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Ok, lets try this again PokerStars Sunday Million
Is it that great of a spot though' I mean there's 3 of 4 guys behind you're committing to, the bb has 4bb so would expect to have to showdown vs him a lot too. it's not really icm that would deter me, it's that i don't think anyone ever 3bets light here. Especially full ring early in the sunday million ft from these positions.
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EricWRX
Apr 19th, 2014
3 spots last 18 of the hot 55
Yeah, if you're going to pass on that for edge/variance or whatever you're just making a mistake. 44 isn't one of those close shoves that can go either way...it's a clear +ev shove in a turbo. Have to take it.
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EricWRX
Apr 17th, 2014
3 spots last 18 of the hot 55
Alll of this hand 1 is an easy shove. hand 2 is close and probably just barely +ev, pretty happy to fold it though...no need to take something this close in a tourney this soft. hand 3 is an easy fold.
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EricWRX
Apr 9th, 2014
This result belongs to a section you don't have read access to.
Where is the PWNAGE archive? - Sick cold 4 w T3o
i think i mis read hh...i can't tell if you're just making it 78k with the bb included or 78k+8k. It's going to be really close to breakeven if the blinds weren't included in those sizings. Much rather at least have some blockers or something that you know will have enough equity to call. Some random 3betting a 23bb stack small from the sb here doesn't look like a great spot. Although regs in my experience and even myself are light probably too often from the sb. Complete opposite for mediocre players. I don't think it is "fine" to make a habit of this at all at these stakes with such ...
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EricWRX
Mar 26th, 2014
Where is the PWNAGE archive? - Sick cold 4 w T3o
Yeah, you didn't comprehend anything i said correctly. You think i'm saying don't do it in a 10$ because it's a huge buy in' I said it because the whole field is probably garbage, why take such a high variance line when all you need to do is make standard steals and value bet people...easy final table. Would obviously make more sense in a 500, don't know why you're acting like it's much more bad ass to do lol...someone in a 500 is going to be 3 betting a hell of a lot lighter in this spot than someone in a 10$. Regardless of the buy in i think it's pretty obvious that nobody is 5 betting ...
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EricWRX
Mar 26th, 2014
Where is the PWNAGE archive? - Sick cold 4 w T3o
Want to improve your game' Don't do this in 10$ feezeouts on 888. Why commit to anyone with T3o ever'
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EricWRX
Mar 23rd, 2014
Identified leak - General thoughts wanted - 3bet shoving EP raises 15-22bb w marginal
Well they're almost definitely not opening 29% from ep here. But also, they're almost definitely not opening tight enough that you're not making money from shoving either. So i wouldn't say it's a leak...i'd be more concerned if you were passing on these spots every time. My concern would be the stack sizes they're opening into though tbh. The first one he's opening into 4 reshove stacks and has to call one. I think this is a pretty standard shove in a tougher tourney. But in a 3$ you'll find some easier spots. The second one, he does have over 60bb. But he's raising into 5 reshove stacks, ...
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EricWRX
Mar 22nd, 2014
Party Poker Transfer
/ Cashier>Inter-account Transfer. Don't do it through the client, doesn't work most of the time.
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EricWRX
Mar 15th, 2014
what would you do in this spot?
Didn't see the bet was so small on the turn...i guess that sizing sets it up so you fully expect to get raised and makes it really hard to get away. I thought you made a more standard 1/2 pot bet in my first post, so it's not entirely true here. You're still probably getting reeled in more often then not though. Hard to imagine any worse value hands raising turn small and jamming river. You have no reads to know if he's going to take a cheap river with his draws/mediocre hands or turn them into bluffs. I'd just bet bigger on turn and go away if i get played back at. You kinda just set ...
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EricWRX
Mar 14th, 2014
what would you do in this spot?
Umm i prob play the same, betting flop and turn. There's worse hands that can call. Think you're dead on the turn though. When i get two calls on the flop, i'm trying to get value from worse calls on the turn, not play a guessing game with some decent player i have no info on. I'm just bet folding the turn and feeling pretty good about it. It's pretty meh to think he's bluffing after bb calls too on the flop, you double barrel into two people on the turn, then he raises you with the bb still to act. Would be a really ambitious call down...and imo there's no worse value hands raising turn ...
