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What's Wrong with My Game?

By seal | Published Aug 19 2008, 10:08 AM

In almost thirty years of casino poker play I never had a losing year. Oh, I had long dry spells sometimes. Dry weeks, or even months would go by, to be sure. But I always came up ahead of the game at year’s end bookkeeping. In almost thirty years of casino poker play I never had a losing year, until this year.

So what’s wrong with my game?

It’s possible that it’s just variance. A 12 month period without a positive total is certainly within a standard deviation or two of my lifetime average. Knowing the cold math facts don’t help with my emotional distress, so I have my doubts about my play. I talk with a lot of live and online pros and they tell me that I don’t suck.

Still it is possible that I suck. If I do, then I should try to improve. As a teacher I know the best way to improve anything is open minded education. I’ve watched all the videos on three popular online training sites and I have read dozens of books from S/S by Doyle Brunson to Winning Poker Tournaments One Hand at a Time by Rizen, apestyles, and PearlJammer. I talk poker with a lot of players I respect and I really listen to and try to incorporate their ideas. I am constantly trying to improve.

So maybe it’s the situation. My bad streak begins all the way back when Paradise Poker closed their tables to Americans. Paradise was always my bread and butter site and I really miss them. The only site I play on now is Pokerstars and I’ve never been able to get ahead of the game on Stars. Not my favorite situation to say the least.

As I see it, the truth is that all these things and more play a part. There will always be variance, and bad situations, and events transpiring to make a player lose their confidence in their game. It’s how you react to it that defines who you will be as a player.

Variance is going to kick you in the head sometimes when it hurts the most. When my pair of aces lost to my opponent’s pair of queens knocking me out in 25th after a long, great tournament it is variance at its finest. How do I deal with it? I take some comfort in my knowledge of statistics. For every time that happens, over the long run, there will be a time when winning that pot makes me the chip leader with 24 left. When objectively analyzed optimal play leaves me on the rail I pay myself on the back and give myself a well earned, “Good play.”

As for dealing with a bad situation, well that always sucks. But experience has taught me that these things are best handled in stages. First you have to identify the bad situation. Don’t laugh, we all know somebody who is in a horrible relationship and just doesn’t see it. Next you have to explore any and all alternatives and workarounds and see if any leave you better off. I have been looking into other card rooms and also playing more live and less online, so I think I am moving in a positive direction. And I am also trying to learn as much as I can about how to beat the games at Pokerstars.

So that just leaves my self-confidence. I am old enough and tough enough to just kick myself in the butt and tell myself to get over it. I’ve been here before and I will be here again. There are so many good things to be thankful for in my life that if my biggest problem is that sometimes I suck at poker then I can live with that. And having some poker playing friends tell me I’m not the biggest loser they know helps a bit too.

I am also doing what I should be doing to improve. And, maybe not so much lately, but over the course of time I still have a nice track record. Maybe it’s time for one of my annual “Giving up poker for life” vacations from the game. Even your favorite thing becomes jaded after a while and a break is in order. Sometimes, after some time away, things look different. As my old, Jewish grandmother used to say, “It can’t hurt.”

The more I think about it the nicer a break sounds too. I had put myself under too much pressure to win a WSOP main event seat this year and the two times I bubbled those satellites still hurt. I’ve lived in New Jersey for a long time and I’ve never been to the Statue of Liberty, so I just booked some tickets for Friday. And, even though the morning $10 rebuy is about to start, I think I’ll take the kids to a movie today.


Find more articles by online poker players around the world in our Poker Articles section.


Comments
 

SaDuke said:

Hah Chris spoken like a true idiot, congrats Seal we have all been down this path, only difference is my poker friends say I suck :) took a break myself so fully understand

Good Luck

Sa

August 19, 2008 12:15 PM
 

philosophy said:

Chris, thanks for your positivity and insight.  Why praise Seal for his literary work?  After all, he obv knows that an unexamined life is pathetic.  

