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Wildest hand I've ever played live --- thoughts? Borgata Summer Open PLO High
Hands like this are why you play PLO. This is an absolute no-brainer call, IMO. It's very obvious that there's a couple of sets out there, which dramatically reduce the possibility of boat draws. You've got the nut flush and nut straight draws. And you're getting a huge price on your hand. Thank everyone at the table for the action and trying to make you chip leader. The guys playing top two and AAxx this way are the reason that poker will always be profitable.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jul 29th, 2011
Any thoughts?
I think you lost the minimum. I wouldn't change a thing, other than perhaps putting in a value bet-sized bluff on the river. His check definitely screams that he doesn't have a spade, and it might be possible to steal this one.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jul 12th, 2011
Low pocket pairs in end stages
You should never be raise/folding with less than about 20 BB. With 12-15, I'm willing to just open-shove from mid-to-late position (fold early with baby pairs). With 15-20, I'm looking primarily for 3-bet spots...if I get something like AJoff or baby pairs from early position, I'd much rather open-fold and wait for better spots than raise/fold.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jul 12th, 2011
TPTK (AKo) vs aggresion
No 3-bet pre-flop, or raise the flop'
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jul 8th, 2011
Is check shove the right play here?
You are not deep enough to call pre-flop, especially out-of-position. That said, once you get that flop, yes, get all of your money in the middle. Villain's chase is atrociously bad.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 24th, 2011
AA - Played OK?
You got your money in as a 4:1 favorite. What's your question, exactly' Would you have posted this if he doesn't turn the third queen'
Posted in: Bad Beats
grapsfan
Jun 24th, 2011
General 2-7 strategy
86 low is pretty much a monster...you have the 6th best hand in the game. If someone draws out on me, that's fine, but I'm standing pat and getting as much money in the pot as I can on every street. You'll get action all the way down from worse 8s, and probably most 9s.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 20th, 2011
cash hand $0.10-$0.25
When he 3-bets pre-flop (and a min 3-bet at that, normally a sign of enormous strength from a bad player), then check-raises the flop...what the hell do you think he has'
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 19th, 2011
MTT hand Analysis
You're right that a call is wrong. I'd lean toward a fold, because I don't think he's raising that big if he'd ever fold (assuming that 4x the BB isn't his normal raise), and I don't think you need to play a coin flip for half your stack. That said, you're also getting the right price against his likely range with what's already in the pot, so I wouldn't tell you you're wrong if you said you shoved knowing he'd probably call.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 19th, 2011
Venetian $1,600 turn spot
Bleh...with the button priced to call too, I'd agree with your pre-flop line. On the flop, I'm really tempted to raise, based primarily on your read that SB's range can be pretty wide. Button needs a monster to call, and SB can't be too happy even if he does have something moderately strong like tens or jacks. Part of the reason I like the flop raise is that stacks are really getting awkward on the turn in relation to the size of the pot. You're stuck calling off 1/3 of what you have left, or shoving a draw with what is basically zero fold equity. As played, I can't see folding the turn, ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 13th, 2011
Rebuy Tournaments
Yeah, I understand that you're comfortable with that strategy, and are not looking for opinions on that in general. So, let me phrase it another way. Hmmmm..... When people talk about your strategy of avoiding rebuys being -EV for rebuy MTTs...they are also talking about the bigger picture, which is that your strategy is -EV for freezeout MTTs as well. I cannot think of a successful MTT player, and I mean someone who has made any serious money playing tournaments, whose first aim is to cash.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 13th, 2011
PLO mtt vs. ring
You have to be more of a nut- and position-peddler in PLO than NLHE, and that sentiment is also true in cash games. It's so easy to sit there in 6-max and play junk UTG because you think, "Oh, it's 6-max, I have to be more aggressive." And that's true. But at the 50,000-foot view (which is the only view we can give on such a general question), I'd say that might be your first leak.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 12th, 2011
Can some 1 tell me how the hell do i fold this ?
You don't. If you look up "cooler" in a poker dictionary, you will see this hand. You're making the game too complicated if you'd ever think about folding here, IMO. There are a lot of nasty decisions to be made in an average tournament if you make it anywhere close to deep. If you can't learn to identify the difference between a tough spot and a cooler, you're making it unnecessarily difficult to play the game. All you'll do is make yourself nuts.
Posted in: Bad Beats
grapsfan
Jun 10th, 2011
Advice from hand deep in tournament
The villain's play in this hand is so fucking weird, like he's just spastically clicking the min-bet button (that's less than a 1/10th-pot lead on the turn). I'm not sure if that means he's got 76 or 86 and you're totally screwed...but starting the hand with 40 BB effective, I'm not folding here. There's other stuff in his range. Two questions: 1) Did you think about what to do if he shoves before you raised' 2) How exactly is his turn action a "4-bet"' He bet, you raised, he's putting in the THIRD bet, by my count. Don't tell me you're one of those guys who says "raise" when someone makes ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 10th, 2011
Did I lose the minimum here?
Except, of course, for the fact that he WAS ahead until a 5-out river. Are you SO SURE that someone has J-10 that you'll shut down on the turn' That's just nonsense.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 10th, 2011
Did I lose the minimum here?
You played it fine, other than betting too much on the turn (that's over 3/4-pot bet, which I think is too big). I don't mind too much about how Bob played it either...until he checks behind on the river, which is ATROCIOUS after he makes his hand.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Jun 5th, 2011
Maintaining momentum at a new table
You're asking one of the toughest questions in MTTs. I would normally do the "super nitty for a couple of rounds and just watch everyone" move too, so my advice isn't what you're looking for if you want something else.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 28th, 2011
rivered trips. but fold AK here? wwyd?
