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Discussion of hand from $340 Venetian
elgordo420 (Puerto Rico) 989 Posts. Joined 07-05-2008.
11-19-2009 12:38 AM

 I have a big discussion with a couple of friends about a hand. I say that i fold it every time and he says he can not fold it, so here it is.

5th hand blinds 50/100 stacks 12k nothing has happen so everyone effective stacks is 120bb:

Utg+1 raise 300 i flat call 300 with 1010 bb calls 200 more. Flop Qc Js 10s bb checks utg+1 all in for 11700 i tank for a bit and call, bb has qs 9s. The thing is if you call with q9s with two all in in front of you and why????

I give results later on..

 
 
 

Deoxyribo (United States) 2,290 Posts. Joined 06-01-2008.
11-19-2009 12:40 AM - In reply to

 if its Qs9s then yea i call. if u hit ur lookin at a triple up


Crazyhorse76 (United States) 1,958 Posts. Joined 11-20-2005.
11-19-2009 1:59 AM - In reply to

I call since 300 bb stacks are fun to play and there is always another tourney or something else to do in Vegas.


IbizaCF3 (United States) 6,067 Posts. Joined 10-25-2006.
11-19-2009 2:03 AM - In reply to

 Jesus that's annoying. I'd prob fold just cause the early levels of Venetian are so easy to accumulate chips. He obv hit or this wouldn't be posted but a nasty spot for sure.


SaulGood (United States) 14,395 Posts. Joined 05-02-2005.
11-19-2009 2:08 AM - In reply to

i d love to have gotten it in with a set instead of crushed every day in level 3 or 4 like every trny here this week


elgordo420 (Puerto Rico) 989 Posts. Joined 07-05-2008.
11-20-2009 10:04 AM - In reply to

 

the thing is you are calling on a flush draw because two pair does not help you the k does not help you and probably the 8 either, so you guys are calling 120bb on 40 minute levels on a flush draw??

boris64 (United States) 325 Posts. Joined 06-22-2009.
11-20-2009 10:09 AM - In reply to

 With this stack, i don't even like the call w/ TT but i've never played there so idk.

You're beat by a lot with 2 cards to come that can then beat you and you only invested 300 in the hand, let him bluff away with his whole stack if he is, he'll do it again when you hold the nuts


As far as Qs9s goes, i def wouldnt stack off on it w/ this structure, unless maybe there is a sick high hand jackpot 


doomed222 (United States) 4,633 Posts. Joined 08-11-2005.
11-20-2009 10:10 AM - In reply to

elgordo420: 

 

the thing is you are calling on a flush draw because two pair does not help you the k does not help you and probably the 8 either, so you guys are calling 120bb on 40 minute levels on a flush draw??

what he said. although i doubt im ever folding an open ended straight flush draw on the flop. just because i cant.

Spraggs (United Kingdom) 530 Posts. Joined 08-08-2007.
11-20-2009 10:23 AM - In reply to

The UTG+1 just open shoved 11.7k? id have trouble calling with TT..

Cant wait to get back to the venetian deepstacks :)

(fwiw, i fold Q9 quite quickly)


shanetrain22 (United States) 3,673 Posts. Joined 10-28-2006.
11-20-2009 10:25 AM - In reply to

Your call with TT is probably bad.

Equity-wise this is really close for the BB (stove it), so calling or folding are both fine. If he sucks at poker tho he should call imo, since he'll prob have a harder time chipping up than a more skilled player would.

Actually, I'm calling with Q9ss. Basically worst case is when he's up against AK and a set, and he'd be getting 33% on that (obv AKss is worse, but let's assume the deck isn't quite that cold). The times UTG guy has a set (or worse), your equity goes up big time. Yeah, call.

elgordo420 (Puerto Rico) 989 Posts. Joined 07-05-2008.
11-20-2009 10:43 AM - In reply to

shanetrain22: 
Your call with TT is probably bad.

Equity-wise this is really close for the BB (stove it), so calling or folding are both fine. If he sucks at poker tho he should call imo, since he'll prob have a harder time chipping up than a more skilled player would.

Actually, I'm calling with Q9ss. Basically worst case is when he's up against AK and a set, and he'd be getting 33% on that (obv AKss is worse, but let's assume the deck isn't quite that cold). The times UTG guy has a set (or worse), your equity goes up big time. Yeah, call.


I am pretty sure my call is semi bad because i could have chip up pretty easy in other spots but I really put him on AA. The thing is the same way i fold a set the easier it makes me fold Qs 9s i do not know, that is why i am posting it so you guys do the math and i do not make the same mistake in the future.

qjuice14 (United States) 2,034 Posts. Joined 08-29-2007.
11-20-2009 11:10 AM - In reply to

Is that really how the action happened?  Guy just shoved 11700 into 950? 

This is how you fair against likely ranges:

AKo/1010: 32.78%
AKs(w/one spade)/1010: 28.24%
AsKs/1010: 6.24%
AsXs/1010: 13.40%
8s9/1010: 28.58%
89o/1010: 32.45%
KK/1010: 40.64%
KsKx/1010: 36.88%
AA/1010:  38.87%
AsA/1010: 34.55%

These hands cant all be weighted the same way though.  I think the 89's show up very seldom.  One thing people don't take into account enough when they flop these moster combo draws is how the fair against higher flush draws.  Higher flush draws are increasingly likely the more players are in the pot.  When he just has AspXsp you are only 13.40% w/ Q9sp.  I think AspXsp shows up a lot more often than most of the other hands that you have the proper equity against.  I think this is a clear fold.


shanetrain22 (United States) 3,673 Posts. Joined 10-28-2006.
11-20-2009 11:15 AM - In reply to

qjuice14: 

  When he just has AspXsp you are only 13.40% w/ Q9sp.



Nah, he already has a made hand on this flop. Q9ss vs (for example) A3ss is 61/39 here.


dangood1 (United States) 1,153 Posts. Joined 10-05-2007.
11-20-2009 12:37 PM - In reply to

The 340's here are pretty soft.  this early in the tourney, just dump it.  plenty more hands to be played and plenty more hours to log.  with the stating stacks there is no reason to go crazy with all your chips this early.

i could see the guy havin an up and down draw and a flush draw here, lookin forward to the rest. 


qjuice14 (United States) 2,034 Posts. Joined 08-29-2007.
11-20-2009 12:44 PM - In reply to

shanetrain22: 
Nah, he already has a made hand on this flop. Q9ss vs (for example) A3ss is 61/39 here.



Not sure how you can say from the action that he has a made hand on this flop,, but....Q9ss vs a3ss vs. 1010 is only 17.94% to win this pot.  I am quite certain that you don't want your opponents to turn over 10s and a flush draw.

 
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