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SNG Bubble hand
andrew1263 (United States) 80 Posts. Joined 10-31-2007.
08-23-2008 3:45 AM

 Full Tilt Poker Game #7763592206: $6 + $0.50 Sit & Go (Turbo) (59041950), Table 1 - 120/240 - No Limit Hold'em - 4:29:15 ET - 2008/08/23
Seat 3: diablo312 (3,480)
Seat 5: bddy984 (3,380)
Seat 6: Matt24MA (3,900)
Seat 8: Andrew1263 (2,740)
bddy984 posts the small blind of 120
Matt24MA posts the big blind of 240
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Andrew1263 [7s Ah]
Andrew1263 ???


Is this a clear cut shove (i'm leaning to this)?  2 hands before this I shoved KT (sb) into the BB and lost...  So is this just table dependant or should I wait for a better time..  I don't really like doing this because I have a tendency to run into AK, AQ, AJ, PP, etc in the SB and BB when i shove UTG.   WWYD?  Thanks.

 
 
 

Jennifear (United States) 9,061 Posts. Joined 11-01-2005.
08-23-2008 5:06 AM - In reply to

Fold.  Here's the Nash Equilibrium for this spot:

PU CA OC Range
CO 16.7%, 22+ A8s+ A5s-A4s ATo+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ J9s+ T9s<<your "perfect range" 
BU 2.6%, TT+ AKs
SB 0.9%, KK+
BB 0.9%, KK+
SB 3.5%, TT+ AKs AKo
BB 1.4%, QQ+
BB 4.2%, 99+ AQs+ AKo


The are probably calling more often than Nash says so I think you can shove even less than this.

In addition it's a $6.50 game so they might bust each other calling looser than they should.  That also helps your decision to fold.

Shoving is not abominable here, but I dislike it.  Fold this one.


andrew1263 (United States) 80 Posts. Joined 10-31-2007.
08-23-2008 5:12 AM - In reply to

 Thanks Jennifear.  You're always a great help with these questions.  Smile

 
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