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Harrington's M
I usually use M until I'm under 20BB or so, then I switch to BB. I have a more general question about M though...I've read Harrington's books multiple times, and his discussion of play in the Yellow and Orange Zones is VERY limited. I understand that small pairs and suited connectors go down in value, because you're not getting the implied odds, but I'm not exactly sure what goes UP in value. Obviously you're willing to play AA down to the felt at this point, but I've seen advice for these Zones range everywhere from "tighten up" to "loosen up". Harrington does say to play your high cards ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jun 29th, 2010
TAKE ACTION: Update - Let's Vote Up Greg Raymer's House GOP Site Submission
As repulsive as I personally found it to visit a GOP website, I went and signed. Now I need a shower.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jun 29th, 2010
can someone give me an example of a "marginal spot" ?
Think of a marginal spot as anytime you kinda sorta think maybe you might just possibly have the best hand...or not.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jun 18th, 2010
TAKE ACTION: Let's Send the All-New PPA Letters to Our Lawmakers -- It Takes 60 sec!
Um, you might want a different letter for players in Washington, kinda doesn't make sense that they would embrace the Federal bill while the state has a law on the books making playing online poker a Class C felony. And, not real keen on giving the AG my name and address, just in case. Other than that, right there with ya. Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jun 9th, 2010
U.S. players not allowed to deposit with Visa or Mastercard anymore???
Just give it a little time...Stars and Tilt blow WAY too much $$ advertising in the US market to not figure out a convenient workaround. Everybody stop freaking and chill. F the GOP. Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jun 5th, 2010
Re:GL PunkinBear in the SM
Great work, Jen! Most awesome! Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 23rd, 2010
Re:What do you do to get focused?
Amen. I'm an RN in an ICU. Adderall can cause heart rate and/or blood pressure increases--short term, no big deal; long term, it can cause you congestive heart failure, pulmonary hypertension, heart attacks, etc. BTW, for those of you out there on Adderall...Adderall + booze = like a jillion % increase in your risk of heart attack, stroke, etc. And I'm not talking about when you're 75. I'm talking about you take Adderall today, you get drunk tonight, you pass out, have a stroke in your sleep, and you wake up and can't talk and can't move your fucking left side. Yeah, ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 23rd, 2010
Re:Sample Sizes & determining "true" ROI
Thank you. That sounds, intuitively, about right...guess I'm gonna have to find some kinda stats program that works with standard deviation or else get a book and break out an abacus and a slide rule, lol. Peace, Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 23rd, 2010
Re:Sample Sizes & determining "true" ROI
Yes, an estimate. Like I said, to X% confidence...that's the best statistics can really EVER do, and that's all I was asking for. And I think you'll need multiverses to ship the Million that way. Peace, Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 22nd, 2010
Re:Sample Sizes & determining "true" ROI
So you don't know either! Great, along with EyeKnows, that's three of us that could use a good point in the right direction. Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 22nd, 2010
Sample Sizes & determining "true" ROI
Hey guys, Anybody know the numbers (or got a link to an online calculator) on how big a sample size you need to have X% confidence that your actual ROI is close to your "true" or expected future ROI' For instance, I've played about 600 DoNs and have an ROI of around 6%. I'd like to figure out how big a sample size I need to be confident that that ROI will hold. I know it can be done with standard deviation & whatnot, but it's been a damn long time since I've had a statistics class. Mainly interested in the #'s for DoNs/single-table SNG's, but would be ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 22nd, 2010
Re:What do you do to get focused?
First...dude, just saying "(I'm a big time degen)" and leaving it at that...that's no good. Never mind what it does to your bankroll, being on that rollercoaster won't just wreck your BR, it'll wreck your SOUL. I doubt there's much that could destroy your motivation more than making a couple big scores, and then blowing it all (or a bunch of it) playing too high. If you can stop doing that on your own, do it. If you can't, maybe you need to check into Gambler's Anonymous, or at least find a couple trusted friends who will help you keep yourself in ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 22nd, 2010
Re:hand in microstake tourny
Unless you know the guy is a maniac or is capable of 4-bet semi-bluffing with Ax of spades, he's gonna be showing you 22 (or AT) pretty damn often. After his 4-bet, you're looking at putting in 1340 to win 3790 (after he puts in his last 300, which of course he will). So you need to be better than 35% to win. You've only got 2 outs regardless of whether he has AT or 22. That gets you about 9%, but I don't see where you can find the other 26% you need...no way an unknown is showing up with air or a flush draw that often here, IMO. Even if he has the flush draw 1/3 of the time ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 21st, 2010
Re:common preflop spot, opinions?