LOL  I have always appreciated Seal's input on life.  And after reading your little "Love" profile on your P5's profile, I LOL @ your hypocrisy.  Go back, reread what you wrote on your profile, and reflect on your own words.  My free advice to you, my little ninja.

August 19, 2008 12:18 PM
 

hokumfool said:

Nice artilce Seal.  I skipped out on a month of poker and came back to my biggest heater ever.  A few deep breaths can work wonders.

gg gl

August 19, 2008 2:08 PM
 

19yearsold said:

hey chris way to speak ur mind man.....just tell it how it is

August 19, 2008 4:13 PM
 

Spraggs said:

I miss Paradise too :(

August 19, 2008 4:13 PM
 

flubsky said:

It seems like you've hit the wall.  you might be trying too hard to get your game back. I think you need to take the focus off of what's wrong with your game and look for weaknesses in your opponents that you can take advantage of.  In other words: 1.  Identify players who are on tilt or just plain bad.  2. take the easy pots from them.  3. avoid tough situations until you get your confidence back.  IMO

gl getting it back!

August 19, 2008 5:42 PM
 

Tsupa said:

Nice article Seal.  Gives me hope that maybe I don't suck and it's just variance I'm going through right now.

August 19, 2008 5:48 PM
 

ChrisA69 said:

If you want to read an article about someones personal life and situations SEAL is fricken awesome. No joke he writes well about personal situations etc. He however offers little or no insight into poker. He asks lots of questions that we all ask ourselves but he does not answer.

Im not saying im anything special. Im just wondering why these articles are on P5's. I would read them if I was reading his personal blog and think aww thats nice and then offer him some sypathy or advice or something.

 I  expect information and insights in an article from this site. Just my opinion, no hard feelings to the guy. His articles just feel like FILLER to me.

August 19, 2008 6:22 PM
 

PiKappRaider said:

Ya I think I have to agree with Chris here... I mean the articles are always interesting... but if db is correct, seal is a losing player, and always has been over a huge sample size

I have no clue how anyone can study poker this much and not beat low level mtts.

Hope you crush live at least or are setup with your teaching job, but fwiw keep the life articles coming, very interesting most of the time

August 19, 2008 6:37 PM
 

philosophy said:

Well, it's like the off-topic posts.  It's always there, hundreds go and read posts there, but not everyone looks at it or has to.  If you don't like the topics, don't read it, but no reason to rain on anyone's parade. Do you go into that discussion group and post," I don't like this group, it shouldn't be off-topic, screw the other players that enjoy it"...   ?   No.  Because it would be dumb to, wouldn't it?

/rant

August 19, 2008 7:00 PM
 

Lasor said:

Philosophy comment less please

August 19, 2008 9:32 PM
 

pokerfan X said:

I think there's definitely two factors at work here:

1. Your average field size on Stars is 1374. Since our profits come mostly from Top 3 finishes and those 3 spots are much harder to come by the more people you play against at once, large fields like that will lead to much higher variance. Try a different website with smaller fields or search out smaller fields on Stars and restrict yourself to those for a while.

2. There IS something amiss in your game. Based on your OPR, you are busting out too often(36%) in the bottom 30% and so making it into the top 30% below average amounts of time(27%). And 12% ITM is probably too low as well; it needs to be closer to 15%-18%.

This suggests to me that you are playing too loose early, before you have reads on your opponents, or you are not paying enough attention to the game in front of you. Whatever the reason, it's clearly your early game play that needs adjustment.

August 19, 2008 9:32 PM
 

indi227 said:

Loved the article Seal.  Nice to see how someone else deals with drastic swings. I'm still trying to work that one out.

Cheers

August 19, 2008 9:49 PM
 

shuggen said:

I was actually pretty shocked to see that Pikapp was right, and your Stars DB has been at negative ROI over the last two years. Perhaps your online game needs some pretty radical changes.