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EricWRX
Mar 14th, 2014
whats your play
Maybe a few more lol. Well we need to look at our equity vs the calling ranges and how many folds we get when we're looking to open shove. And blockers definitely come into play, like i already said. We get 15 more combinations to call if we have 77(correct me if i did it wrong). 88(6), 99(6), TT(6), JJ(6), QQ(6), KK(6), AA(6), AJs(4), AQ(16), AK(16)- 78 combinations call shoving 77 88(6), 99(6), TT(3), JJ(6), QQ(6), KK(6), AA(3), AJs(3), AQ(12), AK(12)- 63 combinations call shoving ATs I've never seen a push fold chart take something like 77 over ATs and that's because our equity vs ...
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EricWRX
Mar 12th, 2014
whats your play
Ok, just making one more post in this train wreck. Fwiw, the whole folding something because even though it's +ev it might not be the best play has nothing to do with what i was getting at. I don't care about that or variance,edge or w/e. I'm wondering about the overall profitability of shoving these low pairs. I said i understand why people want to fold ATs for this reason. As far as i know it's irrelevant to why 77>ATs...so don't know where all of this came from, then again, it's rgm, it's what he does. Also not the first hand at an FT, we're 18/18...would be happy to fold ATs UTG at an ...
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EricWRX
Mar 8th, 2014
whats your play
See there you go again, come on. All you've done is talked about the profitability of this or that, without doing any actual math. Then as someone who actually is trying to do some work on it, i see you make statements about the profitability of hands that i think are wrong. You don't respond by proving it, discussing or anything, you respond by throwing hissy fits. You just can't stand seeing people disagree with you. What i brought up has nothing to do with game theory. You said small pairs are more profitable than ATs. So prove it...literally all you've done is say how i'm wrong and ...
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EricWRX
Mar 8th, 2014
whats your play
What you said doesn't prove anything though. Just because there's more combinations doesn't make 77 play better as a shove. ATs blocks a lot of combinations and 77 blocks none, are you taking that into consideration too' Has added equity with Flush/straight possibilities...There's more to it than just putting 77 in stove and saying it's better than ATs or saying there's more combinations on Ax calling. It's so much more useful to actually prove than saying you'd shove whatever just because. I can be persuaded into a fold or shoving 77 over ATs. But it's a math question, i don't see anyone ...
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EricWRX
Mar 7th, 2014
whats your play
So you said knowing the table will fold 33-66 and def call AJs/AQ/AK, you'll shove AJs+ and 77. That basically means if we are shoving 77 we need to be jamming any suited broadway no' They all play better than 77 unless we are going to say people are calling wider than nash. There needs to be a line...like AJs+ 88+ are no brainers. KQs and KJs are the next best hands. Then we have the ATs, KTs, QJs hands, all better than 77.
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EricWRX
Mar 7th, 2014
Risking it all or staying out of trouble
It's going to bad to fold anyway you look at it Too many people to act behind' Not for a hand as strong as AQ. You'd hate to be sitting at 13bbs' It happens...as long as you make the right play there's nothing to worry about. Ak is obv in his range, were are factoring it into our calculations...that one hand doesn't make it a fold. Neither would adding QQ+
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EricWRX
Mar 5th, 2014
Risking it all or staying out of trouble
only play is to shove...you're essentially shoving when you call off over 1/2 your stack, so not a huge deal unless you're actually calling and looking to get away from it if someone else jams. Super standard shove though...folding would be a mistake. asking to "risk it all or stay out of trouble" is not how you should be thinking early in a massive field tourney like this. It's just a clear winning call, need to win these to have any kind of a chance.
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EricWRX
Mar 5th, 2014
whats your play
I'm fine with just folding ATs, i wouldn't personally do it, but can see why people would fold. What i don't get is how we can say that it makes more sense to fold ATs and jam any two from late position. Does not make more sense to me. And yes i was serious when i said i think ATs>Q9o....i don't see how Q9 is way more profitable than AT, and "not even close". Instead of just saying stuff like that...just prove me wrong instead of the condescending comments.
