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What are the odds?

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  1. Gramps Gramps is offline

    Caldwell, ID
    United States

    Posts: 56
    Joined: Jan 06

    Mar 10th, 2011 (3/10/2011 11:30pm)

    Ok...math guys. 6 handed cash game.....KK vs. KK...2 consecutive hands, with same two people involved. Honest to God...happened on Bodog today!
  2. Tilted0o Tilted0o is offline

    Holy See (Vatican City State)

    Posts: 300
    Joined: May 10

    Mar 10th, 2011 (3/10/2011 11:33pm) in reply to Gramps

    100%... because it was obv rigged
  3. Gramps Gramps is offline

    Caldwell, ID
    United States

    Posts: 56
    Joined: Jan 06

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 5:49am) in reply to ShyGuy03533

    HH? Bodog?? Did you really want to go there? Anyway, appreciate the clever, humorous response.
    Thread Starter
  4. Sagacious Man Sagacious Man is offline

    Australia

    Posts: 804
    Joined: Oct 10

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 6:30am) in reply to Gramps

    Impressive! Did the suits match too ?

    Best I've had is being dealt A9 on 3 diff tables simultaneously.
  5. haonhack haonhack is offline

    Thailand

    Posts: 762
    Joined: Jun 08

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 7:22am) in reply to Sagacious Man

    last spring my friend was dealing us heads up and i was trying to teach them some basic things. i started talking about how cool it is to get the same cards, same suits twice in a row. less than a minute later got A8 of spades twice in a row. and i had been cutting his shuffles and everything. we then played with a ouija board and burned some cats.
  6. vcehorosho vcehorosho is offline

    United States

    Posts: 79
    Joined: Jul 07

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 7:30am) in reply to haonhack

    50/50? happens or it doesn't
     
  7. haonhack haonhack is offline

    Thailand

    Posts: 762
    Joined: Jun 08

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 7:43am) in reply to vcehorosho

     
    Originally Posted by vcehorosho View Post

    50/50? happens or it doesn't

    ^he's got a point

    if you grind some high volume online you see hands and things like this all the time and ~daily
  8. yoonaSNSDjess yoonaSNSDjess is offline

    Seoul
    Korea, Republic of

    Posts: 694
    Joined: Jan 10

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 11:26am) in reply to haonhack

    i was 3 tabling and got AA on two of the tables at the same exact time, got a pic for it too
  9. m_hawk_1 m_hawk_1 is offline

    Australia

    Posts: 752
    Joined: Mar 07

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 3:56pm) in reply to pinishe45

    The odds of predicting it advance are ridiculously high. But the odds of it actually happening are no different to the odds of any number of different combos showing up, this one just looked cooler, so you noticed it.
    471 
  10. Sportbike33 Sportbike33 is offline

    Dunwoody, GA
    United States

    Posts: 878
    Joined: Oct 08

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 4:00pm) in reply to m_hawk_1

    I was 4 tabling .25 NL rush and got 72 on all 4 tables... insta fold, prob why I love rush poker so much
  11. donkiman donkiman is offline

    Posts: 1,334
    Joined: Aug 10

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 4:22pm) in reply to Sportbike33

    There are 2 ways to look at it. #1 What is the odds of the same 2 players each getting KK on the next hand, that got it the hand before. Because the initial event already happened, and is bound to happen periodically through randomization, you want to focus on the prob. of the second hand (the repeat) because this situation wouldn't stand out to you unless the first hand had already happened. =(4/52)*(3/52)*(2/52)*(1/52) = 0.0000032% (this does not specify suits, just simply kk vs. kk)

    #2 The prob of the same 2 people both getting KK on THE VERY 2 NEXT HANDS is our answer above squared. So (0.0000032)^2 = a very very small number
     
  12. ricardogcl ricardogcl is offline

    Săo Paulo
    Brazil

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    Joined: May 07

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 4:30pm) in reply to m_hawk_1

     
    Originally Posted by m_hawk_1 View Post

    The odds of predicting it advance are ridiculously high. But the odds of it actually happening are no different to the odds of any number of different combos showing up, this one just looked cooler, so you noticed it.

    exactly this
     
  13. retr0byte retr0byte is offline

    Timisoara
    Romania

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    Joined: May 10

    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 6:13pm) in reply to ricardogcl

    i once got set over set over set what are the odds of that ?
  14. wackyJaxon wackyJaxon is offline Admin X

    Vilnius
    Lithuania

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    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 6:25pm) in reply to retr0byte

     
    Originally Posted by retr0byte View Post

    i once got set over set over set what are the odds of that ?

    0% if you both have KK ;)

    On a serious note, the link below says its about 1% to flop set over set.

    http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/25...er-set-380320/
    Edited By: wackyJaxon Mar 11th, 2011 at 06:29 PM
      1 
  15. DrewUCF DrewUCF is offline

    Colorado Springs, CO
    United States

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    Mar 11th, 2011 (3/11/2011 9:48pm) in reply to retr0byte

     
    Originally Posted by retr0byte View Post

    i once got set over set over set what are the odds of that ?

    Speaking of set over set over set, did you try turning quads?

    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to drewucf [5c 5d]
    Chakal1: raises $0.50 to $0.75
    Sofinsky: folds
    spartanec133: calls $0.75
    drewucf: calls $0.75
    Shabbzoy: folds
    A PokerPhool: folds
    *** FLOP *** [7d 5h Jd]
    Chakal1: checks
    spartanec133: checks
    drewucf: bets $1.50
    Chakal1: raises $2.50 to $4
    spartanec133: calls $4
    drewucf: calls $2.50
    *** TURN *** [7d 5h Jd] [5s]
    Chakal1: bets $6.75
    spartanec133: calls $6.75
    drewucf: raises $13.50 to $20.25 and is all-in
    Chakal1: calls $13.50
    spartanec133: raises $11.79 to $32.04 and is all-in
    Chakal1: calls $1.85 and is all-in
    Uncalled bet ($9.94) returned to spartanec133
    *** RIVER *** [7d 5h Jd 5s] [4s]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Chakal1: shows [Js Jc] (a full house, Jacks full of Fives)
    spartanec133: shows [7c 7s] (a full house, Sevens full of Fives)
    Chakal1 collected $3.70 from side pot
    drewucf: shows [5c 5d] (four of a kind, Fives)
    drewucf collected $73.35 from main pot

    /micro brag
  16. retr0byte retr0byte is offline

    Timisoara
    Romania

    Posts: 58
    Joined: May 10

    Mar 12th, 2011 (3/12/2011 12:23am) in reply to DrewUCF

    i tried but failed a ton lol
  17. rock_it_bad rock_it_bad is offline

    Bateman
    Australia

    Posts: 167
    Joined: Aug 10

    Mar 12th, 2011 (3/12/2011 12:38am) in reply to retr0byte

    once had pocket tens dealt to me at the same table 4 times in a row no joke.. no i idea what the odds of that happening but gotta be pretty rare
  18. iamthedeck ftw iamthedeck ftw is offline

    Windsor
    Canada

    Posts: 1,184
    Joined: Jan 10

    Mar 12th, 2011 (3/12/2011 1:32am) in reply to rock_it_bad

    ((4/52)*(3/51)*(2/50)*(1/49)^2)*(2/6)= 0.000000000455%
    I think. Can't really wrap my head around the same two players factor in the next hand???
     
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