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AKs approaching bubble BB
I'm having a really hard time figuring out why on earth you would 3bet here. You should never 3bet without a reason behind it, and I can't think of a single good one here. You should also never 3bet without a plan, so you should have known you were going to snap call before you 3bet in the first place. Honestly I'm pretty sure anything other than shoving is sub-optimal, but r/f is just retarded.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Aug 1st, 2010
Was I correct Shoving here with QQ ??
You need odds of about 37.5% or higher to make shoving profitable, against [KK+,AKs,AKo] you're 39.86%, so shoving is correct. If you can narrow his range to [KK+], folding is correct.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Aug 1st, 2010
can some1 please explain what the bill passed means?
+1 We're not going to see any actual effect from the bill passing committee for several months at the very least; bills take a while to get through congress. And it's pretty likely that even if it does get signed into law it will be written such that regulation won't go into effect immediately. I would be very surprised to see this bill actually affect poker players during 2010. Even 2011 is probably unlikely.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 29th, 2010
Floor Ruling (Opinions?)
I have to actually agree with thereraise here, it is your responsibility to ensure the dealer is doing his job. It sounds somewhat counterintuitive and you can draw all the parallels to other sports that you want to show why it doesn't make sense, but that is the way it is in live play. I actually brought this up at my live game just because I thought it was an interesting situation and the dealers and floor there pretty much agreed that the fault rested on all three of you, the villain, the dealer, and you. For what it's worth they agreed with the floor ruling to split the $18. After talking ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 29th, 2010
Fold or shove
Let's take a look at an easy scenario where you ship and are only getting called by hands that have you dominated (JJ+, AK, AJ). For the sake of calculations I'm going to ignore the button because his stack is so small as to be basically insignificant. So we'll say you have four players behind that matter. The probability that one of them has a hand that dominates you is almost exactly 13%. Your equity against that range is 23.38%, so the total cEV for shoving with that calling range (disregarding the button player) is roughly +840. Loosen the calling range slightly and your cEV will go down ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 27th, 2010
Floor Ruling (Opinions?)
The real problem is that the deck was already washed before the floor came over. The way that it should have played out is the turn and river should have come and if your hand beat his one live card you should have won the pot. His other card is irrelevant because it was dead as soon as it hit the muck. Since the deck was already washed tho that's just a shitty situation in general, I would say the hand with the best showdown value on the flop (yours) should have won the $18 and he should have got his $57 back. Definitely not tipping that dealer again and probably not playing at that cardroom ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 27th, 2010
Floor Ruling (Opinions?)
My impression from the OP was that the villain mucked, then the dealer started moving the chips. If the order was reversed then obv OP is only going to win $18 at most, but that dealer should get smacked upside the head and/or fired.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 27th, 2010
Floor Ruling (Opinions?)
If the villain tossed his cards in the muck before the dealer started moving the chips, you win the pot. Since one of his cards was shown, another possibility is for the dealer to deal the turn and river and if his one card is enough to win he wins the pot. We actually had a discussion about that with the floor at my cardroom the other day and the floor said that if one card is accidentally mucked, in some circumstances a one card hand can play. Either way though you should typically be winning a pot.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 27th, 2010
!!Underground game busted!!
+7
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 25th, 2010
!!Underground game busted!!
Later in the post he said houston. OP: Cool story bro.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 25th, 2010
what line do we do here?
jam
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 25th, 2010
A 10 UTG...shove?
Pretty sure it's really close to threshold tho so a mixed strategy would probably be unexploitable too. Could be wrong though, haven't run the numbers.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
Bet Sizing?
With regards to turn betting, I definitely hear what you're saying in terms of evaluating how it affected his range and whether he's liable to call or not. One thing that really needs to be emphasized though is that the turn is the street where made hands really get their value out of draws, especially strong draws. The OP's hand isn't a great example for this concept, but the hand you posted works better. With AcAh and a flop of AsJsTc, a strong draw like 9s8s will have 40% equity on the flop, so your bet won't get that much value out of him. When a blank hits the turn though (2c in your ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
Has anyone successfully transitioned from live to online cash?
Definitely have to agree with live cash being soft as hell, I'm significantly negative in online cash but way positive live. As to your specific problem.... uh.... stop pushing the call button so much. That should pretty much take care of it.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
pocket 2s early position. What do you do with them?
