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r/f JJ in CO vs BU 85BB reshove and 35BB snap call from SB? ($3 1R1A MTT)
calling off 85BBs with QQs is not standard for anyone, but i think you will agree that this situation is not standard too, right' and not that it makes much difference but i did not say snapping, just calling. It's not a dream spot, but i feel it's too good to pass up with QQ. I think i already explained partially why. I don't expect BU to show up with AA almost never. I do feel like someone can do it with KK, although i would discard at least half of KK combos as most of people, even fish like this guy, would try to keep us in the pot. I expect to see him show up mainly with AK, QQ-JJ, and ...
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Josek
Feb 25th, 2014
Advice on calling ranges wanted
I was also very surprised to see over 50% in the first hand. Well surprised is a wrong word. i just did not believe it. there is no hand we dominate in that range, there's a lot that dominate us and there's way more better hands than the broadways we're in front of. I went as far as to install pokerstove on my mobile (I'm at work now), and i got 39% equity with K5s vs that range. I don't think it matters whether you call or shove in this spot. It probably shows a marginal profit and you have a good stack. But he can be shoving much narrower, so i'd personally fold here as well as in the ...
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Josek
Feb 25th, 2014
r/f JJ in CO vs BU 85BB reshove and 35BB snap call from SB? ($3 1R1A MTT)
I'd fold TT and AK here every single time. Don't see us dominate the bigger stack here with AK ever, so we will be on the worse side of the huge flip if he has a pair and unnecessarily adding variance trying to chop the pot vs AK. I don't think he would've done this with AA, but i can see him have KK here from time to time, and apart from AK, the most frequent hands he will show up with will be JJ-QQ. With TT we dominate nothing. Even with JJ i really don't need to get in this spot for the reasons i just mentioned. I myself would only be calling QQ+ here.
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Josek
Feb 25th, 2014
AJs off 20bb vs BB defend off 15bb
pot size bet :p i feel like i didn't get a joke :)
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Josek
Feb 25th, 2014
Live cash AA slow play... flop play analysis
I like flatting pre very much here, but unfortunately things don't go our way and we get 2 calls and see the flop 4 way. It's already likely that we're beat (before any action) - fwiw we have one pair 4 way. When we decide to bet into 3 people, with a maniac still in the hand, it looks pretty strong itself. This guy raising is obviously never light, so I'd imagine we're behind a decent amount of the time, and never better than flipping. Call me a nit, but if i decide to trap with AA and the action goes like it did here - 4 way, flop that hits flatting ranges - i want to see the showdown ...
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Josek
Feb 24th, 2014
TT min raise Vs BB shove
I think this is a super standard call. Your opponent will very seldom show up with AA-QQ here, and because you have 23BB's he feels like you have to be folding a lot. In a vacuum (you didn't specify stage of the tournament, reads and stats on the opponent) I think this is a very profitable call in the long run. He can have almost any broadways, mid pairs, some will even do this with 22 having a good stack and putting you to pressure, and as i said, most of the time he would just 3bet you with QQ-AA. sweet spot.
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Josek
Feb 24th, 2014
Massive Aggression and Potting
I didn't say that the aggro guy will let you get a cheap showdown. i said that if they start adapt to you only showing up with monsters (hence, not mindlessly barreling at you), you will be able to get to cheap showdowns. as to the hands. 1st one. The range you assigned to the villain is just really really wrong. He shows up with AK there close to 0% of the time, and with AQ probably not much more often. The hands that he is most likely to overcall are probably small-mid pairs, suited connectors and gappers, Ax suited hands. We can't just expect him to start firing 3 barrels with air 3 ...
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Josek
Feb 24th, 2014
Massive Aggression and Potting
Don't get attached to the preflop strenght of the hands. If they are playing this way, you can exploit that pretty easily. It makes little difference what hand did you miss the flop with - on the flop you're weaker than the 3rd pair. I'd keep letting go the hands where i have nothing and only invested 3bbs. If you see that when you hit thay will still pay you, wait for that to happen. You may want to raise the guys that you think are doing this with pairs/draws, and letting some bluff by just calling if you think they are just brainlessly barreling. If you see them adjust by just firing one ...
