Check out our brand new Local Poker Communities! Get updates and interact with poker players in your area.
Visit the United States Poker Community | Visit the California Poker Community | Read more about the Launch of P5s Local

what are the chances of making a flush with suited cards

Reply to Thread
  1. mcwollis mcwollis is offline

    Bujumbura
    Burundi

    Posts: 491
    Joined: Apr 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:29am)

    just wondering
  2. gamaitec gamaitec is offline

    Arlington, VA
    United States

    Posts: 3,860
    Joined: Dec 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:31am) in reply to mcwollis

    sixty percent of the time
     
  3. AFink93 AFink93 is offline

    Norwich, CT
    United States

    Posts: 14,381
    Joined: Mar 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:31am) in reply to mcwollis

    On Poker stars... 100% if im playing against them and 1% if Im holding them.

    More importanly what are the chances of making a flush with unsuited cards?
  4. No-Loitering No-Loitering is offline

    Saint Charles, IL
    United States

    Posts: 719
    Joined: Aug 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:33am) in reply to AFink93

    odds double because you can make 2 flushes with unsuited cards obvvv
  5. JechtSphere JechtSphere is offline

    Posts: 3,446
    Joined: Feb 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:35am) in reply to No-Loitering

    If you hold two suited cards you have a 1% chance to flop a flush.
  6. mcwollis mcwollis is offline

    Bujumbura
    Burundi

    Posts: 491
    Joined: Apr 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:37am) in reply to JechtSphere

    i mean when all the cards are dealt
    Thread Starter
  7. rivverkiller rivverkiller is offline

    White Rock
    Canada

    Posts: 6,353
    Joined: Feb 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:55am) in reply to mcwollis

    Did we forget about suit domination? Odds of hitting a flush are like 1:2
     
  8. gamaitec gamaitec is offline

    Arlington, VA
    United States

    Posts: 3,860
    Joined: Dec 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 11:56am) in reply to rivverkiller

    you need to learn about unsuited 3 gapers,

    they make more straights and more flushes
     
  9. namniewd namniewd is offline

    Atlanta, GA
    United States

    Posts: 3,799
    Joined: Mar 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 12:30pm) in reply to gamaitec

    About the same chance of my Ax holding over KJ... about 6%
  10. alwaysdrowning alwaysdrowning is offline

    Jarrettsville, MD
    United States

    Posts: 2,088
    Joined: Aug 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 1:27pm) in reply to namniewd

    Diamonds hit the most flushes and that is the God's honest truth. FACT.
  11. rivverkiller rivverkiller is offline

    White Rock
    Canada

    Posts: 6,353
    Joined: Feb 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 1:32pm) in reply to namniewd

    suited diamonds as a rule are a coinflip over any 2 cards
     
  12. beanie beanie is offline

    Saint Paul, MN
    United States

    Posts: 6,272
    Joined: Jan 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 1:39pm) in reply to rivverkiller

    50/50, either it happens or it doesn't
  13. betbrett betbrett is offline

    United States

    Posts: 2,344
    Joined: Apr 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 2:10pm) in reply to rivverkiller

    A lot better than your chances if the cards are not of the same suit.
  14. degenrat degenrat is offline

    Crosswicks, NJ
    United States

    Posts: 877
    Joined: Feb 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 2:42pm) in reply to rivverkiller

    the same as your odds of getting a legit answer=0%
  15. Octan3_ipwnsippin Octan3_ipwnsippin is offline

    Winnipeg
    Canada

    Posts: 6,263
    Joined: Feb 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 2:47pm) in reply to rivverkiller

    the best hand to hit a flush or striahgt is Ten Five off suit, with one off suit being a diamond.

    No matter what cards come you ALWAYS have a straight draw, and you chances of flopping a flush draw increase to 97%, while you odds of hitting that flush, because you have T5, pokerstars' favorite hand, you wll have a flush 93% of the time by the river, and a straight the other 7% of the time.
  16. agriffrod agriffrod is offline 2010 WSOP #3 FT

    Posts: 7,044
    Joined: Dec 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 3:15pm) in reply to mcwollis

    No matter what cards come you ALWAYS have a straight draw

    what if they came AAA, KK2, 66A, TT5, and the list goes on.

    octan3 = pwned
     
  17. emcee21 emcee21 is offline

    Orlando, FL
    United States

    Posts: 15,891
    Joined: Feb 06

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 3:48pm) in reply to rivverkiller

    spade flushes >>>> diamond flushes

    quality over quantity
  18. Staple Gun Staple Gun is offline

    Lake Orion, MI
    United States

    Posts: 3,166
    Joined: Aug 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 3:53pm) in reply to mcwollis

    Well, if you are still looking for a serious answer I believe its as follows...

    If you hold suited cards....

    1 in 116 times you will flop a made flush.
    1 in 11 times you will flop a flush draw.
    1 in 2.5 times your flush draw will hit.
    1 in 30 times you will hit a flush if you see all 5 cards. <-- Not positive about that one
  19. OMG_LOL_WTF OMG_LOL_WTF is offline

    Los Angeles, CA
    United States

    Posts: 2,628
    Joined: Nov 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 4:06pm) in reply to Staple Gun

    6%
  20. bfactor bfactor is offline Server Clogger

    Posts: 22,135
    Joined: Sep 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 4:19pm) in reply to OMG_LOL_WTF

  21. jay_shark jay_shark is offline

    NY
    United States

    Posts: 2,633
    Joined: Oct 05

    Sep 2nd, 2006 (9/2/2006 4:45pm) in reply to bfactor

    Suppose you have any two suited cards and you get to see all five cards .

    Using combinatorics , you need three in that suit to make a flush from 50 remaining cards .

    There are 13-2 =11 cards in that suit and you need three of them to appear .

    Once you've selected 3 cards in that suit , there are 39 non flush out cards left .

    11C3 * 39C2/ 50C5 = 0.057 or 5.7 % which will happen about 1 in 16 attempts .

    I've excluded the case where 4 or 5 flush cards in that suit appear but it is negligible .
Reply to Thread

Similar Threads