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Wow...Graps steps up to the hof.
Originally Posted by grapsfan
Then fucking quit. Nothing personal, and I'm not trying to be mean - although I sure feel like it.Originally Posted by n2kfactor
Yeah but where's the edge when I'm shoving 99 and getting called by QA??
There are hardly any donks in the game I play...
ITS ALWAYS A COINFLIP ALL THE TIME...I don't know why
But people give you advice in every post you make. Good advice. And you seem to listen to none of it. So, you think everyone plays perfectly...but are looking to call them donks anyway....
I think there's always a donk in the game you play, N2K...wanna guess his name?
So in one hand, you played right with 99, and you got called correctly with AQ, and you lost the flip. Boo fucking hoo. Happens to every single one of us, every single day.
My guess is you missed dozens of opportunities to chip up before that spot, and be in better shape to survive losing the flip. Spots where you could have raised from the cutoff and stolen the blinds, but you clicked on "auto-fold" with your 97off. Spots where a super-loose player c-betting the flop, and you folded 2nd pair because you weren't paying enough attention to notice what a LAGtard he is. Spots where you could re-raise with AJoff, but you're afraid of it.
We all miss those spots...but are trying to improve rather than fucking whine about it. Personally, I hope to have you posting more when you're doing more improving and less whining. But not until then. -
Thanks all. Thanks.
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Haven't read the replies so I'm sorry if repost. But why aq have 6 bbs? Did he just los an allin? If not, that's where the edge lies...
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not even the best players in the world play perfectly,and they certainly don't play their A games 100% of the time in every single tournament.
Not to mention everyone but the top 5% of tournament players suck. -
"The rule is this, If you cant spot the sucker at your first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker". -Rounders-
Originally Posted by n2kfactor
Excluding the donk-type freeroll players which you'd hardly find , isn't poker just a game of luck when everyone is playing just perfectly especially towards later stages of tournaments..
For example, player A on BTN open-raises x3 with pocket 10s and player in SB shoves 6 big blinds with AQo and gets called..flop 267K9...gg AQ...nobody played wrong
I mean where's the edge coming from when everyone is playing just correctly?
I'm asking this because I face such situations towards later stages of tournaments and its just luck most of the time..whether the A misses or hits..thats all -
this needs love
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Have you taken a stats class before? I hope so...
Originally Posted by JonBon-10
Surely, as hard as it may be to believe, there is no such thing as luck in poker. Luck is a chance, unknown and unpredictable happening, which is completely undefinable by empirical methods. Poker is based upon mathematical and finite principles, there can only ever be one final outcome when the entire sample has been undertaken. if you are 51% to win a particular hand, then over the course of the entire sample where every possible factor is considered and every variable accounted for, you will win exactly 51% of the time.Originally Posted by jtown1010
Man you guys are jerks, 3 pages and nobody answers this poor guys question.
OP, if you shove AQ into TT and lose near the end of a tourney, or vice versa, yes that is all luck.
Unless you believe in string theory, in which case we're all fucked anyway -
NOW THAT'S a fucking dose of truth... WP Graps. Keep it real for the damn whin-a-potamus crew.
Originally Posted by grapsfan
Then fucking quit. Nothing personal, and I'm not trying to be mean - although I sure feel like it.Originally Posted by n2kfactor
Yeah but where's the edge when I'm shoving 99 and getting called by QA??
There are hardly any donks in the game I play...
ITS ALWAYS A COINFLIP ALL THE TIME...I don't know why
But people give you advice in every post you make. Good advice. And you seem to listen to none of it. So, you think everyone plays perfectly...but are looking to call them donks anyway....
I think there's always a donk in the game you play, N2K...wanna guess his name?
So in one hand, you played right with 99, and you got called correctly with AQ, and you lost the flip. Boo fucking hoo. Happens to every single one of us, every single day.
My guess is you missed dozens of opportunities to chip up before that spot, and be in better shape to survive losing the flip. Spots where you could have raised from the cutoff and stolen the blinds, but you clicked on "auto-fold" with your 97off. Spots where a super-loose player c-betting the flop, and you folded 2nd pair because you weren't paying enough attention to notice what a LAGtard he is. Spots where you could re-raise with AJoff, but you're afraid of it.
We all miss those spots...but are trying to improve rather than fucking whine about it. Personally, I hope to have you posting more when you're doing more improving and less whining. But not until then. -
To add to this--We have no clue what cards are coming so it is unpredictable, unknown and variant in nature.
Originally Posted by srooney3
Have you taken a stats class before? I hope so...Originally Posted by JonBon-10
Surely, as hard as it may be to believe, there is no such thing as luck in poker. Luck is a chance, unknown and unpredictable happening, which is completely undefinable by empirical methods. Poker is based upon mathematical and finite principles, there can only ever be one final outcome when the entire sample has been undertaken. if you are 51% to win a particular hand, then over the course of the entire sample where every possible factor is considered and every variable accounted for, you will win exactly 51% of the time.Originally Posted by jtown1010
Man you guys are jerks, 3 pages and nobody answers this poor guys question.