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Josek
Feb 24th, 2014
The Nittiest Nit that ever Nitted?
Both newly posted ones are fine i think. Both are coolers imo. In the first one, checking the flop is fine although i'd prefer to just cbet it. There are a ton of hands that will pay and a lot of draws he may be calling with. There are also a lot of cards that will be bad for your hand either by decreasing its value or plainly being scare cards for him, although you having Ac helps a lot. If raised, i'd probably 3bet to induce on such a draw heavy board. I don't really expect to be beat here very often. He'd need exactly QJ or 33 and he may go crazy on you with his flush or straight draws, ...
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Josek
Feb 23rd, 2014
Live $1/$2 hand, Flopped set question
You said that the bettor has been playing draws 'so heavy'. As it's more likely than not that he is on some sort of a drawing hand (SD/FD), he would probably 3bet you with his strongest draws given how you described him and there are some made hands he can have very often too. How do you know he is on a draw and not Jx' Knowing that he was playing his draws fast, i'd bet 180-200. I'd also expect him not to have a combo too often but rather a naked FD or a 86, 89 type of hand, or a Jx that has almost no equity.
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Josek
Feb 23rd, 2014
The Nittiest Nit that ever Nitted?
Don't you have a lot of spots where it goes other way round' I mean you fold and it turns out it was a bad laydown' I would've called one in the first hand as this may easily be just a cbet, especially since he seemed to have clicked half pot button. A fold can't be that bad though. In the second hand i would really need some strict conditions to play it this way - guy would have to be passive as hell for me to comfortably bet/fold that turn. I don't see a lot of hands that will pay us 3 times here if a guy is playing normally, so i'd pot control turn. It will probably get you lighter river ...
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Josek
Feb 23rd, 2014
Micro sng coaching?
You can't do much about losing pots once you get it in, but commenting on the first part of the sentence, this may already show a leak (not saying it does, but that it's possible). If you're getting it in good a vast majority of the time, you probably are not getting it in as often as you should be, especially in SnG's. As to your question, I think that of course a coach would be great, but for what you are looking, mainly with your availability, a Skype group could be a great addition (to hiring a coach). You can try to speak to some people from your stakes on here, and i'm sure someone ...
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Josek
Feb 23rd, 2014
Rebuy Strategy. Optimal amount of rebuys?
As to the question in the thread, the optimal number of rebuys is 1BI, 1 rebuy and 1 addon :) Now seriously. If you decide to play a certain rebuy tourney, you should be prepared to take as many rebuys as necessary in my opinion. I myself, when entering rebuy tourney, for BM purposes multiply the BI by 5. That way, even taking 10+ rebuys will not hurt you. When it comes to taking addon, there is a very recent thread about that and the general conclusion is that you should always take it no matter what.
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Josek
Feb 19th, 2014
Bubble Spot for Final Table
I'd fold. I really don't expect 23/13 on the FT bubble to be light in a spot where someone is already all in. You are raising UTG (ok only 5 handed but still) having only 21BBs and being almost certain that you will have to show your hand and win an all in vs a short stack. Your open looks strong and his 3bet looks even stronger. We have no odds to setmine and i don't expect to get a lot of folds to a shove. As to 4betting to induce - that is not even marginal - it would be a huge leak imo. there aren't many hands you will be dominating if any, and even if he is very wide, you will be ...
