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SCOOP29. 54th , 71 left, 18 BB , M 5 , JJ, M-Way, V- 3 bet AI.. Call or not?
The absolute only reason I would flat pre is to induce a 3 bet from behind ( I'd want a pretty aggro table to be doing this) and you get it! But 3b/call or just jamming pre yourself is always going to be good here. ICM is still pretty irrelevant at this stage, just get it in!
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 17th, 2012
$11 Turbo; shove or fold?
Yeh, never folding here.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 15th, 2012
Equity calculation attempt
One of the best turbo 180 players said any play that yields over 0.5bb is significant, and should always be taken (up until last couple of tables), so I guess that works both ways, in that any play that loses more than 0.5bb's you can be sure is bad.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 15th, 2012
Equity calculation attempt
I was under the impression that once our ante/ blind is in the middle it is no longer ours. The calculation compares your current stack (i.e. after blinds/ antes are posted) to expected stack when we 3bet. The loss or gain calculated is in addition to the cost of the blind/ ante, so if the result is positive it's better than folding, and if negative it's worse right'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 15th, 2012
KJo 23bbs facing BTN MR + flopped TP - planning & options.
Pretty much this. I dont mind calling the flop and reevaluating if he bets a little smaller.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 15th, 2012
Equity calculation attempt
Looks good except for what tyson pointed out. Assassinato gives a pretty cool formula for working out spots like this in his 3-bet theory video: Expected stack= (opp folding freq)(current stack+ chips in pot) +(opp calling freq)(equity when called)(size of pot when called) So in this example, opp calling frq= calling range%/ opening range%= 18.9/30.6= 0.62 opp folding freq= 1- opp calling freq = 0.38 current stack+ chips in pot= 14381 + 5725 = 20106 size of pot when called= 33237 equity= 0.32 Putting all that together, Expected Stack = (0.38)(20106) + (0.62)(0.32)(33237)= 14234 (-147 ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 15th, 2012
65o 18bb bvb (nash equilibrium shove?)
Yeh I like that calling range. Looks solid for a good reg, but the vast majority of players (even many regs) are still calling way tighter for 17-18 bbs (at least at low- mid stakes). Your formula looks good as well. I usually use: (opp fold%)(stack when opp. folds) + (opp call%)(equity% vs opp range)(stack when opp calls and we win) Then subtract your current stack size from the result and see how many chips you gain/ lose. I actually didn’t think it would be as profitable as it is. Anything over 1bb is a pretty significant edge imo. I think you’re right that good players will ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 14th, 2012
65o 18bb bvb (nash equilibrium shove?)
Coming up with an average equity vs different calling range scenarios isn't the way to solve this problem. We just need to estimate as likely a calling range as possible, and work against our equity for that one range. Thankfuly Manch has given us a calling range,and like I said earlier villain can shove atc and be +ev given Manch's calling range so 56o is going to be a close shove at worst (considering other factors aswell). @RedIce- 67o and 65o are pretty much the same hand equity-wise vs any feasible calling range @BMasta- 30-35% is way too wide for a typical calling range in this spot, ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 13th, 2012
65o 18bb bvb (nash equilibrium shove?)
Nash in this spot is something like 50% shove/ 30% call, and given the calling range you gave earlier, he can actually shove atc and be +cev. The thing is there's a lot more to consider in these spots than just making +cev shoves ( edge/ increasing ICM factors etc), which can often turn a slightly+cev jam into a clear fold. On the other hand, peoples 18-20bb calling ranges are generally way off so the jammer gets away with it alot more than they should, even though this is a spot where most people are really unbalanced. Its also really player dependent. Vs complete nits, raise/fold will ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 12th, 2012
AK, itm, witn deep stack on iperstrong action preflop vs egual stack
Yeh I personally prefer flatting in this situation. If you 4 bet, you have to get all in against his 5 bet. He's never folding once he 5 bets and at this point you are getting the odds to get it all in. I just don't like getting it in pre here readless where we have ~40% equity at best vs a supernova reg, and we have a good stack to pick on alot of the weaker players and find better spots. Calling his 3 bet isnt bad with these stack sizes, and you keep alot more hands in his range that you do very well against, but that he would likely fold to your 4-bet.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 5th, 2012
AK, itm, witn deep stack on iperstrong action preflop vs egual stack
Your 4 bet sizing is huge, and looks purely for value, so when he 5 bets he's going to have it alot. You also only have 15 hands on him making it likely he's going to play pretty straight up in pots like this since you don't have any 3bet/4bet dynamic yet. I quite like flatting the 3bet, since 4bet/folding and 4b/calling or jamming (esp given your sizing and stack sizes) are both gross.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 5th, 2012
Deep in 888 $35 Friday Challenge line check- 2 pair on dry board vs 2 lags
The river aggressor was the 44/23. With regards to the flop, the check/ call here is something I would never do unless the conditions are right (which is rarely), and I felt they were here (very dry board/ aggro randoms who like to bluff and make plays at pots). If I lead straight away I felt l might fold out a bunch of stuff that can turn into a bluff on later streets, and maybe some stuff that can improve to a worse hand than ours, but they would be willing to stack off with. I hate check raising anything on this flop. Given bucket's tendencies, how can you only put him on hands that beat ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 5th, 2012
Deep in 888 $35 Friday Challenge line check- 2 pair on dry board vs 2 lags
Cassava Hand History for Game 428085454 ***** $3,500/$7,000 Blinds No Limit Holdem - *** 05 05 2012 02:29:46 Tournament #37655496 $32 + $3 - Table #77 (Real Money) Seat 5 is the button Total number of players : 6 Seat 1: ISmellCookie ( $203,456 ) Seat 2: ChAzZzz18 ( $243,646 ) Seat 3: Pyakushenkov ( $283,742 ) Seat 5: Bulldogs28 ( $175,129 ) Seat 6: 279Yoda279 ( $100,352 ) Seat 7: bucketonham ( $576,740 ) 279Yoda279 posts ante [$700] Pyakushenkov posts ante [$700] bucketonham posts ante [$700] ChAzZzz18 posts ante [$700] Bulldogs28 posts ante [$700] ISmellCookie posts ante ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 5th, 2012
Re:Building a bankroll playing double or nothings?
