Search Results

[x]

Search Results Showing 1 to 30 of 1,153 results [Advanced Search]

You are all terrorist! There's this additive in the Cheetos cheese. It makes you hate the US of A. Studies have shown that those who consume more than two bags of Cheetos per week are 42.3% more likely to blow something up, and 63.7% more likely to vote Republican. The implications are.... OBVIOUS! Posted in: Off Topic	Dunce May 6th, 2006
computer issues Have you checked your cables' It's possible something has just wiggled loose inside your comp case. Posted in: Off Topic	Dunce May 13th, 2005
The best poker players come from which state? The State of Denial. It's the only way anyone perseveres long enough to ever make money. Dunce Posted in: Off Topic	Dunce Apr 12th, 2005
Gidders: Help me understand these two.... At low levels, the big stacks will take ridiculous chances. Count on it. Yesterday, I had a tournament end because the big stack felt like calling my KK with K5 offsuit. I'm 93/7 Preflop, but he sucks out a Flush to his 5. Today, my QQ dies an ugly death to a big stack's 2 8. The lower the stakes the more ridiculous the suckouts become. Posted in: Bad Beats	Dunce Sep 29th, 2005
Leggggggggy shows me how to get a stack in the $150 on stars If we're talking about the bet, as a bet, then murderer, etal are correct. The pot odds just aren't there to justify the call. But, as a play, it aint bad. Here we are talking about it on P5's. People are going to remember this call, and legggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggggy is gonna get paid off on a slightly greater percentage of his big hands as a result. Retail poker. Suck 'em in with a loss leader, and then gaff 'em good on the essentials. Posted in: Bad Beats	Dunce May 6th, 2006
THE answer! Stolen from Paul Phillips BLOG... A truly reliable RNG, guaranteed to solve your Bad Beat woes: Posted in: Bad Beats	Dunce Dec 5th, 2005
playing nut straight against flush draw... I really hate a Check. Sure, it has the potential to save a bet. But, that's only gonna be one time in 5.2 when the Turn brings the dreaded Flush card. So, you save a bet 20% of the time, and totally sacrifice a laydown 80% of the time. Not at all profitable. You've got to do whatever you can to take away his odds for making the Draw. I think you made a good bet. Less would definitely have been too little. My sense is that more would not have helped in the least. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 6th, 2005
playing nut straight against flush draw... I will defer to you, sir. gg, wp, and smd for being right ;-) Oh, and f beanie while we're at it. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 6th, 2005
WSOP ME how to play the following hand? Joe KNOWS POKER! Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Nov 30th, 2005
aaawnutz or anyone hand question I agree. You got screwed by the situation. Unfortunately, when your opponent has you outstacked 3:1, he can make risky plays like Call a big Raise with something like K x. When you pushed over half your stack in PreFlop, he knew you were pot committed. He apparently felt it was worth 7k to see if he could Flop something good enough to get all your chips. That's kinda what Power Poker is all about. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jul 24th, 2005
Difficult Hand Analysis I can understand that. There are as many different ways to play poker as there are players. However, failing to Call when you are a favorite to win and you're getting 1.8:1 Odds on your money besides is an objective mistake. You cannot play profitable poker by making objective mistakes. Simplifying things to illustrate: If you are 53% to win, and it costs you $100 to get into a $180 Pot, meaning that if you win you will get back $280... Cost of Bets: 100 hands x $100 = $10,000.00 Amount of Return: 53 hands x $280 = $14,840.00 Gross Profit: $4,840.00 Now, it cost you $42 to get to the ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jul 24th, 2005
.25/.50 NL AA hand In the general these-are-donks-who-have-no-clue situation you might have a point. But, that is not the actual situation here. You're over-generalizing. He isn't taking an overpair plus a strong redraw up against a couple of lesser hands here. If a 9 or Ace falls off ( 22% ), he loses to the OESD. If the Board Pairs ( 35% ), he loses to a Full House. There's even a miniscule chance the fourth Jack will fall off. If the Board bricks out he loses to the Set of Jacks. And, the Board WILL brick out 2 out of 3 times. Even in the general case, when he's looking at 2 All-Ins ahead of him, it is no ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jun 2nd, 2006
playing nut straight against flush draw... No matter who's right here, it's great to see some heavyweights in this thread. Please, phatty, and Muchaka, continue to read these threads and chime in. I really welcome your insights. Doesn't it all come down to the quality of the field' With a weak field, I think the overbet may work the way Phatcat expects. But what about a strong field' Aren't those guys going to see an overbet as weak and vulnerable' Or, an outright steal' I think that's likely. Which means that TPGK, or 2 Pair are going to Call. So a late position chaser is still going to have the Explicit Pot Odds he needs. If the ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 6th, 2005
Chip value vs Real value . Yup. Read the BLOGs. Fascinating stuff. I just reread them, and only Doyle and one other guy bought in for more than the 100k minimum. Negreanu should have started play with about 40% of the chips on the table. It didn't help a bit. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 5th, 2005
playing nut straight against flush draw... Ummmm, reread his post please. He clearly says he does want Villain to chase. He just doesn't think there's any necessity to bet so much that you cripple yourself on those occasions when he hits. Since you're going to lose 35% of the time anyway, why make it hurt worse than it needs to when it does' ie. Why bet more than the minimum needed to make chasing mathematically incorrect' He's right, there is no reason to do so. Overbetting the Flop just reduces your EV for this matchup presuming there is any bet you can make that Villain doesn't Raise. Pushing yourself is clearly wrong here, ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 6th, 2005
