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Shove or Fold?
Opening any two from ep 4x' i doubt it. Not going to get in AJ here when he randomly 4x's from ep. I also hate the whole if you want to win you can't fold thing people bring up all the time at FT's. People just use it as an excuse to take some close chip ev spot and clearly bad icm spot. You might not win, but you're tied with 2 other stacks and have to tiny stacks. You double and you're right up around 2nd place. Not the end of the world to fold. He's not folding and he has what appears to be a pretty tight range...i doubt there's any way we can reasonably range his 4x where going with AJo ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 12th, 2014
AA do we always 5 bet here or do we trap?
Deeper in a tourney vs a good player i might lean more towards just calling but here i think the huge majority of players bluff 0%. And even the ones capable are probably still like 90%+ going for value
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 11th, 2014
AA do we always 5 bet here or do we trap?
think i'm just always shoving here regardless if villain is capable of 4betting light. That's just a spew from him..in a 5r at 100/200 when you squeeze a utg open, utg+1 flat, hj flat and he cold 4bets...you have to be missing out on a lot of value by flatting. By making it so small maybe he thought it was weak...but i still hate a flat to keep in bluffs, because who really takes these spots light..pretty much just people who are oi.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 11th, 2014
How much math do the pros use
Definitely not 95%. Maybe like push/fold and pot odds stuff. But knowing all poker math inside and out, no way. Would say cash regs are generally better with GTO play which helps them run over tourneys when they actually do play them.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 11th, 2014
Best up to date Poker Books?
Janda's book for the GTO stuff
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 10th, 2014
PokerStars help?
You lose because you're bad, they win because they're good, that's it. Stop complaining and work on your game. Mods should really do something about this..Half the threads i look at there's doc with some retarded conspiracy or complaining about run bad. Not sure if he's a huge troll or what, but 95% off his posts are worthless.
Posted in: Poker Sites
EricWRX
Jul 10th, 2014
anyone find online play hard?
Self exclude and get some help.
Posted in: Bad Beats
EricWRX
Jul 8th, 2014
Semi bluff gone wrong
Misread stacks in my post...obv would not get away from AK if this is right : There's 3k off flop....13k pot on turn....a little more than half pot ~7k...so ~27k on river right' and he has around 5k' You said you bet 10700 which is "2/3 to 3/4" pot. Is that just a typo and you're really just betting 5k into ~27k' If so you def don't get him off anything. Also agree with 88 and noanswers posts.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 7th, 2014
Semi bluff gone wrong
Would like it more if you had a club in your hand so you'd have better barrel cards. I like just betting the flop though. Then possibly barrel the OR, but just give up if the other guy calls. Everyone is going to think you'll start betting a two pair, set or K off the flop. So when OR checks, you check behind, it looks really fishy for you to raise here. I think it's reasonable for him to just call you down here. And actually think there's no way you're getting him off a K at any point with the brick turn/river. I would've folded in his shoes to the average player...but to expect a guy in ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jul 7th, 2014
set facing x/r early in 5r
You're getting owned like every time by a reg taking this line at this stage. Nobody is ~4xing your 1/2 pot turn bet and potting river with worse value hands. TT and JJ can flat pre, prob raise flop though...so often it's Q9 or AQ. I guess with no reads you just have to call down' Meh, I doubt you're good 1/3 times here vs anyone competent though...same probably goes for the average random. I can go either way on this but tbh think it's a pretty bad call unless you see him spewing previous hands. Probably a spot where i just click call more than i should. and don't min raise when everyone ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jun 26th, 2014
99 with 20bbs facing big stack shove in $5r
Well he really does have pretty tight stats if they're all from this tourney and he's had chips. Probably no way any random (or reg tbf)is shoving QQ-55,ATs+,KJs+,ATo+,KJo+ in a 5$ 2r1a. Wouldn't be surprised if he's just calling hands like AJ and 66 pre. I think it's borderline and not going to be -ev, but i wouldn't hate just folding. Guys just play too tight deep in these. They're really soft tourneys so you'll probably find better spots than to call off vs some guy who's probably shoving a lot tighter than we think. Probably just go with it vs someone who is competent though.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jun 25th, 2014
7s utg final table $2.5 180man
77 is like close to a break even shove i'm pretty sure with ICM. B/E isn't good enough for me in a 2$. Pretty gross spot to just open too, anyone at the table can pile vs you. I don't think you're in good enough shape vs anyone to be able to call off either, except sb. I would rather just open fold than do anything else. There's really no good options.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jun 3rd, 2014
advice please
To be fair, it's really not that bad. Not like he's inducing much if anything vs a 3x utg+1 from a shortstack. Your raise looks really strong, fine to just rip it and let you call with basically your whole range than to 3b small and have you flat 99 or AQ etc...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Jun 3rd, 2014
explain this?
what about it'
Posted in: Poker Community
EricWRX
Jun 2nd, 2014
I love when i read them like a book and use my $kills
Sick reads =/= Random button clicking
Posted in: Poker Community
EricWRX
May 31st, 2014
JJ utg+1 with 17 bb stack, facing all in jam from big stack.
He played it totally fine though. You're in EP with 15bb left behind after you raise...there's no point to try to induce or keep in worse hands vs a competent player by 3betting small. Only going to look stronger to them and possibly fold out hands that were going to r/c anyway. Would flat before i would make a small 3b.....not folding AQ to that shove either.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 31st, 2014
JJ utg+1 with 17 bb stack, facing all in jam from big stack.