Profitable' Probably Boring' Definetely
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Oct 15th, 2009
Re:Friend Sats into $1100 buy in tourney
Are you implying you have other accounts' not the best thing to do...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Aug 5th, 2009
Re:Were you once a loose aggressive donk?
You will struggle to find a top player who isnt Loose Aggressive.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Jun 15th, 2009
Re:For people that arent OTers (chance for 1 FREE $215 steak!)
only if i can have it medium-rare
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Jun 3rd, 2009
Re:Wretchy/Whatslogic multi-accounting?
Its not surprising to see yet another good player has resorted to multi accounting. The reality is that with the edge that the best players have over the average player diminishing at a faster rate than ever before, some players are going to start looking for other ways to regain their advantage. I don't doubt that bigger names than wretchy have succumb to this temptation (other than those already caught). So long as it is possible, and there is monetary gain, people will do it.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
May 10th, 2009
Re:WQM line check plz
why not bet the turn' Alot of queens call your flop bet aswell as alot of draws (none of which the 7 has likely helped).
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Apr 15th, 2009
Re:SCOOP 1k Main-WTF Hand
Id say its either a weird play with a set or could quite easily be A9.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Apr 12th, 2009
Re:Absolutely disgusting pukespot with QQ deep in Quarter Mil tonight
Without reads I shove. With 20BB, utg should be playing quit tight but I cant see him not raising 99+, AQ+ (AQ may be too loose) . The bigstack button reraise range I would imagine to be similar, but Im not exactly an expert at these stakes.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Feb 18th, 2009
Why didnt I ban myself from stars and FT sooner!?
So it got to the point where I was playing too much poker, spending too much time trying to get good at Single table SNG's ( which Im still **** at btw), going through a biiiig losing phase and and on top of that I have my 2nd year economics exams just a few months away. It seemed like a good time to use the self ban function so I could no longer play on Full Tilt and Pokerstars until the summer. Naturally, all this effort to suspend my play was futile and within days I had created new accounts on smaller sites such as Betfair poker and Victor Chandler to name a few....and why the hell ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Feb 18th, 2009
Re:Durrrr Challenge
Dunno. What would make him put out a challenge offering the best players in the world 3-1'!' He must think he can significantly increase his edge by forcing the full tilt challengers to multi-table'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Feb 14th, 2009
Re:Sharkscope/PokerStars is this real?
First you can no longer use SNG calculators, now this and add to that stars is the only site Im down on... fuck this, Im going back to Party.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Nov 5th, 2008
Re:Your Favorite Moment of 2008, So Far
Hittin a $23k score in the FT $750k. Ive spent just a little bit too much of it though...... just about every night out this summer turned into me celebrating my win by rapidly converting cash into champagne :s
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Nov 5th, 2008
Re:Places for 18 year olds to play poker live?
Cross the river and get yourself to London town.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Nov 5th, 2008
Re:A question about multi tabling SNG's...
Well to make myself feel better, Ive gone back to 4/5 tabling $11 turbos on Party. Downswings dont exist there lol
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Nov 5th, 2008
Re:A question about multi tabling SNG's...
Also, little question on the side- has sharkscope stopped tracking Party SNG results' Because mine hasnt changed for about a year....
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Nov 5th, 2008
A question about multi tabling SNG's...
How do you guys who profitably play 8+ tables at a time apply ICM so successfully, when its so dependent on observing opponents closely so as to determine ranges. I've recently moved from playing mostly MTT's to playing SNG's (was hating the variance) and after having a little success on full tilt and party moved to pokerstars and started playing 8 tables at a time at the $16 and $27 levels.....big mistake. After about 500 or 600 games I am down $1k, and this is certainly down to playing too many tables at once (therefore missing +ev pushes, making -ev calls due to the pace of ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Nov 5th, 2008
Re:Did any of you have a big score right out of the gate?
About 2/3 months after I started playing properly online I hit two 1k scores on party poker, and got my first 5 figure score in the FT 750k a few months ago. Wouldnt mind a few more of them :p.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		ChAzZz18
Oct 12th, 2008