OP, if you shove AQ into TT and lose near the end of a tourney, or vice versa, yes that is all luck.
Unless you believe in string theory, in which case we're all fucked anyway
And just throwing this out there... Sure you think you are in a coin flip situation when you have 2 overs against an under pair but isn't that the internal optimist in all of us? The value in a "coin flip" is more variance laden than people think. In most cases I think it's safe to assume (if anyone has the stats to back this up I'd appreciate it) that two overs has much less value at a 9 handed table than roughly 50 percent because of the 14 cards already in the muck. So when most people are taking these "flips" I'd almost guarantee the pocket pair has a much greater win rate in the long run, especially in MTT's and full ring games. Maybe that's obvious to most posters but it seems like every time someone writes a post on here about getting it in with two overs vs a PP that they are getting roughly 50/50 value and I'd say that's probably more the exception than the rule... -
Um, No... no it isnt.
Originally Posted by jsagan77
To add to this--We have no clue what cards are coming so it is unpredictable, unknown and variant in nature.Originally Posted by srooney3
Have you taken a stats class before? I hope so...Originally Posted by JonBon-10
Surely, as hard as it may be to believe, there is no such thing as luck in poker. Luck is a chance, unknown and unpredictable happening, which is completely undefinable by empirical methods. Poker is based upon mathematical and finite principles, there can only ever be one final outcome when the entire sample has been undertaken. if you are 51% to win a particular hand, then over the course of the entire sample where every possible factor is considered and every variable accounted for, you will win exactly 51% of the time.Originally Posted by jtown1010
Man you guys are jerks, 3 pages and nobody answers this poor guys question.
OP, if you shove AQ into TT and lose near the end of a tourney, or vice versa, yes that is all luck.
Unless you believe in string theory, in which case we're all fucked anyway
And just throwing this out there... Sure you think you are in a coin flip situation when you have 2 overs against an under pair but isn't that the internal optimist in all of us? The value in a "coin flip" is more variance laden than people think. In most cases I think it's safe to assume (if anyone has the stats to back this up I'd appreciate it) that two overs has much less value at a 9 handed table than roughly 50 percent because of the 14 cards already in the muck. So when most people are taking these "flips" I'd almost guarantee the pocket pair has a much greater win rate in the long run, especially in MTT's and full ring games. Maybe that's obvious to most posters but it seems like every time someone writes a post on here about getting it in with two overs vs a PP that they are getting roughly 50/50 value and I'd say that's probably more the exception than the rule... -
Nice insightful post...
Originally Posted by jaykay24
Um, No... no it isnt.Originally Posted by jsagan77
To add to this--We have no clue what cards are coming so it is unpredictable, unknown and variant in nature.Originally Posted by srooney3
Have you taken a stats class before? I hope so...Originally Posted by JonBon-10
Surely, as hard as it may be to believe, there is no such thing as luck in poker. Luck is a chance, unknown and unpredictable happening, which is completely undefinable by empirical methods. Poker is based upon mathematical and finite principles, there can only ever be one final outcome when the entire sample has been undertaken. if you are 51% to win a particular hand, then over the course of the entire sample where every possible factor is considered and every variable accounted for, you will win exactly 51% of the time.Originally Posted by jtown1010
Man you guys are jerks, 3 pages and nobody answers this poor guys question.
OP, if you shove AQ into TT and lose near the end of a tourney, or vice versa, yes that is all luck.
Unless you believe in string theory, in which case we're all fucked anyway
And just throwing this out there... Sure you think you are in a coin flip situation when you have 2 overs against an under pair but isn't that the internal optimist in all of us? The value in a "coin flip" is more variance laden than people think. In most cases I think it's safe to assume (if anyone has the stats to back this up I'd appreciate it) that two overs has much less value at a 9 handed table than roughly 50 percent because of the 14 cards already in the muck. So when most people are taking these "flips" I'd almost guarantee the pocket pair has a much greater win rate in the long run, especially in MTT's and full ring games. Maybe that's obvious to most posters but it seems like every time someone writes a post on here about getting it in with two overs vs a PP that they are getting roughly 50/50 value and I'd say that's probably more the exception than the rule... -
ditto
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The great thing about poker is that it is endogenous: if everyone at the table is playing "perfect" poker - it will actually pay to not play so perfect. Spotting these opportunities, i.e. how to play when and against whom is what distinguishes a good pro from well....me.
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Zero-sum just means that the losses and winnings of all of the players balance out. It doesn't preclude having incomplete information. Poker is a zero-sum game when you play it with no rake (or if you consider the house a player).
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neat insight on a paraphrase btw kids.
fact of the matter is though, i make plenty of money in non nl and am pleased to do so. continue flipping for stacks after 5 hours of long work idc.
ask yourself this question though k, this year at the wsop, if your're good at nl or good at everything else,...who do you think has the more likelyhood of coming away with a bracelet?
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