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Problems with 15-50 big blind size pots
It's all cash games referred to in my last paragraph. One problem besides the increase in scare cards is that I am hitting the flop less often when I raise preflop with a none PP hand. I keep this stat and it has gone from 26.5% to 24.5%. At least it is better this year then last. The statistics say that you should get one pair on the flop from a non-pair hand 28.5%, but that does not account for some bias because players tend to see flops with similar hands. I have tried more raising CBets, double barreling even naked 3 bets, but they have not really improved anything. I do better when I ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		JPFisher55
Nov 4th, 2010
Problems with 15-50 big blind size pots
I have a question concerning performance in certain size pots. In 2008, when I was a consistent winner, I won about 12bb/100 in pots that were between 15 and 50 big blinds in total size. In 2009, when I was basically even, I lost about 35 big blinds/ 100 hands in pots this size and about the same this year in which I am down for the year. I don't understand why the difference. In fact, I do somewhat more double barreling in 2009 and 2010 than in 2008, but not a lot. It does seem that often when I have a medium strength hand on the flop like TPGK, TPTK or 2 pair, the turn and/or the river are ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		JPFisher55
Nov 4th, 2010
Re:State gambling laws and the Internet
Excellent post Skall, thank you.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jul 17th, 2009
G911 Motion to Unseal DOJ Seizure Court Records
Hey Skall, what do you think of this action by G911'
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jul 2nd, 2009
Re:PPA Announces Change to Board of Directors
TE, I have a question. The PPA now has seven members of its Board of Directors. They seem impressive to me. So why does the PPA need eleven directors' Why not just change its Articles of Incorporation to have seven directors and keep the current seven' You can't do better than yourself, Greg Raymer, Howard Lederer, Chris Fergueson, and Linda Johnson; not to forget a former Senator and the President who has done an excellent job.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jul 2nd, 2009
Re:Judge freezes payments of online poker
G911 has an interesting update on the SDNY DOJ seizure. Of course, anything in the G911 must be taken with a grain of salt. Still, it appears that the DOJ is not backing down since it has not unsealed the court documents behind this seizure. So I have a question for Skall and TE. Has the PPA planned for potential DOJ action (subpoena to testify before a grand jury or, much less likely, filing of criminal information or indictment) against poker pros who represent FTP or PS or against principles of FTP or its software provider'
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jul 1st, 2009
Re:State laws on Poker
Great Post Skall. I look forward to your article about state laws and online poker. They will be very important to the SDNY seizure legal issues.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 30th, 2009
Re:Article: Internet Gaming Law Threatens Horse Racing Industry
Excellent article TE. From now on I will be often visiting this forum and will place most of my posts here instead of you know where.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 29th, 2009
Re:TAKE ACTION: Tell Congress what you think of the Feds' seizure of YOUR money!
Sent second letter.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 22nd, 2009
Re:TAKE ACTION: Tell Congress what you think of the Feds' seizure of YOUR money!
TE, I would like to remove the paragraphs about Rep. Franks' bill and the UIGEA. It is too soon to further push Rep. Franks' bill because it is not finalized and the state opt out provisions are completely unacceptable. In addition, IMO it is not consistent for the PPA to push this bill in Congress and argue in a court of law that it is not necessary because no federal law covers online poker. I think that it is best if the PPA ignores the UIGEA on the grounds that it does not cover online poker for the same reason. I would focus on the overreaching seizure and overzealous nature of ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 21st, 2009
Re:Federal Law and your Poker money
I don't know how accurate it is, but G911 has an article claiming that online poker players are still having trouble actually receiving cash from their accounts at FTP and PS.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 21st, 2009
Re:Federal Law and your Poker money
Excellent article Skall. IMO, if a player receives a check from a payment processor and the check fails to clear, then the maker of the check, not the poker site, is liable to the player. OTOH, if an echeck withdrawal fails to clear, then the player never received payment and the site still owes him the money. Either way, players have clearly suffered harm and costs. Many still do not have cash in hand and a question has been raised about the value of online poker accounts. If the DOJ does not reverse this seizure and its position on the legality of online poker, then IMO it is time to ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 20th, 2009
Re:Judge freezes payments of online poker
I have emailed the letter below to my Congressman and President Obama. "I would like to inform you that the US Attorney for the Southern District of New York has taken an outrageous action this month. This office first requested a few banks to freeze bank accounts held by some payment processors for several online poker sites. These payment processors did not serve sports betting sites; only online poker sites serving US citizens. These bank accounts only held money that was property of US online poker players. Either funds that they intended to deposit to online poker sites or funds ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 9th, 2009
Re:Judge freezes payments of online poker
First, I want to commend the PPA and Skall for their efforts in this matter which has turned into a legal war. I sort of knew something like this was in process from the silence yesterday. I knew that the PPA and Skall were on top of it despite the silly, adverse article in G911. Therefore, I have some comments and call for action to various parties. 1. To the PPA, TE, Mr. Pappas and Skall: I have full confidence in your ability to defend the interests of all online poker players and all the companies involved in the online poker industry. IMO, we cannot have a better attorney or litigator ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 9th, 2009
Re:2012, too soon?
