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  1. at first i thought it was the preflop raiser who jammed once u checked the turn. but seeing that its an overcall from the blind. This is really close for me. I feel Im beat here more than not and hes also not euro. But I just have a tough time folding here in a mtt like this from seeing the crazy things there do. Idk I guess I say fuck it here and hit the call button but it may be a close fold. Can easily have a set as well as a flush.

    p.s. I dont like the c/r on the flop
  2. Actually, now that I have had a day to think about it, I think most randoms in the $33 freezes are actually checking behind a flush draw there. So I'm personally thinking he had an ace on the flop or a set...and now taking away alot of his flush draws, I would tend to believe this to be a call.

    I think SOME randoms are betting a flush draw in pos, but I believe the vast majority just check behind last to act on the flop.

    I also kinda believe a random would just reraise get it in on the flop with a set after you c/r. He's a massively losing player on OPR after looking it up, and that makes me believe more that he's not just flatting there with a set, but rather would (comparing him to a lot of randoms of course) reraise all in with a set, as he'd be scared of said flush draw. And then when said flush comes, he just jams there as a sigh jam.

    I'm not saying fd's and sets aren't in his range, but I think most random losing players are going to a.) check behind a fd and b.) reraise all in on the flop with sets.

    So given all of that, I would weigh the majority of his range to be Ax, maybe even having two pair himself, and tend to call this more.
  3.  
    Originally Posted by rocksolid124 View Post

    Actually, now that I have had a day to think about it, I think most randoms in the $33 freezes are actually checking behind a flush draw there. So I'm personally thinking he had an ace on the flop or a set...and now taking away alot of his flush draws, I would tend to believe this to be a call.

    I think SOME randoms are betting a flush draw in pos, but I believe the vast majority just check behind last to act on the flop.

    Wut? Re-read hh.

    I'm not folding Jean. Even if I hadn't checked this guy out on OPR I probably wouldn't fold, but apparently the guy spazzes on the regular based on his MTT avg finish %.

    http://officialpokerrankings.com/pok...191C0.html?t=2

    edit: guess I got beat to the OPR-punch.
     1
  4.  
    Originally Posted by shanetrain22 View Post

    Wut?

    I'm not folding Jean. Even if I hadn't checked this guy out on OPR I probably wouldn't fold, but apparently the guy spazzes on the regular based on his MTT avg finish %.

    http://officialpokerrankings.com/pok...191C0.html?t=2

    Agree or disagree, you could give reason for why you disagree, and it would be far more productive than "wut"

    In my personal opinion though from playing a lot of these tourneys, I do see them checking behind a lot in pos with flush draws, trying to get that free card to catch their flush on that flop

    *Edit* never mind, I'm drunk.

    Ok, so NOW my thoughts a day later. I think his line weighs more toward flush draws(lol) than sets...(I still believe most randoms are jamming your c/r with sets here for the reasons I said earlier), with the minute chance he makes a frustration shove when the club hits. Of course, I don't think this guy is check/calling often with Ax, even with 2 pair on that flop, so I make a super sick fold.

    Personally, I'm of the mindset that these randoms will jam fearing the flush draw on the flop if they had a set or Ax, even 2 pair...maybe not all the time, but the majority of the time, I find this to be so..

    Then again, he could always have an A with the Ac...sigh, I don't know.
  5.  1
  6. Ok, ok...now after going back and forth and so on with this hand, I will say that I have no idea what to do here, and I concede defeat.
  7. Hmmm...I really don't like the flat preflop. I would probably fold in that situation w/o any reads. Definitely don't like the c/r on the flop. I would open for sure and if he throws a big 3bet at you, you can get away from the pot.
  8. Correct me if I'm wrong but, isn't your bet on the flop a 2 bet and not a 3 bet? I'm not trying to be a smart ass. I'm just making sure I'm not missing something.
  9.  
    Originally Posted by Mike111202 View Post

    Correct me if I'm wrong but, isn't your bet on the flop a 2 bet and not a 3 bet? I'm not trying to be a smart ass. I'm just making sure I'm not missing something.

    When you open up on any street and someone reraises you, that is a 3bet. I was saying I would open up and if he reraised me(3bet), then I would probably fold w/o any reads.
  10. Pretty sure you're wrong and he's right.
  11. My bad I was high.

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