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What are the odds? set over set over set.

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  1. EradEcator EradEcator is offline

    Hamilton
    Canada

    Posts: 174
    Joined: May 07

    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 1:49pm)

    pokerstars Game #13985730471: Tournament #70445370, $5.00+$0.50 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2007/12/20 - 14:21:38 (ET)
    Table '70445370 147' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
    Seat 1: cheesesquare (5210 in chips)
    Seat 2: tonicast78 (4915 in chips)
    Seat 3: Shewbakka (1460 in chips)
    Seat 4: Boerie (14121 in chips)
    Seat 5: vj123 (570 in chips)
    Seat 6: Faraon777 (5285 in chips) is sitting out
    Seat 7: EradEcator (8050 in chips)
    Seat 8: guayo88 (7240 in chips)
    Seat 9: Elinho (1480 in chips)
    Boerie: posts small blind 75
    vj123: posts big blind 150
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to EradEcator [Ad Ac]
    Faraon777: folds
    Shewbakka said, "oufff"
    EradEcator: raises 275 to 425
    guayo88: calls 425
    Elinho: folds
    cheesesquare: folds
    tonicast78: folds
    Shewbakka: folds
    Boerie: raises 475 to 900
    vj123: folds
    EradEcator: raises 7150 to 8050 and is all-in
    guayo88: calls 6815 and is all-in
    Boerie: calls 7150
    *** FLOP *** [Qs 5h Th]
    Faraon777 has returned
    *** TURN *** [Qs 5h Th] [8d]
    EradEcator said, "lol"
    *** RIVER *** [Qs 5h Th 8d] [As]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    Boerie: shows [Ts Td] (three of a kind, Tens)
    EradEcator: shows [Ad Ac] (three of a kind, Aces)
    Boerie said, "lol"
    EradEcator collected 1620 from side pot
    guayo88: shows [Qd Qc] (three of a kind, Queens)
    EradEcator said, "hahahahhahah"
    Elinho said, "lol"
    EradEcator collected 21870 from main pot
    EradEcator said, "wtf are the odds"
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 23490 Main pot 21870. Side pot 1620. | Rake 0
    Board [Qs 5h Th 8d As]
    Seat 1: cheesesquare folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: tonicast78 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 3: Shewbakka (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: Boerie (small blind) showed [Ts Td] and lost with three of a kind, Tens
    Seat 5: vj123 (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 6: Faraon777 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: EradEcator showed [Ad Ac] and won (23490) with three of a kind, Aces
    Seat 8: guayo88 showed [Qd Qc] and lost with three of a kind, Queens
    Seat 9: Elinho folded before Flop (didn't bet)
  2. TheMayor TheMayor is offline

    Boston, MA
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 1:50pm) in reply to EradEcator

    7622:1
  3. MONEY_STORM MONEY_STORM is offline

    Gonzaga
    Philippines

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 2:02pm) in reply to TheMayor

    you and your math...jesus christ lol
  4. Decatur217 Decatur217 is offline OTs Iron Man

    IL
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 2:25pm) in reply to EradEcator

    Brag post about actually getting AA. and then actually re-sucking out with AA.
  5. chknpotpie chknpotpie is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 2:26pm) in reply to MONEY_STORM

    its literally elementary school/middle school math
  6. garyak1 garyak1 is offline

    Grande Prairie
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 2:32pm) in reply to EradEcator

    I saw this live once in an 18 player 2 table home game tourney with rebuys - first hand of tourney ( no, I was not dealer ) . Gal slow plays trip 6's on a raggy flop. I turn trip 10's and 2nd villian catches trip 7's on the river as he was on a straight draw. All the money finally gets in on the river. ... rebuy,rebuy.
  7. time4badbeat time4badbeat is offline

    WI
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 4:17pm) in reply to garyak1

    Hrm --- kinda sick that 3 ppl would get it all in when the board was something like 456T7? no?

    And none of them has the straight?
     
  8. Hoobangin Hoobangin is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 4:20pm) in reply to time4badbeat

    Whats the odds of flopping it? I only seen it once i think in one million hands or so...
     
  9. SloHand SloHand is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 6:24pm) in reply to Hoobangin

    On pokerstars about 50/50
  10. eddie24b eddie24b is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 6:32pm) in reply to SloHand

    even money
     
  11. sean614 sean614 is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 6:34pm) in reply to time4badbeat

    not that strange if it were a REBUY
  12. Sandman_Good Sandman_Good is offline

    Salt Lake City, UT
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 6:36pm) in reply to EradEcator

    I had this happen live once in a cash game.

