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I run into situations like this all the time, and i'm not quite sure what to do on the river when I miss my draw. What does everyone do on the river here? Is this mostly based on your read of the opponent? Are my flop and turn bets correct? should I have raised pre? Thanks for all advice.
pokerstars Game #28885872340: Tournament #168497347, $11+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level III (25/50) - 2009/06/01 21:03:01 ET
Table '168497347 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: franktheowl (1420 in chips)
Seat 2: DirtyJB30236 (3060 in chips)
Seat 4: BallardP (1895 in chips)
Seat 5: Aguskb (1435 in chips)
Seat 6: magic_4105 (1530 in chips)
Seat 7: eaman123 (1360 in chips)
Seat 8: torte975 (2800 in chips)
Seat 9: Miser66 (1435 in chips)
franktheowl: posts small blind 25
DirtyJB30236: posts big blind 50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DirtyJB30236 [Tc Ac]
BallardP: calls 50
Aguskb: folds
magic_4105: folds
eaman123: folds
torte975: folds
Miser66: folds
franktheowl: calls 25
DirtyJB30236: checks
*** FLOP *** [Kc 4h 2c]
franktheowl: checks
DirtyJB30236: bets 100
BallardP: calls 100
franktheowl: folds
*** TURN *** [Kc 4h 2c] [3d]
DirtyJB30236: bets 250
BallardP: calls 250
*** RIVER *** [Kc 4h 2c 3d] [Qd]
DirtyJB30236: ? -
I might bet a little less on the turn but I think you played it fine. c/f river imo.
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I think a raise pre is okay, but the way you played this hand was super solid. I like your check because your postflop skills are superior here.
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I agree that the check is fine. The biggest problem with raising this hand is, if you make it 200, you either win a small pot right here, or you get a caller (usually UTG), and then your OOP without a great hand in what can quickly become a large pot.
But, raising does give you some control, so its give/take
I like the flop leadout. The flat call is tough to play. This isn't very drawy for UTG. A 3 is unlikely, and 2 clubs is unlikely, since you know where 4 of them are.
The turn call is odder. A decent King usually raises the turn here.
The river is tough. I hate betting here because, the argument for not raising pre is to not build a huge pot. You hit enough to put another 350 in. The queen doesn't really change anything here. Was he drawing here?
I don't think he's folding much to a reasonable bet. If he has 88, he's calling a river bet here. He's calling a weak King/he's calling a Queen. Hands he might fold is an AJ type hand or if he was drawing and missed.
I think you have to check/fold, though if you check and he fires out a 800 chip bet here (about pot), I'd be sick as I'm mucking the hand, because then, he probably is drawing and you very well might be ahead. -
I ended up checking the river, he bet 600, i folded, and he showed ace 8 off. My check on the river obviously looked weak to him, but i figured he must have at least one pair. I probably could have taken it down by leading on the river, but oh well. Thanks for the advice everyone.
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