I'm a pessimist. I left the GOP in July 2006. I do not believe that the GOP will come back to its small government, individual freedom and personal responsibility principles. I have two reasons for my beliefs. One, too many Americans no longer believe in these principles. Sen. Thompson said in a Republican 2008 Presidential debate that the entitlement programs must be shrunk and Americans need to take responsibility for their retirement and financial affairs. I was listening on Fox News. One of its pollsters interviewed people who had watched the debate. All of them said that Sen. ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 7th, 2009
Re:Current Cashout Problems/Long Term Effects of UIGEA
It is becoming more likely than not that the DOJ is behind these payment processing issues since another source Pokerati (see 2+2 thread) is confirming this fact. If so, their action is much more likely to be based on their interpretation of the Wire Act that it covers online poker and all online gambling. Not only are the UIGEA regulations not yet binding on banks, but they do not define unlawful Internet gambling. Thus, any action by the DOJ cannot be based solely on the UIGEA. If the DOJ is behind this, then I have some questions. 1. Are leftover Bush administration attorneys in the ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jun 7th, 2009
Re(3): Hypothetical Election
I was a life long Republican until the passage of the UIGEA. Then I decided not to vote in 2006. Unless Gov. Huckabee is the Republican nominee for President, I doubt that I will vote in 2008. However, if Gov. Huckabee is the Republican nominee for President, then, for the first time in my life of almost 53 years, I will vote for the Democrate candidate, even if it is Sen. Clinton. It is not just Gov. Huckabee's stand against online gambling. He stated that he did not believe in Evolution. He might as well have called all scientists heretics. Moreover, he is as much a spender and taxer as any ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Jan 4th, 2008
My take on the present situation after the WTO decision
I have reread the WTO report. What happened is that by a 2-1 decision, the panel ruled that essentially the US could comply with the WTO decision by opening up remote horse racing market to Antiqua without opening up the rest of the remote gambling market. They based this absurd decision on a misreading of the appellate ruling in the case and ignored the ruling of the compliance panel. Essentially, the WTO choose not to strongly enforce its decision in this case. Thus, the WTO wimped out and has rendered itself meaningless like the UN. Why would China, US or any other nation ever obey a WTO ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 21st, 2007
Antiqua effectively loses its case
It appears that the arbitrators failed to include their $104 million estimate of Antiqua's loss for all remote gambling in its award and just included its award of $21 million for lost revenue due to not being able to offer pari-mutual horse racing. But this does not matter because even with the $104 million the award is minimal. Clearly the WTO wimped out but tried to appear to be tough by awarding Antiqua its IP relief. But its compensation award is so small that the whole award is useless to Antiqua. IMO this makes the WTO meaningless to all but the largest members. We now know why the EU ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 21st, 2007
Re(1): Not everyone in the EU is caving in
Since the EU trade reps have already settled with US, then what good will complaining to them do these companies. Maybe they need to consider litigation in US court or International Court' if WTO fails them.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 20th, 2007
Re(2): EU settles with US on WTO gambling withdrawal
France must have done the negotiating for the EU. I hope that this is not a harbinger of the WTO decision on Antiqua's request for compensation and IP sanction.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 17th, 2007
Re(7): WTO decision due Dec 14th
OBG, IMO you are misinterpreting the schedules. Apparently, the USTR did the same. The sporting events schedule is not about gambling, but services etc. related to the actual sporting event. The "other recreational services" includes gambling, which includes sports betting. I guess that the Clinton USTR either made a mistake or, more likely, did not want foreign competition in such matters as ownership of sports teams, access to all the services provided to the sports leagues or even claims that foreign teams must be allowed to compete in US sports leagues, but the Clinton administration ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 14th, 2007
Re(2): For those who maintain a good BB/100 rate...
This year I have averaged a winrate about 5 Big blinds per 100 hands for levels NL50, NL100 and NL200. Suprisingly my winrate is highest at NL200 and lowest at NL100. Frankly, I don't tilt anymore. I had 5 one out losses last year and more 2-4 out losses than I can remember. So bad beats do not bother me. One tactic that I use to combat tilt is that I keep records on every hand that I play in with a pot => than 80 Big blinds in which I reach a showdown. I keep a record of my odds to win after the flop, odds to win after all in for me or my opponent and the result. Thus, I know if I am ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		JPFisher55
Dec 13th, 2007
Re(3): WTO decision due Dec 14th
This decision is more important than a ruling in the iMEGA or BetOnSports/Kaplan cases. If the WTO grants Antiqua substantial damages and its requested IP sanction relief, then the movie and enterntainment industry, big Democrat contributors, will force the Democrats to pass legislation complying with the WTO decision. Most likely this legislation would be attached to a must pass bill like Iraq war funding. Of course, if the WTO does not grant substantial damages or IP sanction, then its decisions will become meaningless and the whole WTO process will be in doubt. In this case, I doubt that ...
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 8th, 2007
Re(2): this is my new home
I'll be stopping by from time to time.
Posted in: Poker Legislation 		JPFisher55
Dec 4th, 2007
Re(6): Mike Martz...
I live in St. Louis and am a Rams fan. Even when the Rams had Marshall Faulk, they did not run the ball enough, especially in the 2002 super bowl loss to New England. In St. Louis, Mike Martz had no discipline, let all the good defense players go and could not adapt to personnel more suited to a power offense. He is a good offensive coordinator under a strong head coach like Dick Vermeil.
Posted in: Off Topic 		JPFisher55
Dec 2nd, 2007
Re(3): So party poker??
Actually this is not true. BetOnSports was publically traded on the LSE, same exchange as PP, for years and violated the US Wire Act for which they got indicted last year. PP left the US market because their owners feared being arrested while traveling in the US.
Posted in: Poker Discussion 		JPFisher55
Dec 2nd, 2007