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Can someone help me with EV calculations?
I took a major bath in a $5/10 $300 CAP game. I lost 3 coin flips (e.g., AK v. JJ) and 2 flush draws all-in against one other player in the pot. I lost $1500 but PT says my all-in EV was negative $1200. Isn't my EV much better than negative $1200'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
May 22nd, 2010
Re:Facing raise with overpair
Isn't that the typical raising range for a reg' Many don't even raise flush draws and others would flat call a set' Can someone run it through pokerstove and post the results. I am still trying to figure it out. Thanks.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Jan 2nd, 2010
Facing raise with overpair
You have pocket QQ and the flop is 8s5c3c and villian raises your flop bet 3x. Villian is fairly tight and will only raise with a set, two pair, pair and flush draw, straight and flush draw or A or K high flush draws. Isn't this a fold' Aren't you behind most of the time'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Jan 1st, 2010
Good fold in $2/4 6 max?
Villan is 21/15/4.1 Full Tilt Poker Game #16752769720: Table Wolfe (6 max, ante, deep) - $2/$4 Ante $0.75 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:38:50 ET - 2009/12/12 Seat 1: Rask88 ($727.25) Seat 2: Yongsuk Chang ($458.85) Seat 4: W455 ($799.25) Seat 5: coolpokername1 ($288.40) Seat 6: DoTheCrazy FROG ($904.85) W455 antes $0.75 coolpokername1 antes $0.75 Rask88 antes $0.75 DoTheCrazy FROG antes $0.75 Yongsuk Chang antes $0.75 DoTheCrazy FROG posts the small blind of $2 Rask88 posts the big blind of $4 alexxx282 adds $400 The button is in seat #5 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to coolpokername1 [Js ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Dec 12th, 2009
$2/4 6 max--Good River Fold?
Villian is a sold reg. plays 20/17/2.8 Full Tilt Poker Game #16563656228: Table Lighthouse (6 max, ante, deep) - $2/$4 Ante $0.75 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:48:57 ET - 2009/12/05 Seat 1: ShesSoHeavy ($787.60) Seat 2: cheettt ($870.05) Seat 3: dontot1123 ($408) Seat 4: gnomeontilt ($929.70) Seat 5: vtpp123 ($800) Seat 6: ClarkRussell ($319.20) ClarkRussell antes $0.75 ShesSoHeavy antes $0.75 dontot1123 antes $0.75 gnomeontilt antes $0.75 vtpp123 antes $0.75 cheettt antes $0.75 ClarkRussell posts the small blind of $2 ShesSoHeavy posts the big blind of $4 The button is in seat #5 *** HOLE ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Dec 5th, 2009
Am I a donkey for calling this river?
No reads on opponent... Full Tilt Poker Game #16536701571: Table Buckwood (6 max) - $5/$10 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:07:45 ET - 2009/12/04 Seat 1: ClarkRussell ($422) Seat 2: jvans ($1,082) Seat 3: BadNew54U ($190) Seat 5: m3galodon ($615) Seat 6: cyluscylus ($689) BadNew54U posts the small blind of $5 m3galodon posts the big blind of $10 The button is in seat #2 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to ClarkRussell [As Ts] cyluscylus folds iluvmonkey adds $200 ClarkRussell raises to $20 jvans folds BadNew54U folds m3galodon calls $10 *** FLOP *** [Js 5h Qh] m3galodon checks ClarkRussell checks *** ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Dec 4th, 2009
Re:Anyone ever fold KK preflop
I never feel comfortable shipping AK. If called, you are either way behind e.g. AA or kk or slightly behind i.e. lower pair.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Nov 30th, 2009
Anyone ever fold KK preflop
I was playing mid stakes with deep stacks. Villian 4-bet from MP to my 3-bet in the BB. I almost folded but shipped it and he had AA. Anyone ever fold KK in this spot' No real reads on the opponent-- I did not see him go all-in preflop before....
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Nov 30th, 2009
Good fold in $1/2 Game...?
No read on opponent. Full Tilt Poker Game #15935165879: Table Butterum (6 max) - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:21:08 ET - 2009/11/10 Seat 1: zomgROFL ($257) Seat 2: ArmandoGB ($38) Seat 3: winwim78 ($571.80) Seat 4: heel012 ($203) Seat 5: ClarkRussell ($158.85) Seat 6: GiveMeTehBeat ($239.65) ArmandoGB posts the small blind of $1 winwim78 posts the big blind of $2 The button is in seat #1 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to ClarkRussell [Ks Kc] heel012 folds heel012 stands up ClarkRussell raises to $6 perkatauro adds $40 GiveMeTehBeat calls $6 zomgROFL folds ArmandoGB folds winwim78 folds *** ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Nov 11th, 2009
Anyone play low PP and suited connectors profitably?