On that table I'm limping every time. I typically always raise my pps when I play them but on this table there's no real reason not to just limp since you know you're going to be getting value if you do hit your set anyway.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
Bet Sizing?
Yes, you definitely should be. I can't stress enough that you should be basing your bet sizing on the flop texture, not on the strength of your hand. With regards to the fact that he could have you beat, you need to put him on a range and bet if you're beating that range. In this case I think it's pretty clear that you are (his weak leading bet on the flop makes me immediately think straight draw, personally), though I obviously can't be certain since I wasn't at the table. If he plays back at you, obviously adjust the range you have him on and make decisions from there.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
Bet Sizing?
Mathematics of Poker by Chen and Ankenman has a good section on bet sizing, they talk about geometric growth of pot as well as adjusting your sizing based on flop texture. It has some high level math in it but they're good at laying out their conclusions in a way that you don't need a math degree to understand.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
Bet Sizing?
Definitely more on the flop and turn, and whatever you think you can get out of him on the river. That's not the most dynamic board, but it's not the most static either so you want to be betting a larger % of the pot to extract value from draws, whether they're straight draws or pair/2pairs that need to improve. Also, optimal value betting pattern is geometric growth of pot which means the same % of the pot on every street, game theory shows that's more profitable than any other pattern.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
A 10 UTG...shove?
fold
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
People who play live cash a lot (Rewards question)
I haven't played cash in Vegas but the cardroom I play live at you get free meals and every once in a while you get to play in a $1000 added tourney
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 23rd, 2010
how else do i play this hand?
The guy's playing that line with 43s I don't think it really matters what you do. Donks will be donks.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
AJo UTG late in tournament???
For simplicity's sake let's look at what the numbers look like if you only get called when you're crushed. Someone at your table will have JJ+/AQ+ roughly 22% of the time. Your equity against that range is about 25%, so you'll lose about 22,500 22% of the time and gain 5,000 78% of the time, total ev of -1050. The looser the calling range, the better the ev equation looks, but -1050 is a lot to overcome so I think it's a fold. EDIT: This is just looking at cEV, $EV might be different when you factor in ICM.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
20 left in 44 6 max on stars facing 3 bet... what's your play?
1225 is the denominator with our cards out of the deck, 1326 is the denominator with them still in the deck.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
20 left in 44 6 max on stars facing 3 bet... what's your play?
12 AKs, 12 AQs, 3 AAs, 6 KKs, 6 QQs, 3 JJs, out of 1225 possible makes it 3.43%. Everything looks good other than that, good post. So shove > fold, flat and evaluate is probably a totally acceptable line as well.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
Official Site to Site Transfer Thread
Have $100 on Stars (divusjulius) Need $100 on Tilt (Faded TV) EDIT: Successfully traded with IronCityKid
Posted in: Poker Community 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
What are we ever beating here against a rock?
Pretty sure in that situation the villain's range was [AK], whereas in this position the villain's range is more like [QQ+, 88] or something. Just sayin'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
What are we ever beating here against a rock?
+1 You were behind his actual hand but way ahead of his range, which means you made a terrible fold. From the sounds of it you had a soul read, but I have to agree with what was said earlier: if you had a soul read, why the hell are you posting the hand asking for opinions'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 22nd, 2010
Playing AK early in a SNG from SB
Fair point, though, especially in a micro SNG I think you are giving the players a lot of credit if you think they're capable of calling pre with the intention of floating the flop if no A or K hits... that's a pretty sophisticated line lol. Overall though I do like the smallball line. If no other As or Ks are dead you're still only hitting an A or K on the flop 32.5% of the time, and on top of that some of those will be dynamic flops that might cause you problems (KQJ, three of a suit, etc). Keeping your commitment minimal, especially early in the tournament, makes a lot of sense.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 21st, 2010
Playing AK early in a SNG from SB
I really don't mind that play. It disguises your hand really well when you do hit, and when you miss you can get away from it cheap. Optimal is probably strong raise pre and cbet most flops though.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 21st, 2010
do you guys c bet most flops in mtts?
I think you're overestimating the sample size needed to get usable information. Obviously with smaller sample sizes you need to factor the increased variance in the data into your decision, but that doesn't mean that you can't still use that data. Play live'
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		Faded TV
Jul 21st, 2010