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EricWRX
Mar 3rd, 2014
QQ facing UTG+1 4b, 56BB eff vs very competent villain $5+2r1a
How is 3betting with the intention of going with QQ bad' I mean your plan is to just 3b go with it.....there's like nothing he could do to have to change your plan mid hand lol. Are you advocating just 3betting and peeling a 4b...what are you going for here' I can see if someone cold 4bets, that is irrelevant to what i said and the situation. I just don't see how 3betting vs one guy with QQ with the intention of going with it is bad at all. Instead of just trying to call me down and make me look bad, read the full posts' I honestly have no idea what you're going on about. Like you're ...
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EricWRX
Mar 2nd, 2014
whats your play
Pretty sure ATs UTG>Q9o BU fwiw. Don't think Q9o is even profitable from the button with 14bb
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EricWRX
Mar 2nd, 2014
QQ facing UTG+1 4b, 56BB eff vs very competent villain $5+2r1a
Well why would you want to 3b/f or peel QQ' I see people 3b and peel a 4b sometimes in these spots...don't think it's good at all myself. Like i said earlier i would not want to 3b get this in vs a solid player....so i wouldn't 3b. Anyone i'm 3betting, it's with the intention of going with it. I think you're right, he's not going to get in 99-TT often, he'll prob just flat the 3b. With JJ and AK he can go either way...it's not that bad to get it in vs some players ranges 3b-ing the HJ. It's not bad to play postflop with them either. If you think he's the type of player who will be light or ...
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EricWRX
Mar 2nd, 2014
QQ facing UTG+1 4b, 56BB eff vs very competent villain $5+2r1a
vs a competent player i wouldn't 3b. have a plan when you 3b here...either 3b to get it in or flat. I think it's bad myself when people do this then just flat and hope for no A or K. Think his value range is going to be something like JJ, AA, KK and AK....but there may be people who just peel JJ and AK, which is perfectly reasonable imo. So yeah, i'm just trying to keep his range as wide as possible and playing postflop. But 3b to 5b is totally fine vs the average player. Mostly just a style preference for me to flat the top of my range here vs good players
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EricWRX
Mar 1st, 2014
Flat-calling when everyone else folds and you're the SB
Disagree with basically everything you said, except some of what you wrote here. The days of just raising sb, cbetting flop and giving up if you miss are long gone(unless you're playing bad players). Obvious difference between players today and a year ago is that people are peeling bvb over 50% of hands and doing it with the intention of doing something postflop, so it's not going to be good to just do the one and done thing. Going to have to be willing to just check fold, double and triple barrel vs good players. There's players that are going to just defend like every bb...why raise your ...
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EricWRX
Mar 1st, 2014
Flat-calling when everyone else folds and you're the SB
You mean like if it folds to you in the sb' You can do anything here other than fold. Limp, raise or shove are all options depending on villain. I would not be flat calling if someone raised...it would be a fine reshove vs a late position open. Would just fold to an early position raise or to a really tight guy.
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EricWRX
Feb 28th, 2014
whats your play
shove 100%....the question should be what to do with hands like A5s,A8s,A9s
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EricWRX
Feb 28th, 2014
whats your play
would assume it's 9 handed...can't imagine not shoving ATs. Would be shoving worse suited A's tbh.
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EricWRX
Feb 27th, 2014
$5000 WPT Fallsview Main Event
Not being results oriented, i would just flat his 3b. I'm on board with never folding KK pre, but that doesn't mean i'm going to put 200bb in pre with it. I don't know who he is but assuming he's probably a good reg, he's probably not just blasting pre with QQ or AK. I think there's more value to be had just playing post flop...if you do this to me in a 5k, cold 4b to 6b, i'm putting you on AA-KK only.
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EricWRX
Feb 26th, 2014
New maniac on merge 30% itm, 570% ROI
This...also, the hands you talked about aren't extremely odd or that bad in some situations...not any reason to peg him as an aggro donk.
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EricWRX
Feb 25th, 2014
Talk about a sick read.. Some thoughts on the way I played the hand?
the limp prr What was your "read"' Not a good way to think about it at all. You should recognize that people are almost always betting anything you lose to. You're not beat enough on the river to make checking back an option. Honestly it's probably just a leak, not a good read. You probably do this too much and lose money in the long run. I look at this and see really passive play that happened to lose the min. Not such a sick read when you have them both beat when one of them has a T, which he's not going to fold. also the limp pre, it's 20 chips in a hyper...not a big deal to flick it in
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EricWRX
Feb 23rd, 2014