I bet no one does. Check your pokertracker database and see if you show a profit for any suited connector or low PP. If not, why do we still play them'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Nov 6th, 2009
Good fold in .50/1 6 max game?
good fold' villian had low agression factor Full Tilt Poker Game #15433379094: Table Blowing (6 max) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 23:14:15 ET - 2009/10/18 Seat 1: TrashCardLover ($99.50) Seat 2: BLINBMAN ($158.15) Seat 3: Unkle_Rukus ($123.40) Seat 4: veeloop ($299.40) Seat 5: forgot2nut ($101.95) Seat 6: ClarkRussell ($382.20) ClarkRussell posts the small blind of $0.50 TrashCardLover posts the big blind of $1 The button is in seat #5 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to ClarkRussell [3c 3d] BLINBMAN raises to $3.50 Unkle_Rukus folds veeloop calls $3.50 forgot2nut folds ClarkRussell calls ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 19th, 2009
Folding TT/JJ to 4-bet in $.50/1 6-max games
Assuming 100 BB stacks, you raise someone to $9 and he reraises to $27. How many 5-bet all-in with TT/JJ' At these stakes, most are 3 betting with JJ+ and AK, a range you are way behind. If you don't go all-in, wouldn't folding be better to calling, because if you don't hit your set, which is unlikely, you will not like the flop...'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 14th, 2009
$1/2 6 max cash game--When to 4-bet all-in with AK?
How do you guys decide when to 4 bet all in with AK. Assume $200 buy-in. Do you just look at villians AF and 3 betting range and then decide, e.g. if he is 3 betting 10% shove but if he is only 3 betting 2% fold' Do you have a 4 bet calling HUD stat as well' AK does not have positive equity against a top 4% hand, the type of hand people are calling all-ins with! I seem to loose more money than I win with AK! Help!
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 5th, 2009
Re:$.5/1 6 max--Did I play this too nitty?
don't remember any hands shown but given that I 3 bet and he is so passive, he must be betting the turn with at least 2 pair. I think he would check any other hand. It was probably a little nitty but I have been getting burned a lot with over pairs in 3 bet pots to villians aggression with sets.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 5th, 2009
Re:Tough Spot in $1/2 6 max--Fold, Call or Raise?
I don't think a relatively passive player at these stakes is raising without a set, two pair or maybe the nut flush draw to a tight 3 better preflop.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 5th, 2009
$.5/1 6 max--Did I play this too nitty?
Over 250 hands, villian is playing 42/18/1, i.e., loose-passive/passive. Also, if he has a HUD, he should know I don't 3 bet much, i.e. less than 5%. Full Tilt Poker Game #15064940954: Table Butternut (6 max) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 0:02:48 ET - 2009/10/02 Seat 1: BraveHand125 ($219.25) Seat 2: Spearra ($120.40) Seat 3: ClarkRussell ($82.60) Seat 4: YourDimePal ($106.10) Seat 5: Mongerrr ($128.15) Seat 6: ttamstap ($295) ClarkRussell posts the small blind of $0.50 YourDimePal posts the big blind of $1 The button is in seat #2 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to ClarkRussell [Ks ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 2nd, 2009
Re:When to 4 Bet...?
Thanks. I am talking about people using a HUD, playing low limit cash games, 6 max.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 1st, 2009
When to 4 Bet...?
How do you guys decide when to 4 bet or call a 4 bet' Do you just look at their 3 betting range and if you are ahead of that range 4 bet shove' for example, if villian 3 bets 10% of the time, and you have AK, which has 58% equity against that range, do you shove' Do you ever consider villian's calling range to the shove as well'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 1st, 2009
Re:Tough Spot in $1/2 6 max--Fold, Call or Raise?
BTW, he had pocket 88s for a set and took my stake. It seems that more often than not they have sets in these situations.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Oct 1st, 2009
Re:Tough Spot in $1/2 6 max--Fold, Call or Raise?
I ran it through Pokerstove with a range of A10s+, 88 and 99, and I only have about 30% equity.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Sep 30th, 2009
Re:Tough Spot in $1/2 6 max--Fold, Call or Raise?
