12000
*** TURN *** [3h Ac 4c] [Tc]
rubish21: checks
surrealz: checks
*** RIVER *** [3h Ac 4c Tc] [9h]
rubish21: checks
surrealz: bets 16234
rubish21: raises 92966 to 109200
surrealz:
Before I get a ton of "bet turns".. if you really feel like that's the best play, cool but please explain yourself. My reasoning for checking the turn is I don't want him to spaz out with something like AxJc or a lone Kc, we're the deepest stacks in the tourney and the pot is already inflated so I'm fine with checking back for pot control. Maybe that's a case for actually checking the river back? I dunno I was certain I was value betting here. Even though I dont have history his range looks like KJ/QJ/KQ of clubs, spazzing 99/AA and air. I realize the standard play is fold I'd just like some analysis in this spot. FWIW he snapped the raise in on the river and his OPR showed like 70 tourneys lifetime. -
Well what I meant is that if I bet turn he has plenty of hand combos that can spazz and put me in a really tough spot plus it inflates the pot more so I feel really committed if he does something like c/c and jams the river and I'll still really have no idea where I'm at as i think most of his range c/c or crai this turn which doesn't clarify much. I meant to stress the pot control reason for checking back, and I think it makes the river easier to play as I can call any non club that he leads, check back or turn my hand into a bluff if a club comes and he checks, or i thought I could value bet a card like this. P.S. I'm currently pretty sleep deprived so I apologize if my thoughts aren't coming across clearly.
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that's gross... i like the turn check back too, and you definitely have to bet the river...
i guess just wtf fold and if he bluffed you nice hand?? idk.. that spot is gay as shit. -
nasty, but i'd probably look for a better spot. few sickos have this in there game with air here.
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Yeah this is exactly why I decided to post the hand. He's really not repping anything credibly. The play overall seems pretty spazzy but I was still thinking maybe he unknowingly turned AK/AA/99 into a bluff here. ICM-wise this really sucks and if he had more tourneys played with good results or some other reason for me to think he's capable of doing so I'd think he's abusing, but I had no such evidence.
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your river value bet appears pretty small compared to size of pot so he might've just spazzed and decided he could get you off a hand like you have (AJ/AQ etc) which is why I just want to click call
On the other hand the fact that he snap c/r and that most randoms don't have much river c/r air bluffs on scary boards in their arsenal seems to push it the other way
I'd be interested to see what other people have to say about it -
I think you played the hand well. Sick spot on the river that is probably a fold. I think he went crazy with 99 (9 of clubs). Results?
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So if you check the turn to prevent this kind of spaz, why not just check back the river as well. So if you are betting with intentions of calling, then call, if you are bet folding then why not just check.
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can you explain what you mean by turning second or top set into a bluff when its the nuts here?
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we dont beat a single hand in his value range by the river and we still have heaps with what is probably a very soft table, i think this is a pretty clear fold
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I'm a little curious why you bet so small on the river? The only reason I would bet this small on the river is to induce a bluff raise, which he did, so I would happily call. But with just one pair on the river, I don't usually try to build monster pots, so I'd make a standard size bet on the river and play accordingly.
I think you played the hand fine until the river. -
I like the check on the turn FWIW, if you get c/r there when the 3rd club falls it makes for a gross spot. However, I also like a check on the river...you have good showdown value and as you had stated earlier, you are the two big stacks and the pot is already inflated so no need to value bet with only TP and risk getting into a situation just like this. As for his raise, I think he only makes this raise with 2 hands that beat you, obv. flush like KQcc or something or 99. However i don't think he would have 3 bet you pre with a holding such as that (KQcc), and since the Ac is on the board, i feel that his likelihood of having a flush is pretty slim. therefore, i feel like you could almost pin this to 99 or a spaz out with like KK or something...I just really hope he didnt flip over A9? results?
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I dont mind it as played. I just feel if you are going to bet that amount on the river then you might as well just check. Clearly if u bet more on the river and he does the same thing, its easier to get away from.
Idk about all of you but I think checking here is the way to go. No need to hit a HR on this hand and we def dont want to take our selfs out of solid table dymanics. Long way to go and if you just arnt sure about reads on this guy then check and u get ur read and makes future hands a lot easier. -
As far as my river bet sizing goes, small bets are just a part of my mtt game in general, weather they're value, cbets or pure bluffs. Here I was trying to get value from the JJ-KK part of his range and I really never saw myself getting check raised here so I wasn't value towning myself too hard when he calls and I'm beat.
Results oriented I felt like I should have just checked behind but I'm not sure that should be standard when he checks twice here. I really don't feel like he repped a flush, but could definitely have spazzy trips so I folded. ICM implications were too much and I had no history, I'm still 3rd in chips if I fold etc. I haven't been in a spot like this for a while as peoples understanding of lines has at least improved to realize for the most part stuff like this doesn't make sense. -
i may get flamed for this, but id normally check the river as well, as played. i just dont wanna give him a chance to re-raise taking away a ton of value in your hand at the river. your on cruise control to make FT, and if youre comfortable with your game, keep those pots small. personally, i think youre good here but its an obv fold. and just in case he rivered a 9 or something, least you lose the minumum by checking back and you get to see his hole cards, thus seeing how he playing hands pre, during all streets, and if he overbetting with air or not
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