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What are the odds in a NLHE game with 9 people seated

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  1. KillerMizzou KillerMizzou is offline

    Columbia, MO
    United States

    Posts: 66
    Joined: Feb 05

    Apr 18th, 2005 (4/18/2005 5:35pm)

    of the same player being dealt KK twice in a row and both times, coming up against AA (The AA was two different opponents)? We had this happen in our Poker group this weekend.
  2. Lefort Lefort is offline

    Toronto
    Canada

    Posts: 275
    Joined: Mar 05

    Apr 18th, 2005 (4/18/2005 6:08pm) in reply to KillerMizzou

    The odds of someone else having AA when you are dealt KK would be (1/220)*(9/220) = 9/48400

    The odds of this happening back to back would be (9/48400)^2 = 81/2342560000 ~ 1 in 29 million.

    Ofcourse, this is the chances of it happening to a PARTICULAR PERSON at a PARTICULAR moment in time. (As in, if I were to state that it was going to happen to me on the next 2 hands we play..)

    So at a 10 handed table this could happen to anyone, making it 1 in 2.9 million chance.

    If you guys played 200 hands that day, it was roughly a 1 in 15,000 chance that this was going to happen to someone.

    If I, personally, were to play 200 hands a day, every day of the year, the odds of this happening to me would be 1 in 400.

    Safe to say it was a pretty big longshot... :)
     1
  3. cales157 cales157 is offline

    West Palm Beach, FL
    United States

    Posts: 128
    Joined: Mar 05

    Apr 18th, 2005 (4/18/2005 6:40pm) in reply to KillerMizzou

    This is amazing, but follow mw here. UTG raises (pocket Jacks), Short stack in about seat 7 goes All IN (Pocket Queens), Small Blind Calls (Pocket Kings), Big Blind Raises All In (Pocket Aces). Any way UTG folded, & everyone else is All In. Aces held up. This really happened in a game last week that I was involved in. The odds of this have got to be crazy & in the order of there Strength to top it off.

    See You At The Tables

    CALES157
  4. BigGunX BigGunX is offline Mr OT Party

    Williamsburg, VA
    United States

    Posts: 21,287
    Joined: Feb 05

    Apr 18th, 2005 (4/18/2005 6:52pm) in reply to cales157

    I played in a tourney at the Trop in Atlantic City a few weekends ago. I had AA three times in 90 minutes. On two of those occasions, I had it in the big blind. On both of THOSE occasions, the small blind had KK and pushed all in on me. Amazing. Even more miraculous than that, the AA held all 3 times I had it, and in the one instance, it was a 4 way all in. I had a boner all the way to the final table.
     
  5. mhoddi mhoddi is offline

    Western Sahara

    Posts: 11,715
    Joined: Feb 05

    Apr 18th, 2005 (4/18/2005 7:15pm) in reply to BigGunX

    I hope you didn't walk around on the breaks.
     
  6. BigGunX BigGunX is offline Mr OT Party

    Williamsburg, VA
    United States

    Posts: 21,287
    Joined: Feb 05

    Apr 18th, 2005 (4/18/2005 7:30pm) in reply to mhoddi

    Hahahaha!!!
     
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