Chip value vs Real value . Oooooh. That's a treasure trove. Gonna be gone awhile, lotsa great archived threads to read :-) Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 2nd, 2005
Would You Be Out Of The Tournament Like This... tibby, you are a piece of work... If you polled 1000 decent poker players and asked them if they would choose to play 7T for 90% of their stack when there was no compelling reason to do so, I doubt that you'd find two who thought it was a good idea. You wanted to chip up. You didn't NEED to chip up right this minute. You gambled ugly and you lost even uglier. It happens. Move on. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 3rd, 2005
SB....Dealt Pocket 3's......doesn't hit on flop......Hold em or Fold em? ADVICE WELCOME I'd Fold on the Turn, too. But that's just me. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 1st, 2005
Hand Quiz Hmmmm. That's an awfully deep, late delayed Bluff. My guess is that he didn't intend to play it that way. First he missed the opportunity to represent the Ace and take the Pot down there, and, second, he didn't Bet enough to make it incorrect for you to Call when he did Bet the River. Pretty much a total misplay all around for him, and good reasoning and smart play by you. Well done. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Sep 12th, 2005
Difficult Hand Analysis The size of his opponent's post Flop Bet screams, "I'M SCARED!!". The only thing that is going to make a scared player feel safe enough to bet $15 there is if he has Top Pair. The thing that is going to make him scared to begin with is that he does not have any Diamonds. Right then, the opponent has the best hand, but he is so afraid that one of the next two cards off the deck will beat him that he overbets the pot by an absurd amount. With 15 ways to beat somebody in just the way he fears most, you absolutely must take advantage of such a rare opportunity Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jul 24th, 2005
Diminishing ROI for rebuys The only time I could see where it might be correct to rebuy is if 100% of that additional money went directly to First place. Even then, it's not a good bet. If I put in 2 buyins and you put in one, and it's winner-take-all. You stand to win 200% of your investment. I stand to win 50% of mine. You simply cannot buy your way to parity... let alone an advantage. You cannot buy back that which you have already given away. Imagine a game that keeps track of your rebuys and awards that many times your starting stack. The only proviso is you must lose all your chips before you can rebuy. 1st ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 7th, 2005
SB....Dealt Pocket 3's......doesn't hit on flop......Hold em or Fold em? ADVICE WELCOME Only if you neutralize it with pickles... and he's out of pickles. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Nov 29th, 2005
aaawnutz or anyone hand question Sure I'm serious. And, yes, I'm aware of the idea that once you have over half your money invested in a Pot you don't walk away from it. I just think it's a mistake to be dogmatic about it. Especially when the Flop contains a Pair that most likely hits your opponent where he lives. That's like saying, "Oops, I shot myself in the foot with that Raise, so the only thing I can do is shoot myself in the other foot." Brunson also says, very clearly and several times over, that there is nothing that he will always do or never do. What he talks about in Super System is what he would usually do ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jul 21st, 2005
Fold AA to this flop? If we expand his range to include K9 both suited and not, Tim becomes just 50+% to win on the Flop. But, as I said before, if we leave those out, he's still 55% versus ANY pair that fits that Flop, or ANY two Broadway cards. That's resticting Villain's range to the most germane 15% of the deck. You can't narrow it down more than that without making totally unwarranted assumptions. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jan 6th, 2006
Fold AA to this flop? Given that it's 110:1 against Villain having AK to start with, and 310:1 against Flopping Q, J, T if he does, being up against a Straight is a really remote possibility. ( 34,100 : 1 ) Two Pair' Maybe. (48.5:1) A Set' Maybe. (10.1:1) Villain's Raise makes sense for A Q, (AA = 80% favorite) or K Q (AA = 69% favorite). Against QJ or QT or JT Tim's still 40%. ( and it's still 110:1 against Villain having any one of those ) Without a solid read, I just don't see how this is a Fold. The odds are better that Villain is Bluffing ( 10% ) than they are that he has any of the cards that are ahead ... Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jan 6th, 2006
any ranked player....cal...adam...someone look at this Who said anything about folding' What I said was Two Pair isn't strong enough to slowplay. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Nov 17th, 2005
Chip Value Theory. Well, coming in 2nd just means you lost a 2 person tournament. Think of anything you get as a parting gift from your gracious winner. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Nov 21st, 2005
Diminishing ROI for rebuys If you have 1000 chips and I have 3000 chips, and I know you have AA, I can't Call. With our stack differential, you are only laying me 3:1 odds and there's no hand I could have that would have correct odds to Call you. Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Dec 5th, 2005
Odds Calculations. Bill - First of all thanks for your help and your patience. I think I get it now. Please check me on this simplified version. After one Ace is in your hand, the individual probability of seeing another Ace is 3/51 or 1 in 17. Your odds for Flopping another Ace would be 17/3 or 5.67:1 Against or 17.6%. The odds you'd see another Ace by the Turn would be 17/4 = 4.25:1 = 23.5%. The odds of seeing one by the River would be 17/5 = 3.4:1 = 29.4%. Or, even more simply, 5.88% x number of tries. Am I at least close' Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jul 27th, 2005
Odds Calculations. That's got to be right. It actually works out to 0.03647 for each case. 3 * 0.03647 = 0.10941 or 10.94% Posted in: Poker Discussion	Dunce Jul 29th, 2005

Page

PF

Search Results Showing 1 to 30 of 1,153 results [Advanced Search]

PocketFives