August 20, 2008 1:14 AM
 

bigcoled said:

Positivity pays.  In athletics in high school I found a key in keeping a positive mental mindset, eliminate the negatives.  Seems easy, sounds simple right? When a coach is talking to a player is it better for him to say "Go get'em, I believe in you, but what ever you do don't step out of bounds." or "I have faith in you, we both know how important it is to stay in bounds, right?"

Obviously the latter is if not positive at the least practicing avoidance of the negatives.

What creates the negative?  Word with "n't" at the end are preceived as negativity in our brains, and thus triggers negative emotions. Buts and ifs create illusions of doubt in a person's mind.

Even reading your article, when you are talking about bad situations you will see these words arise, and when you are being positive and optimistic they're absent.  Keep these things in mind and make a conscious effort to avoid the negativity an doubt, even if it seems it is from a subliminal stand point.

We create our own luck...

August 20, 2008 4:20 AM
 

gert30k said:

honestly, if you have only a little fear, that you suck at poker, then you suck at poker - it's kind of self-fullfilling prophecy, imho.

taking a break is a wonderfull idea, but do something creative, make a baby, start a buisennes, paint a picture.

and besides, if it is true, that opr says your -roi% for the last 2 years on pokerstars, then i would play for smaller buy-ins.

and thanx for the article, enjoyed it.

August 20, 2008 8:29 AM
 

RAMARAIDER said:

The answer is inward. forget everybody else and focus on what u know. You are too saturated and confused. Empty and reboot yourself with what works for u. stay focused and do not stray in this large poker universe. Remember, poker is a devious game that attracts addictive personalities. Recognize them and exploit them. Be the predator!

August 20, 2008 1:23 PM
 

ArmyDrill said:

If you are a poker player and have been for any amount of time, you have been through these ups and downs.  Overcoming this obstacle is one of the most important parts of being a "professional" in poker.  This separates the "pros" and amateurs".  Just like in billiards, running out and then knowing when to play safe instead of continuing your non-miss streak.  It is very hard to stay on track (staying positive)when you make the right call, make the right raise, make the right read, put your money in while your opponent is on a draw (for all his chips) and lose when your opponent hits his 4.5 percent, runner-runner draw.  I don't think anyone has an answer to this self confidence vacuum.  My best advice to any poker player is to keep playing, don't dwell on the past and look at the future.  I appreciate your article and I respect what you're saying, but no one has any "right" answer to this inevitable event.  Keep your head up and continue to march forward!

August 27, 2008 12:16 PM
 

12DanK said:

these articles are nice here and there, but i find way too many of the front page articles here are theoretical and have no real advice on how to actually play the game in the first place. Is it just assumed these days that everybody is a shark and the winning players are just the ones who don't tilt?

August 29, 2008 9:14 AM
 

Dave1650 said:

I think the most obvious reason is the overall quality of play is much higher now than 2 years ago.  This could be my first losing year also, it will be close.  I've reverted to playing lower, and more SNG's.  I think its easier to focus on SNG's than on a MTT that may take 5-6 hours.  Good luck to you.  

September 4, 2008 10:31 AM
 

filch said:

I have recently been looking at my long term statastics, well one year anyway some 2000 MTTs. I've broken down where I do well. Unfortunately this is not at my favourite site where the big bucks are "Pokerstars". So I bit the bullet and played elsewhere where the fields are lower and variance is less. This has increased my overall profit from a recent low of 20-40% and got me closer to my goal of 100% ROI. However still not there and going through a tough patch now.

So I have looked at my stats again and guess what I 've been playing some larger fields again and my ROI has dropped from 90% early this month to 40%.

So I'm going to cut down again to the tournamnets that I have the biggest ROI in.

The point I'm making is I'm constantly evaluating not only my play but where I'm playing and what tournaments I do well in. You have to keep changing to keep your motivation up and your profits. Maybe complacency has crept in. Like any "job" or profession you can become stale and an unconcious incompetent rather than the concious competent we all want to be.

Always evaluate and kepp moving forward! Good Luck

October 24, 2008 2:16 AM

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