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CarbonPoker · Full Tilt · Cake Poker · PokerStars · Ultimate Bet · Players Only · Bodog

   

Tough spot with 99 (opinions plz)
JC 78 s00ted (United States) 22 Posts. Joined 10-04-2007.
11-26-2008 2:47 PM

*********** # 1 **************
PokerStars Game #22387089514: Tournament #122500768, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level X (300/600) - 2008/11/26 15:39:53 ET
Table '122500768 349' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: gocu83 (2090 in chips)
Seat 2: richard00025 (20469 in chips)
Seat 3: ndillo (6261 in chips)
Seat 4: WwCROSSwW (9875 in chips)
Seat 5: Tousazimuts (4062 in chips)
Seat 6: M_Grundmann (5898 in chips)
Seat 7: N0b3L (3030 in chips)
Seat 8: xBadHamsterx (10255 in chips)
Seat 9: Lawesy (12447 in chips)
gocu83: posts the ante 50
richard00025: posts the ante 50
ndillo: posts the ante 50
WwCROSSwW: posts the ante 50
Tousazimuts: posts the ante 50
M_Grundmann: posts the ante 50
N0b3L: posts the ante 50
xBadHamsterx: posts the ante 50
Lawesy: posts the ante 50
M_Grundmann: posts small blind 300
N0b3L: posts big blind 600
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to WwCROSSwW [9s 9c]
xBadHamsterx: raises 1200 to 1800
Lawesy: folds
gocu83: folds
richard00025: folds
ndillo: folds
WwCROSSwW: raises 8025 to 9825 and is all-in
Tousazimuts: folds
M_Grundmann: folds
N0b3L: folds
xBadHamsterx: calls 8025
*** FLOP *** [3c Ad 3h]
*** TURN *** [3c Ad 3h] [Qc]
*** RIVER *** [3c Ad 3h Qc] [Jh]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
xBadHamsterx: shows [Qh Ah] (two pair, Aces and Queens)
WwCROSSwW: shows [9s 9c] (two pair, Nines and Threes)
xBadHamsterx collected 21000 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 21000 | Rake 0
Board [3c Ad 3h Qc Jh]
Seat 1: gocu83 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: richard00025 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: ndillo folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: WwCROSSwW showed [9s 9c] and lost with two pair, Nines and Threes
Seat 5: Tousazimuts (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: M_Grundmann (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: N0b3L (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 8: xBadHamsterx showed [Qh Ah] and won (21000) with two pair, Aces and Queens
Seat 9: Lawesy folded before Flop (didn't bet)
 

 
 
 

IBGrindin (United States) 3,004 Posts. Joined 07-18-2005.
11-26-2008 3:05 PM - In reply to

This is a tough spot.  I find myself leaning towards a fold with no reads lately.  villian is coming in utg with a 3x raise and 17bb.  I just don't think he shows up with anything we dominate here enough to make this a profitable play. 

At best you are flipping, which you were, for your life and many times you are likely dominated.


hushpuckena (United States) 786 Posts. Joined 02-17-2008.
11-28-2008 10:05 AM - In reply to

With no information to guide me, I move in here; if, as in this case, your opponent is foolish enough to stand a large reraise with suited AQ, he'll more than likely get broke himself.

There are those who would argue that 99 should get mucked here, but I'd just as soon get myself a stack and take a run at that final table. Of course, if you use software which indicates that this player will only open with TT/suited AK or better, then you don't have anything. Against typical opponents, folding here is -EV.


IBGrindin (United States) 3,004 Posts. Joined 07-18-2005.
11-28-2008 12:50 PM - In reply to

hushpuckena: 

With no information to guide me, I move in here; if, as in this case, your opponent is foolish enough to stand a large reraise with suited AQ, he'll more than likely get broke himself.

There are those who would argue that 99 should get mucked here, but I'd just as soon get myself a stack and take a run at that final table. Of course, if you use software which indicates that this player will only open with TT/suited AK or better, then you don't have anything. Against typical opponents, folding here is -EV.



With no info, you move in?  Guy is raising utg with 17bb, and you just jam over that with very little fold equity?

thefuture021 (United States) 7,191 Posts. Joined 04-23-2006.
11-28-2008 1:34 PM - In reply to

With no prior reads, this is a fold. 


keylow63 (United States) 416 Posts. Joined 09-08-2006.
11-29-2008 2:46 PM - In reply to

IBGrindin: 
hushpuckena: 

With no information to guide me, I move in here; if, as in this case, your opponent is foolish enough to stand a large reraise with suited AQ, he'll more than likely get broke himself.

There are those who would argue that 99 should get mucked here, but I'd just as soon get myself a stack and take a run at that final table. Of course, if you use software which indicates that this player will only open with TT/suited AK or better, then you don't have anything. Against typical opponents, folding here is -EV.



With no info, you move in?  Guy is raising utg with 17bb, and you just jam over that with very little fold equity?


I think this sums it up perfectly. I fold here

hushpuckena (United States) 786 Posts. Joined 02-17-2008.
11-30-2008 7:02 AM - In reply to

In events such as this, I've often found players willing to raise it up with hands as weak as 66 or KJ offsuit; whilst I agree that there's no info on the opener, that particular situation is inevitable at times, and I would be willing to accept the risk.

Merely cashing is unimportant to me- I'm after winning the big pot of gold(with selective aggression), as already stated.

 


voo-doo (United Kingdom) 23 Posts. Joined 10-08-2006.
12-01-2008 4:05 AM - In reply to

with the blinds at only 300/600 there is no point in pushing such a hand,with no read on villian why risk your mtt life with 99 to a utg raiser.

I think you can pick a better situation to get your chips in than this.


lordxixor101 (United States) 5,993 Posts. Joined 03-16-2006.
12-01-2008 12:13 PM - In reply to

I like Hushpuckena's advice here.

First off, it's 8k more, and it's for UTG raisers whole stack.  He isn't neccessarily looking to get called here, and could be somewhat weak (I've seen A10, KJ, 22, in these spots with unknowns).  Also, your M isn't strong here.  Sure, you can wait, but you aren't guaranteed to find anything better in the next 30 hands or so (and wait too long, and even if you double up, you won't be in a much better spot than you are now).

Plus, this is a $10 game.  Not every UTG raiser is really strong.  More players than not fail to understand position in these games (and those that do usually know you should raise more from the button, not play very tight UTG).  It's an unknown, I wouldn't credit them with knowing more here.

It's tough that it's 99.  Though I think he doesn't have to be strong, he might call you weak, and lot's of hands he should fold here (KJ, J10, A10), are hands that are flipping against you. 

If you are at a table where your sure you can steal blinds once to twice a rotation, then I'd say fold.  If your not at such a spot, I don't mind pushing here.

For what it's worth, I push over the top here, and if I'm Hamster, I call you here, and it plays out.

 
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