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Josek
Feb 19th, 2014
AQs or AQo
If you want to become a good player, you really have to fight that attitude. Past results with certain hands should have (must have) exactly zero influence on your decisions. The only right play is the one dictated by logic and $EV calculations and not made because of a bad beat i got a week ago :)
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Josek
Feb 18th, 2014
AQs or AQo
absolutely not. my response to your quote was about you telling it's silly that you don't want to play it. There is no simple response to the question whether to call a shove with AQ or not as it depends on who is shoving, how much, from which position etc. but generally, you want to try to estimate someones range (think of all of the hands someone would shove in a given situation, taking all of the variables into account) and see how your AQ fares against that range (look at pokerstove program if you're not familiar with it already). If you have the odds, just make the call. And way more ...
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Josek
Feb 18th, 2014
AQs or AQo
well 15 hands is really too few to be drawing any conclusions. And you probably should be looking at your BB/100 hands to see how you did and not % of winning/losing. That way you will find out that you are losing with i.e. with 44 probably 70-80% of the time. And it will be true, but if you're doing it right, it will still show a profit :-) You said that yourself :)
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Josek
Feb 18th, 2014
AQs or AQo
So what you are saying is, that you are getting it in with AQ vs Ace rag by overvaluing the hand' the hand is strong, you are just getting unlucky. Do you have a poker database like pokertracker or holdem manager' If so, then go and look how you actually do with the hand from certain positions. It's possible that you are not even losing with it, you just remember the times you do. You can also look at your hand histories, find the troublesome spots with it and try to figure out if you could've done something better. And if you end up all in as a 70% favorite, the result is not all that ...
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Josek
Feb 18th, 2014
Am i Missing Value
You need to bet the river here. Why did you raise the turn but checked the river that was a pretty awesome card for you' Apart from a really rare scenario when someone decided to flat your turn raise with exactly ATs, i can't see a K being a threat to your hand, and it very often improves their hands to 2 pair/top pair. realistically, the only hand that has you beat is T9, and it would probably just 3bet shove the turn. I think we are good here at the very least 90% of the time, and our vbet is very likely to get called. You definitely need to shove it here - i'd go as far as to call it a ...
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Josek
Feb 18th, 2014
AJ short stacked vs two big stack raisers
giving some info on both of the guys would help. If UTG was a fish raise/folding a lot, then UTG+1 would have wider range than normally, and there would be 6.25k dead money in the pot. Knowing something about them definitely can be a huge factor in this hand. In a vacuum, with these stacks and guys fighting UTG and UTG+1 i'd probably let this hand go - mainly because 16k will still have a lot of FE vs pretty much anyone at this table. Calling cannot be bad though, as you only have 7BBs with 1 already invested, and it's not like they are very deep and will have super tight ranges. And if we ...
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Josek
Feb 18th, 2014
Party NJ Deep in 50k, how would you proceed?
I have a slightly different opinion about this hand. Firstly, UTG is the one with fishy stats, CO is just a total donk. Is 3bet/calling going to show a profit' it certainly will, but the spot is not what we would call a dream opportunity - guy opening just 11% is opening UTG, has only 17BBs in total and is doing it on the last 2 tables in a major - he will be as tight as it gets for him. are we really dominating his range' no. And certainly we are not doing well against a 4bet (or when called if we decide to shove fwiw). Most of our equity would come from him folding. I don't like that idea ...
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Josek
Feb 17th, 2014
ROI
It's hard to use ROI in cash games. How would you define it' Monthly 'interest rate' on a bankroll' Usually, when we want to quantify profits from cash games, we would use BB/100 hands - Big bets (2 big blinds per 100 hands). The answer would depend on the stakes you are playing, but generally a positive number is good :)
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Josek
Feb 17th, 2014
Top two facing checkraise on turn vs fishy opponent.
Interesting hand. If i know there's this kind of player in one of the blinds I'd probably pass that spot and wait for something that hits better - he is playing 50% of the hands and doesn't look very passive - 3bet 7, cbet 100, AF 3.7... I like playing a lot vs such guys in position, but Q9o feels meh... It will flop top and second pairs, but fishy aggro guys will put us in tough spots. I think that we can pick better situations. Not saying it's bad, just will not make our lives easy. The flop is as good as it will get obviously. I would bet much more here. Guy has a VPIP of 50% and we have ...