Hey Zen, I'm no master, but if you limp on the button here, you have several potential problems, of which these two jump to mind: 1.) Either blind may read your limp as weak (and since you ARE weak, that's bad), and raise or shove on you with ATC or close to it. Then what' 2.) Let' say SB fold and BB checks. What's his range' When he check-raises you on an A-8-3 flop after you've let him see three free cards, and he can have ANYTHING...then what' Friends don't let friends limp on the button. Cheers, Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 21st, 2010
Re:New P5s beta
I really dislike the removal of the sortable rankings from the main page. It may be stupid, but I like logging in and seeing I'm ranked #3 or whatever in my city. Not a big fan of the huge rakeback ads on the right, or the big training site plugs, but I know the bucks to keep the site going gotta come from somewhere. And the new color scheme is too flat. Too much white and red, not enough shading and stuff to break it up. No errors for me, but not feeling the feng shui. Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
May 17th, 2010
Re:Horrible live ruling or just standard everywhere???
Floors are generally morons who know about as much about poker as they do subatomic particle acceleration, sounds like it's no different Down Under.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Apr 18th, 2010
Re:Unemployed
If you know ICM and can play tight, try $5 DoNs. You've got 60 buy-ins with your roll, if you can do 10 tables at a time you'll probably be pulling down about minimum wage. Put in 60-80 hours a week, avoid tables full of regulars, and you could do OK. With your roll, I think that's liable to be your best shot. Good luck man...hang in there. Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Apr 18th, 2010
Re:A hand and a question
Anybody have any more general comments/suggestions about dealing with short-stack pushes' I thought this particular instance was an easy call also, am curious to see if anybody disagrees' Thanks for the response, Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 22nd, 2010
A hand and a question
This was my very first hand at a new table last night. We are ITM with about 75 players left. Chip leaders are around 150k. Further commentary following the hand... PokerStars Game #41525392985: Tournament #251959821, $4.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XXI (800/1600) - 2010/03/21 23:31:27 PT [2010/03/22 2:31:27 ET] Table '251959821 6' 8-max Seat #1 is the button Seat 1: Donkey Fell (35694 in chips) Seat 2: leethdocks (40955 in chips) Seat 3: BlueRenegade (38397 in chips) Seat 4: OpieWan (16730 in chips) Seat 5: ProfaPoker (49580 in chips) Seat 6: srbaces (145005 in ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 22nd, 2010
Re:DON steps followup - saw someone elses post - thoughts on this?
Amen, preach on.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 14th, 2010
Re:Calling off with AKo
In a $1-$4 MTT, how many ppl shoving there do you think fit your "very tight" villain category' In all other instances, you're like 52%+ against villain's range...so unless you have a "very tight" read on villain, you have a +EV call. Every now and again he'll have Aces or Kings and you'll be unhappy, sometimes you'll have a flip, sometimes he'll have AQ, AJ, or A2 and you're happy, sometimes he's got J4o and he's shoving because he's realized he's gotta go take a dump. Unless you have a read...call. I'm not Phil Ivey, but ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 13th, 2010
Re:8 year old won 500k???
Waitaminute...the article said an UNCLE created the account. So why in the hell would the family tell the site an 8 year old was playing, and/or how the hell would the site ever find out it was the 8 year old playing and not the uncle' I mean, this could happen...there are 8 year old kids who are chess masters, for God's sake...but if it did, somebody in that family needs their tongue cut out for running off at the mouth about the 8 year old being the player instead of the uncle. More likely...it's BS. Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 13th, 2010
Re:PokerStars checks
Learn 2 use ATM. Banking humanoids are not your friends.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 13th, 2010
Re:Forum Interview: "ImaLuckSac" Kevin MacPhee
Hi Kevin, What were/are some of the best poker tools (books, websites, software) that helped you learn the game well enough to get where you are today' Also, at what level did you get your start and how did you decide when/if to move up' Thanks, Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 13th, 2010
Re:any interest in double up steps....
Agreed with idea, hate way it was posted.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Mar 8th, 2010
Re:HUD programs vs Old School
Look at it this way..."old school" players never played 24 tables at a time. If you multitable, I think you'd be a fool not to use a HUD...but as the poster above mentioned, you miss out on learning to observe the table, which you'll need to do if you ever play live. Unless they come out with some really kick-ass glasses that would put a HUD over everybody's head at a live table. That would rock.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jan 25th, 2010
Re:MULLIGAN CHOP DEAL OMG
I don't see any $35k scores on your resume there, bucky.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jan 10th, 2010
Re:my aim got hacked....what to do now?
1.) Get on a friend's computer. 2.) Change every other password on EVERY site you use that uses money to a password you've never used before. 3.) Reset AIM password to your email, if possible (good luck getting help from AOL lol) 4.) Get back to your home machine. 5.) Delete AIM as soon as possible and never, EVER use it again. 6.) Find and install a reputable keylogger detector (doubt it's an issue, but just in case). 7.) Order all the RSA tokens you can get your hands on. Best of luck, Blue
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		BlueRenegade
Jan 10th, 2010