You can't really discount those hands, op has 17bb to start. I'm just shoving my entire range in villains shoes. It's still a clear call regardless of how you want to range him.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 30th, 2014
Call or fold with AA?
ya i agree, i'd go bigger around 420-450...320 is pretty small. Probably not a huge diff here, but why not go bigger if they're going to call anyway.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 22nd, 2014
Call or fold with AA?
People are over thinking trying to break this down. It's reasonable for either one of those guys to have a K. The first guy is obviously bad. Can't just say he doesn't have a K because you wouldn't lead. Could be his standard to lead it 100%. If the guy is just loose passive, that's a really scary looking bet from him. When he opens limps, then donk leads pot into two people, I think it's just wrong to think he checks because there's two people and is getting cbet always. He's probably not thinking about anything other than what cards he has. Doesn't look like the donk leader is folding ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 22nd, 2014
Current state of play?
For cash or MTTs' I would have to imagine low limits are easy to beat either way. But games are harder than they've ever been and they're only going to get tougher. For that reason i would never recommend any new players to try to go from amateur to pro.
Posted in: Poker Community
EricWRX
May 22nd, 2014
sheets on pokerstars?
He played 1 day lol. Pretty sure neither is interested in moving to play online for obvious reasons. They both play live still i believe.
Posted in: Poker Community
EricWRX
May 19th, 2014
KQ with 19 BB middle pos
Yeah, i'd be more likely to play back at a random 2.5 from a reg since it looks so much like they're trying to increase their chances of just taking the blinds down. Funny you mention the 5xing...was watching a final table my friend was at, the 888 major. The table was full of regs and jcinblue was just running it over by 4-5xing, 4x 3betting etc...everyone caught on and didn't give him much respect once it became shorthanded. But near the ft bubble and early ft it was really effective. I don't like the idea of it here since you're essentially shoving anyway, but in general i think it has ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 15th, 2014
Interesting spot online - How much do we consider timing tells?
yeah i guess i missed the point and didn't really get into timing too much. I guess all i have to say about it is that if i thought his range would be more polarized i might look at his timing and think he's just that much more likely to be light. I just don't think this is a great spot to be a hero and wouldn't let a timing tell take over
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 15th, 2014
Interesting spot online - How much do we consider timing tells?
Kind of a tough spot off the flop....torn on whether a cbet is even worth it. I don't think just cbetting 1 and giving up is going to work too often vs a competent player. And where he's so short to start, it's awkward to try to barrel him off something. If he is just a bad player calling and check folding a lot i'd bet...don't think i'd bother vs a good player though. HUD would help me more with this decision. He could have some traps in there like KK AA...a Q or a T can definitely check back flop too. I don't think you're a head much given the line he took though tbh. An AJ would shove ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 15th, 2014
Am i supposed to call here?
umm no...i'd pile AA and KK if i don't think i'm getting 3b light. No way i would shove aj, aq, 99, 88 readless for 40bb....huge difference. Surprised no one mentioned flatting pre. Yes it's a call, but 3betting a UTG open from MP can get pretty messy. He's going to have a super narrow 4b range, not exactly happy to get this in. The only reason i might not want to flat is because everyone is so deep and you end up playing multi way more than having someone squeeze from behind. You really can't go wrong with a 3b/c. I would still say if you're this uncomfortable getting this in (which is ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 14th, 2014
just wondering on perople opinions
Would hate raising turn...let him barrel off. You just get it in with hands that are already going with it anyway, more of which you lose to. Highly doubt he turns any of those mid pairs into bluffs either. Looks like you have a Q at least or mid pair. Him barreling an A on the river wouldn't really be a believable bluff. I think when someone leaves back the small amount, it's more because they don't want to bet big and make you fold. Another thing when he barrels turn...it really does look like an A(or the obv value hands). It's a bad barrel card for anything else. So when he does barrel ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
May 7th, 2014
Final 2 tables - Spew with AQ?
I think once you check the flop, you're not getting any 8 or T to fold. Any hands calling you on the turn that are beating you probably aren't folding...and if he has like a QJ, AJ or w/e he's folding. Might get a smaller pair to fold....but can see someone with that stack just calling down regardless when you take a weak line. I'd either just bet the flop or just check it down...seems kind of meh, but i'd be inclined to just check it down. Guy has a ton of chips and can put you in some bad spots + it's not a horrible flop for what his range would be flatting pre.
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Apr 27th, 2014
sheets on pokerstars?
Guessing he was visiting in canada and wouldn't move to play poker.
Posted in: Poker Community
EricWRX
Apr 25th, 2014
Tonights Carnival 55-120 ppl left
yeah that's standard
Posted in: Poker Advice
EricWRX
Apr 21st, 2014
Ok, lets try this again PokerStars Sunday Million
Is it that great of a spot though' I mean there's 3 of 4 guys behind you're committing to, the bb has 4bb so would expect to have to showdown vs him a lot too. it's not really icm that would deter me, it's that i don't think anyone ever 3bets light here. Especially full ring early in the sunday million ft from these positions.
Posted in: Poker Community
EricWRX
Apr 19th, 2014