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SnG Bubble play
pconroy 8 Posts. Joined 10-29-2008.
11-15-2008 4:09 PM

Hi. I would like to ask opinions on a SnG bubble problem that is begining to frustrate me.
Let me give you an example. It's a $15 SnG on Stars with 4 players left (top 3 getting paid). The largest stack has $5000. Second $4500. Myself $2500 and the short stack has $1000. The blinds are $100/$200.
In this situation I have been playing very tight. The large stack is to my left and when it's blind on blind I have been folding AQ, KQs etc waiting for the short stack to be knocked out. During this time the blinds are eating into my stack and by the time the short stack doubles up (through a lose call by the big stack) it is me that's in trouble.
My question is this;
How much distance should there be between you and the short stack before you really tighten up? Am I applying the right strategy or should I be playing these big aces hard?
Hope you can help.
Paul.
 

 
 
 

moman1965 (United States) 2,757 Posts. Joined 10-06-2006.
11-15-2008 4:12 PM - In reply to

Unless the shortie has 1 or 2 blinds left, I am playing VERY agressive on the bubble. Winning 1 is better than sneaking into the money in 2. If you have 12 BBs and the big stack has 25, you have a tremendous amount of fold equity to him. Take advantage of this and if you see a strong hand , play it. 12 BBs, I am shoving on him fairly wide to preserve my fold equity.
Hope this helps.


Reech (United States) 9,618 Posts. Joined 06-16-2007.
11-15-2008 5:08 PM - In reply to

pconroy: 
In this situation I have been playing very tight. The large stack is to my left and when it's blind on blind I have been folding AQ, KQs

this is maybe a little tighter than 'very' tight

SofaKingCewl (Belgium) 148 Posts. Joined 02-06-2008.
11-15-2008 5:24 PM - In reply to

If you're the one opening the pot you have to ship it in with AQ and KQs. Calling on the other hand would be bad in most situations.


pconroy 8 Posts. Joined 10-29-2008.
11-16-2008 5:30 AM - In reply to

Thanks mate, I appriciate the help.
Good luck.
Paul.


pconroy 8 Posts. Joined 10-29-2008.
11-16-2008 5:30 AM - In reply to

Thanks alot.
Good luck.
Paul.


PhiAlphaMTSU (United States) 12,861 Posts. Joined 03-23-2006.
11-16-2008 5:47 AM - In reply to

SofaKingCewl: 
Calling on the other hand would be bad in most situatio

Im snap calling AQ imo.

thearthurdog (Australia) 1,232 Posts. Joined 01-15-2008.
11-16-2008 1:19 PM - In reply to

"The large stack is to my left and when it's blind on blind I have been folding AQ, KQs etc waiting for the short stack to be knocked out".

The big stacks would be exploiting the hell out of you because of this exact reason.


GL

Arthur.

Jennifear (United States) 9,651 Posts. Joined 11-01-2005.
11-16-2008 1:27 PM - In reply to

When you are in third place, it's still okay to shove your good hands. While you definitely don't want to call with AQ in the situation you described, shoving it is a different story.

Here's an example with the stacks you pointed out:

100-200 Blinds. 

4500 and 1000 have folded.  You have 2500 in the SB, the BB has 5000.

The Nash Equilibrium for this spot:

SB 34.8%, 22+ Ax+ K5s+ KTo+ Q8s+ Q6s QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 76s 65s <<What you can shove
BB 10.7%, 66+ A8s+ A9o+ KQs <<What the BB can call.


In a real SNG, I'd be concerned that the BB might call more often.  Therefore I might only shove 20% or so.  That still includes A2s, though, so AQo and KQs are gimmes!

One exception to this is if you are in third place with no fold equity.

Say it's 100-200, and the stacks are 7000-5000-800-200.  You would want to shove very tight from the third place spot and your range would then be reasonable.

Hope that helps!



 


pconroy 8 Posts. Joined 10-29-2008.
11-17-2008 1:20 PM - In reply to

That helps a great deal.
Thank you and good luck.
Paul.


moman1965 (United States) 2,757 Posts. Joined 10-06-2006.
11-17-2008 1:30 PM - In reply to

pconroy: 

That helps a great deal.
Thank you and good luck.
Paul.


Jennifear doesn't need luck. She is the SNG guru... her roshambo could use a little help though!!
Sorry Jen, I was only below the hard deck for a few seconds, saw the shot and I took it! Again!

ferrengi (United States) 762 Posts. Joined 07-22-2005.
11-17-2008 2:13 PM - In reply to

Jennifear: 

When you are in third place, it's still okay to shove your good hands. While you definitely don't want to call with AQ in the situation you described, shoving it is a different story.

Here's an example with the stacks you pointed out:

100-200 Blinds. 

4500 and 1000 have folded.  You have 2500 in the SB, the BB has 5000.

The Nash Equilibrium for this spot:

SB

34.8%, 22+ Ax+ K5s+ KTo+ Q8s+ Q6s QTo+ J7s+ JTo T7s+ T9o 96s+ 86s+ 76s 65s <<What you can shove

BB
10.7%, 66+ A8s+ A9o+ KQs <<What the BB can call.


In a real SNG, I'd be concerned that the BB might call more often.  Therefore I might only shove 20% or so.  That still includes A2s, though, so AQo and KQs are gimmes!

One exception to this is if you are in third place with no fold equity.

Say it's 100-200, and the stacks are 7000-5000-800-200.  You would want to shove very tight from the third place spot and your range would then be reasonable.

Hope that helps!



 



So, if one of the larger stacks raises, you recommend folding AK?
I thought it was better to call. If you win that pot, you have a decent chance to win the SNG.

Jennifear (United States) 9,651 Posts. Joined 11-01-2005.
11-17-2008 2:30 PM - In reply to

Depends on the situation:

Here's a situation where you would, with a full explanation:

Advanced SNG bubble play using ICM
 
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