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What hands should I expect a call from?

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  1. offtheboard offtheboard is offline

    Wheaton, IL
    United States

    Posts: 26
    Joined: Mar 07

    Aug 31st, 2007 (8/31/2007 4:47pm)

    The guy had been raising the blinds regularly which I was folding to, so this was the first time I pushed back. What would you call with?

    pokerstars Game #11795329038: Tournament #59857808, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2007/08/31 - 15:35:13 (ET)
    Table '59857808 1' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
    Seat 1: blaat81 (4875 in chips)
    Seat 6: offtheboard (1610 in chips)
    Seat 7: Medford Slim (755 in chips)
    Seat 8: Dirk Bravo (3120 in chips)
    Seat 9: Last Emu (3140 in chips)
    offtheboard: posts small blind 75
    Medford Slim: posts big blind 150
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to offtheboard [Ac Qc]
    Dirk Bravo: folds
    Last Emu: folds
    blaat81: raises 450 to 600
    offtheboard: raises 1010 to 1610 and is all-in
    Medford Slim: folds
    blaat81: calls 1010 <span><--- Insta-call BTW</span>
    *** FLOP *** [As 3h 6d]
    *** TURN *** [As 3h 6d] [5s]
    *** RIVER *** [As 3h 6d 5s] [8d]
  2. MYBLUEDOG MYBLUEDOG is offline

    Greenville, MS
    United States

    Posts: 1,999
    Joined: May 07

    Aug 31st, 2007 (8/31/2007 6:23pm) in reply to offtheboard

    From a rational player(straight forward) you get calls from top ten type hands (AA,KK,QQ,JJ,TT, AK and maybe AQs, 99, 88 if they want to race).

    Your push gives him pot odds to call with a wide range of hands.

    he bets 600 you push 1610 and he already gets 2:1 or better. He's priced in to a race with any pair. iF he puts you on small pairs or two big cards. [Q,7] being the medium average hand against your push range..

    Pot 750 + 1610 = 2360
    Pot odds 2360:1010 = 2.34:1 or TOP 30% hand

    Hold'em Simulation
    <span>36,657,004,032 trials (Exhaustive)</span>
    <table border="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><th>Hand</th><th>Pot equity</th><th>Wins</th><th>Ties</th></tr><tr><td>AK,AQ,KQ,KJ</td><td>55.63%</td><td>19,586,857,712</td><td>1,607,386,452</td></tr><tr><td>30%</td><td>44.37%</td><td>15,462,759,868</td><td>1,607,386,452</td></tr></tbody></table>

    Hold'em Simulation
    <span>71,279,790,912 trials (Exhaustive)</span>
    <table border="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><th>Hand</th><th>Pot equity</th><th>Wins</th><th>Ties</th></tr><tr><td>AK,AQ,KQ,KJ,22-TT</td><td>54.13%</td><td>37,617,062,156</td><td>1,927,219,500</td></tr><tr><td>30%</td><td>45.87%</td><td>31,735,509,256</td><td>1,927,219,500</td></tr></tbody></table>

    Hold'em Simulation
    <span>2,931,464,448 trials (Exhaustive)</span>
    <table border="1" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><th>Hand</th><th>Pot equity</th><th>Wins</th><th>Ties</th></tr><tr><td>AK,AQ,KQ,KJ,22-TT</td><td>65.51%</td><td>1,905,334,660</td><td>29,974,992</td></tr><tr><td>Q7</td><td>34.49%</td><td>996,154,796</td><td>29,974,992</td></tr></tbody></table>
  3. sotti sotti is offline

    Portland, OR
    United States

    Posts: 1,342
    Joined: Sep 06

    Aug 31st, 2007 (8/31/2007 6:46pm) in reply to offtheboard

    5 handed, raises from the button. He's got a big stack so he can affot to flough off chips.

    pot odds are 2.3:1 meaning he only needs a 30% chance to win to justify calling, So I'm gonna go ahead and say he's insta calling you as long as one card is a ten or higher.

    If I'm the guy on the button I either raise to 450, and can then reasonably fold to your reraise if I'm raising with air, or I simply go all in because a raise to 600 or more 100% commits him to the hand. So it's hard for me to say that the villian played it exactly like I would.

    My hand range there from the button is probably J9+, Q7+, K5+, A2+, 33+, and with any of those hands I insta call your push based on pot odds.

    overpair v underpair 80.5/19.5
    overpair v suited connectors 77.5/22.5
    AKs v A2o 75/25
    AKo v ATs 69/31
    AKs v 72o 69/31
    TT v J4s 68/32
    AK v Q7 67/33
    AJ v K3 64/36

    With only needing 29% to call he's pretty calling with any two cards he raised with.
  4. Damo Suzuki Damo Suzuki is offline

    Whitefish, MT
    United States

    Posts: 281
    Joined: Apr 06

    Sep 1st, 2007 (9/1/2007 11:28pm) in reply to offtheboard

    any two
     
  5. offtheboard offtheboard is offline

    Wheaton, IL
    United States

    Posts: 26
    Joined: Mar 07

    Sep 2nd, 2007 (9/2/2007 12:22am) in reply to Damo Suzuki

    And any two it was Damo ... he flips over 65off and hits his two pair on the turn. gg me

    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    offtheboard: shows [Ac Qc] (a pair of Aces)
    blaat81: shows [6s 5c] (two pair, Sixes and Fives)
    blaat81 collected 3370 from pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 3370 | Rake 0
    Board [As 3h 6d 5s 8d]
    Seat 1: blaat81 (button) showed [6s 5c] and won (3370) with two pair, Sixes and Fives
    Seat 6: offtheboard (small blind) showed [Ac Qc] and lost with a pair of Aces
    Seat 7: Medford Slim (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 8: Dirk Bravo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 9: Last Emu folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Thread Starter
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