But given that I 3-bet preflop, which is representing an overpair, I would think that hands like 1010 and A9 are out of his range. He even may play the flush draw more passively in that situation as well, becuase there is no fold equity in the raise. Hence, a set is probably what he has.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Sep 30th, 2009
Re:VP v. PR: low relative PR
that is what i figured but I don't feel like I call enough to account for the difference...'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Sep 29th, 2009
Tough Spot in $1/2 6 max--Fold, Call or Raise?
No reads on villian. Full Tilt Poker Game #14999483183: Table Glenrio (6 max) - $0.50/$1 - No Limit Hold'em - 20:05:34 ET - 2009/09/28 Seat 1: dbbuster60 ($97) Seat 2: ClarkRussell ($129.95) Seat 3: mattholdEM_nl ($656.45) Seat 4: JaFfuuuuu ($30.70) Seat 5: AfterSeven ($120.70) Seat 6: rainbowbrite123 ($100) ClarkRussell posts the small blind of $0.50 mattholdEM_nl posts the big blind of $1 The button is in seat #1 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to ClarkRussell [Qh Qd] JaFfuuuuu folds AfterSeven raises to $3.50 rainbowbrite123 has 15 seconds left to act rainbowbrite123 folds dbbuster60 ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Sep 29th, 2009
VP v. PR: low relative PR
I play $1/2 max at VP 22 and PR 15. I NEVER limp, except maybe in the SB with other limpers. What accounts for the discrepancy' It seems like my PR should be higher'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Sep 27th, 2009
Getting 4 Bet with AK-Why is it an automatic call?
I 3 bet with AK routinely. When I am 4 bet/all-in, most would say call, but aren't most villian's 4 betting only with a premium pair or AK, a range I am behind' For example, say you are in a $1/2 6 max and on the button with AK. MP raises to $6 you raise to $18 and he shoves with another $100. Most would say call but what is he really shoving with' Most would only shove with 1010+ or AK where AK has less 40% equity. I don't have the pot odds to call assuming that range right' Why does everyone call this'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Sep 24th, 2009
Would you call the raise and all-in on turn?
What made this guy call me down' Would you call me down' My stats are pretty conservative. Full Tilt Poker Game #14104086754: Table djbignick (6 max) - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 1:34:26 ET - 2009/08/18 Seat 1: i4ni ($385.15) Seat 2: waliwali ($160.95) Seat 4: Scotty_Minto ($305.05) Seat 5: coolpokername1 ($100) Seat 6: krolle34 ($60) Scotty_Minto posts the small blind of $1 coolpokername1 posts the big blind of $2 The button is in seat #2 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to coolpokername1 [Ad 9d] krolle34 folds i4ni raises to $7 waliwali folds Scotty_Minto folds coolpokername1 calls $5 *** FLOP ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Aug 18th, 2009
Re:Badbeats--When Should I feel like I am running bad?
I looked at the last 20 times I was all-in. I was ahead (e.g., AK v. AQ) in 14 of them, behind in 2 and the rest were coin flips. Yet, I lost all except 3. I lost my bankroll. I understand that if you flip a coin 500 times, close to 250 will be heads but there will be stretches of 10 or more tails in a row before it evens out. How much variance can you expect' What are the odds of this losing streak'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Aug 18th, 2009
Re:High Stakes Games Going All-in with Draw on Turn
From a strict pot odds perspective, the pot odds are better just to call--going all in makes the pot odds worse right' Generally speaking, don't you want to get all your money in when you are better than 50% to win, and to just call if you have the pot odds but are less than 50% to win' Fold equity is the only thing that justifies the all-in on the turn.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Aug 17th, 2009
High Stakes Games Going All-in with Draw on Turn
I have been watching the high stakes games. Many of them will go all in with a draw, usually a combo draw, on turn. Why' Is it really more profitable than just to call turn bets' For example, Phil Ivey 3-bet preflop with QQ and Lars called with 5c8c. The flop was 5s4h9c. Ivey bet close to pot and Lars called. The turn was 7c giving Lars a flush draw and a gut shot. Ivey bet $40,000 which was close to pot and Lars went all-in for 200,000 more giving him 18 outs. Given the way the hand was played, it appeared that Ivey had an overpair, thus he was probably going to call and there was little ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Aug 16th, 2009
Badbeats--When Should I feel like I am running bad?
I have looked back at my last 20 all-ins in 6max cash games and was ahead in most of them yet lost most of them. What are the odds of this variance' When do you say you are "running bad"'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Clark
Aug 16th, 2009