    Flop 972

    I had 99....some else had 77...and obv..someone had 22

    3 sets all on the flop..

    Calculate those odds.

    Sandman_Good
  13. dealace1 dealace1 is offline @ UFC 115 via UB

    Mississauga
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 7:04pm) in reply to TheMayor

    It's about 1:100 for two people with pocket pairs to both hit sets.
  14. SJCX SJCX is offline

    Sherman, TX
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 8:34pm) in reply to EradEcator

    I was in a hand where I flopped bottom set against two other sets....
     
  15. sol160 sol160 is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 8:57pm) in reply to SJCX

    in AC i was playing a tourney. flop was 9,5,2. 3 guys end yp getting all thier money in, thier hands 99, 55, 22. 3 sets before even the turn card.
  16. Roundelay Roundelay is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 9:10pm) in reply to sol160

    <span>chances of getting a pp:</span>
    1 : 221

    <span>chances of three players getting a pp at the same time:</span>
    1 : 221 ^ 3 = 1 : 10 793 861

    <span>chances of flopping a set:</span>
    1 : 7.5

    <span>chances of three players flopping a set at the same time:</span>
    1 : 10 793 861 (7.5^3)
    <span>= 1 : 4 553 660 109.375</span>
  17. DikkStallion DikkStallion is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 9:17pm) in reply to Roundelay

    lol
  18. Roundelay Roundelay is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 9:18pm) in reply to DikkStallion

    :-)
  19. elendil elendil is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 9:47pm) in reply to Roundelay

    lol @ 1.221 to get dealt a PP
  20. Roundelay Roundelay is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 9:53pm) in reply to elendil

    chances of getting a card of any rank, with 52 cards to be dealt.
    1 : 13

    chances of getting a card of that same rank, with 51 cards to be dealt.
    1 : 17

    1 / 13 * 1 / 17 = 1 / 221

    it's not going to play out that way, obv. but that's the theoretical expectation.... I think.
  21. ActionJeff ActionJeff is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 10:56pm) in reply to Roundelay

    <table bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="4" cellspacing="0" width="100%"><tbody><tr bgcolor="#eeeedd"><td><table border="0" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td valign="top"> </td><td>Re(5): What are the odds? set over set over set.
    by Roundelay on 12/20/2007 21:53 </td><td><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td><nobr> </nobr> </td><td><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td></td><td></td></tr><tr><td></td><td> </td></tr></tbody></table> </td></tr></tbody></table> </td></tr></tbody></table> </td></tr><tr bgcolor="#ffffff"><td bgcolor="#ffffff"></td><td colspan="2"><table celspacing="0" border="0" cellpadding="2"><tbody><tr><td>chances of getting a card of any rank, with 52 cards to be dealt.
    1 : 13</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>

    this forum is way, way too good
    1
  22. crzysavage crzysavage is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 11:01pm) in reply to ActionJeff

    lolol
     
  23. BCP BCP is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 11:05pm) in reply to Roundelay

    Odds of getting a specific pocket pair, say AA, is 1 in 221. Odds of getting any pocket pair is approx 1 in 17.
  24. Langer25 Langer25 is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 11:09pm) in reply to BCP

    so what are the REAL odds of set/set/set?
  25. Schlik20 Schlik20 is offline

    Madison, WI
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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 11:09pm) in reply to crzysavage

    lool... WTF... so as the cards are being dealt Im thinking in my head, I need a 7 in my hand the first time, and then if I get that 7 and pray to get another 7, my chances are 1:17.. im leveled at the fact that has nething to do with set over set over set..
  26. scarface_79 scarface_79 is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 11:15pm) in reply to EradEcator

    on stars the other day in a mtt, we flopped set over set over set, business as usual on stars.

    i obv had middle set
     1
  27. WeWaysAwIn WeWaysAwIn is offline

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    Dec 20th, 2007 (12/20/2007 11:20pm) in reply to EradEcator

    Assuming 3 people are holding pocket pairs and see the flop.

    Chance of flopping 3 sets:
    (6/46)x(4/45)x(2/44)= 1/1897.5

    Chance of having 3 sets by the river:
    (1/1897.5)x(5!/(3!2!))= 1/189.75

    I'm not 100% sure the second one is right. It is at least close.

    mathtards 1/221
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