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Josek
Feb 16th, 2014
AKo from BB off 22bbs - Super squeeze & all in on draw facing post flop raise.
Your math is a little off. The way to translate odds into % is not by simply dividing 1:3. The easiest thing to remember would be to think of a 1:1 coinflip. you need to win it 50% of the time and not 100%. If the odds are 1:3, what you need to do is 1:(3+1) = 25%. if the odds are, say 3:5, then you need 3:(3+5) = 37,5% cheers
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Josek
Feb 10th, 2014
What do you look for in a coach
I will add a question of mine to the mix :) How do you select hands to HH reviews' Do you always just ask a student to prepare a HH from a tourney that they went deep in (because of the # of hands to analyze)' That is probably easiest to do, but often looks at someone's A game or at a tourney when troublesome spots did not come, and bigger leaks would not show up until you look at the tourneys he busted from early. How do you feel about selecting hands not from your typical Hand History files, but after analysis of someones PT/HEM data - for instance looking how somone is doing with certain ...
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Josek
Feb 6th, 2014
The Big $5.50, $20K Gtd-100 left - Flatting 3B in pos with KK v Aggro Villain.
If the guy is aggro then i don't like 4bet shoving him off a ton of his PF bluffs. I'd almost certainly just flat in such case. Here however i like flatting and shoving equally. You say he is aggro, but his 3bet was on a bigger side and his 3bet PF is 2.9% according to the stats you provided. On the flop there are merits to both flatting and raising. By flatting you are allowing him to put more money in the pot when he has nothing, and in such case, he will certainly be done with a hand when raised. But then again if he's hit something, then you're extracting value with you underrepped hand. ...
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Josek
Feb 6th, 2014
$22 6-max Turbo FT Decisions
1st You said that these guys were solid and doing nothing uncommon. Where I can see merits to flatting (BB can shove on us if he is aggro), i'm pretty sure that shoving will be best by far. It actually looks the weakest giving you a pretty good Chance of getting called light. And when you flat, there is a good Chance of BB flatting as well and when overs hit it will get difficult to play. and a small 3bet is not an option imo. looks way too strong 2nd interested what someone better than myself has to say about this one 3rd i'd call 77+ AT+
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Josek
Feb 6th, 2014
Is this just unlucky?
how can we answer your question (is this just unlucky), when you got all in with a guy drawing to 3 outs to win (and 8 to split the pot - 2,2,A,A,K,K,K,K) and gets there. Yes it was just unlucky. On the flop you have the nuts 99.9% of the time. If it was me, i'd 3bet to ~2900 Pre, as we are OOP and are likely to get called in 2 spots, and on the turn i would not lead out as it can potentially scare him from bluffing with pure air (but that will not happen very often). The pot is over 16k and you only have 11k left. Let him just ship on you and snap it. But what you did is not bad either.
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Josek
Feb 5th, 2014
New Here and posting some hands, thoughts?
From a couple of spots in these hands it seems like you should not only look at position play, but also pot odds and implied pot odds. If you are familiar with them, then you are not using them correctly. There is a paid training section on this portal, but for what you are looking for you don't really need it. I'm sure if you dig deep enough, you will be able to find lots of stuff on the subjects. Alternatively, to a person beginning his quest to mastering poker, i'd suggest reading Harrington on Hold'em book. It may be a bit dated, and you won't start crushing high stakes after reading it, ...
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Josek
Feb 5th, 2014
AA Best play
My last point and I'm ending this offtopic. The approach you just shown isn't hurting anyone but yourself. If really good players like Apes, Duude and majority of others are telling you something is incorrect, than it's more likely it really is incorrect than that you are the only one right. Therefore, you should do all you can to find a reason and not stand behind your opinion until proven otherwise, because it isn't everyones interest - it is yours. And it will be you who will be making sub-optimal/incorect plays only because others 'did not provide evidence' against.
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Josek
Feb 5th, 2014