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CarbonPoker · Full Tilt · Cake Poker · PokerStars · Ultimate Bet · Players Only · Bodog
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It seems that I am faced with this situation everyday and I always screw up. The button/villian has been active during bubble play but not overly aggressive. What do I do here?
PokerStars Game #20508121460: Tournament #108975433, $50+$5 Hold'em No Limit -
Level VI (100/200) - 2008/09/18 16:09:01 ET
Table '108975433 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: unclemomo (2148 in chips)
Seat 4: seamus21 (3426 in chips)
Seat 7: JGLaZe080 (4491 in chips)
Seat 9: alodub1 (3435 in chips)
unclemomo: posts small blind 100
seamus21: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to unclemomo [Tc Ah]
JGLaZe080: folds
alodub1: raises 400 to 600
unclemomo: ?
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 luthers son: | |
It seems that I am faced with this situation everyday and I always screw up. The button/villian has been active during bubble play but not overly aggressive. What do I do here?
PokerStars Game #20508121460: Tournament #108975433, $50+$5 Hold'em No Limit -
Level VI (100/200) - 2008/09/18 16:09:01 ET
Table '108975433 1' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 1: unclemomo (2148 in chips)
Seat 4: seamus21 (3426 in chips)
Seat 7: JGLaZe080 (4491 in chips)
Seat 9: alodub1 (3435 in chips)
unclemomo: posts small blind 100
seamus21: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to unclemomo [Tc Ah]
JGLaZe080: folds
alodub1: raises 400 to 600
unclemomo: ?
I probably fold here, you can definitely find better spots and you still have ~ 10.5 BBs with fold equity on your shoves. There's no antes yet either. AT is not really crushing any sort of range and he has to call you with anything, where you're likely crushed a lot of the time.
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I'm shoving this but it's really close.
If alodub is active, as he should be, he would be raising a good 35% here.
In that case, if he calls FOR SURE, you could reraise AJo or ATs. However there is a chance he will fold, because you can dent him really bad. Therefore, with SOME fold equity, plus the nontangible equity you would get from becoming the chipleader if you win, this is a shove.
However, if you think he is raising less than 25-30%, then just fold this.
For what it's worth here is the Nash Equilibrium for this spot:
[URL=http://www.holdemresources.net/hr/sngs/icmcalculator.html?action=calculate&bb=200&sb=100&ante=0&structure=0.5%2C0.3%2C0.2&s1=4491&s2=3435&s3=2148&s4=3426&s5=&s6=&s7=&s8=&s9=]ICM Nash Calculator Results[/URL]
More on the intangibles that might switch this to a shove if it's close is fully explained in this post:
http://www.pocketfives.com/poker-forums/7/ICM-_2D00_--advice-pls-3006504/p/3006539#3006539
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