Gross hand. You beat a bluff and KJ, and there aren't enough people in a standard $5 MTT playing air this way. I don't know if I'm good enough to do what Jorizz says, but I think he's right that the optimal play is to fold the turn to the min-raise.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 22nd, 2011
Would appreciate opinions could I have done something different?
Not for nothin', but how the hell did you get a $500k tag and not understand how results-oriented you are being' You got your money in as a 2:1 favorite. Tell me why that's a bad thing.
Posted in: Bad Beats
grapsfan
May 22nd, 2011
.10/.25 cash hand
Even tight players are going to raise KQ/KJ and naked flush draws here. Certainly no reason to fold, IMO. I'm not the best NLHE cash game player, but I don't see anything wrong with check-calling the turn and river.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 22nd, 2011
Any way I can fold this?
So you got it in as better than a 2:1 favorite, and you're wondering if you should fold' WHY THE HELL WOULD YOU WANT TO DO THAT' I think I'm going to start treating the "Not to be results oriented" clause like I do the "I'm not a racist" clause. If someone says, "I'm trying not to be results oriented"...they are.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 20th, 2011
2/5 nl live aq clubs
The "raise pre" part of this is the most important part, I think. AQs is way too strong of a starting hand to play it that passively. On that flop, he's assuming the straddler has AA, AK or a set, and completely discounting bluffs from that range, when he folds. That's obviously incorrect, especially considering the size of the bet. A dude who flopped a set is gonna play it slow quite a bit of the time, rather than firing out over the size of the pot. Since one or more overcards are likely live here in addition to the clubs, it's a BAD fold, unless there's some serious metagame action going ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 20th, 2011
Difficult spot in the $50 (1R1A)
You really under-repped your overpair, IMO, by checking the turn and river. And I think his range is probably fairly small...most of the time, the villain's re-raising AA-JJ preflop. So, we're talking about TT, 99, something with a 7, and the odd A2 suited. So, he may think he's value-betting his 87 against your flush draw on the last two streets. Or trying to take it down with his missed flush draw of his own. Pretty big river bet...almost the size of the pot. Leans a little more toward a bluff, I think. Hmmmm...tough spot, and I hate it, but I think I call.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 19th, 2011
Did I play this hand terrible? Or just got unlucky in circumstance?
Yeah, this is it. There aren't enough people folding top pair to EVER make this line correct, IMO. In a small 1/3 game, you don't HAVE a table image, unless you've shown a huge fold or haven't played a hand in a couple hours...THEN they might notice how tight you are. Making a decision based on what you think others think of you is unnecessary at best, dangerous at worst (as it was in this case). As is playing a pot with A8off from UTG+2. Position is EVERYTHING in these games, man. Exactly what flop are you praying for' You're not even happy if it comes A-high and he calls your flop lead, ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 15th, 2011
Live Hand at Mohegan Today, WWYD?
Joey makes the most important point here...DO NOT bet the flop unless you know ahead of time what you're going to do if he shoves. Nothing wrong with checking back and evaluating the turn. Let's also point out how bad the villain's play is here just calling pre-flop. He's got 18 BB to start the hand. Calling off 15% of his stack to see a flop, out of position, is shit. He should either shove or fold. As played, there are so many hands that he shoves you're ahead of. Flush, straight, combo draws...getting 2:1, and there's a decent chance you're ahead, it's a leak to fold, IMO.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 15th, 2011
Is this a good push? Is this a standard call?
The bigger question is: how did you get so short' Unless you lost a big pot, you should never be under 5 BB (more like 7-8, actually). I'm guessing you posted this because you lost the hand...that's results-oriented thinking at it's worst. Your push is standard. His call with J-2 is also standard. There's 10500 (antes) + 7500 (SB) + 15000 (BB) + 51760 (the rest of your stack) = 84760 in the pot. He has to call 36760 more, so he's only needs to have a 30.2% chance of winning to make it a good call. If your range is as wide as it's supposed to be, this is a no-brainer for him. I don't have ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 15th, 2011
Handa analysus - The Big 25k PS
With 35 BB, I'm not a huge fan of passive, pot-control play. I'm either raising the flop, or calling the flop & raising the turn, pretty much every time. EDIT: Sagacious's point is dead-on here (as is the rest of his analysis).
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 2nd, 2011
Question about a HSP hand with Phil Galfond
I didn't see the episode - just read the article on the front page. One of the hands mentioned was: I'm curious why Galfond would raise the river. I've seen a couple episodes with Silly Bandz Guy on, and he doesn't seem to be incredibly splashy. He's not nearly as nitty as some of the other businessmen players who have been on the show, but I don't see him making a lot of crying calls. Is he calling with JJ, QQ, KQ, KJ...something Galfond can beat...enough to make it a value raise' If not (and I don't think he would), then why'
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
May 2nd, 2011
Live MTT Bubble hand, bad shove?
This was my first thought too. There is absolutely no better way to chip up in a live tournament than to punish limpers. It's good advice for online play as well, but people are more likely to fold in a live MTT. As played, either the open-shove or the check-shove are fine by me. Cal's right that by checking, you're giving the worst hand an opportunity to put more money in the pot. But that's a fairly wet board that will have caught a small piece of much of his limping range. I think I'd rather take it down right away with all of the fold equity I can get, rather than get into a spot where ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Apr 25th, 2011
Is this too light a shove?
I like your shove a hell of a lot better than I like his call. K2 is about a 50% hand, so even before you get into the "ICM / adding 15% to your stack" aspect of it, your equity is right. I know the villain mindlessly said, "I have a pair, I'm calling". But he's ahead of nothing, and with all the pairs in your range, it's not pretty.
Posted in: Poker Advice
grapsfan
Apr 24th, 2011