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Poker players, I have a question. I'm also in the camp that the article is pretty clear cut. But, I think people get too bent out of shape on this because it's poker. Take a game like coin flipping. If someone gave you $1.50 every time heads came up, and you give a dollar every time tails comes up, that is a good bet (this would be analogous to being a good poker player playing against bad ones). Over 10 flips, it's possible for tails to come up 8 times, and you lose $5. However, that won't continuously happen. Make the right percentage plays in poker, and the odds even out. That amount of time for variance to even out, and ... Posted in: Poker Community |
lordxixor101
May 11th, 2013 |
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Live Low Stakes Cash Discussion Skreech, this hand screams fold to me. First off, ranging him is hard preflop since you said he'll limp any 2 (players who limp any two like to call pretty wide too). The fact that he called flop and the turn and lead out the river makes me think that he probably doesn't have only a draw. He could have a draw with a pair or some sort of king. The thing is, his bet isn't big enough to be a bluff for a missed flush, typically, players who bluff that here will put a ton of money in. So, you have 2 situations here. Either he has a monster hand that he played passively (hit a set or 2 pair on ... Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
May 11th, 2013 |
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Live Low Stakes Cash Discussion I like the check back here. His calls on the flop and turn look weak, his check on the river doesn't look like a strong flush. That being said, baby flushes play like this sometimes (not well played, but players do this). Also, flushes scare bad players. Many bad players fear any flush that hit the board (you'll be amazed as you play on how many sets won't bet a river when a runner runner flush hits on the river, scared that it got there). So, odds are, if you bet, he's folding anyway. About all your getting paid here is if he has a weaker Queen or 2 pair and will flat a small bet. Plus, do ... Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
Apr 28th, 2013 |
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Downswing causing confidence problems I'm going to make some assumptions here that may or may not be true. I'm going to assume that you are a lower stakes player and that you aren't a pro. I'm basing this on the spot that your losing your confidence and changing your game. This is something you never want to do, and is horrible for your game. That being said, you have a great leg up on tons of players who are marginal or borderline winners in this game, and that's that you see yourself doing it. Being able to see yourself doing bad plays (so you can correct them) will allow you to get through it. I went through this in many bad ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Apr 21st, 2013 |
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2 Common spots postflop First hand, no reads, I think you typically throw it away in a $3 game. The reason is that, most of the time (and I still see this in $1/$2 cash games that I play now) they have some weak holding here (they just hit their J/7 type hand), and they want to know if they are ahead. Problem is that most of them aren't good enough to fold to a reraise here (which is why if you had QQ/JJ in this spot as opposed to A-10, you would raise it up. The other issue is that bad players love to put original raiser on an AK type hand here, but almost always fear a 1 card hand too. So, if the 9 or the the A ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Apr 21st, 2013 |
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Live Low Stakes Cash Discussion 2nd hand, you can either make life easy and jam, or you can bet something close to 60. The only issue with betting 60 is that your likely getting called, and you are really stuck if an ace hits. With it being a rainbow, you can't be scared if an ace hits. Not saying he can't have one (an AJ/AQ) but you can't assume it. So, if you can handle scary turn cards and to keep putting your money in, then bet 60 with the intent to call a raise. If not, just jam. Any hand beating you, your paying off here in a typical $1/$2 game. The QJ hand I find t be more facinating. I think the easy, profitable ... Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
Apr 21st, 2013 |
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$1/$2 live cash game hand I like the discussion going. One thought, what do you think of the preflop and the flop calls' Are you raising here typically in either one (or just folding the flop). My style of play leads me to hate flatting hands like AK here preflop, and I like to reraise. The times I do call with an AK, I'm almost never flatting the flop, and either folding since I missed, or raising with my 2 overs and a gutshot. Do you like those. I'll give a bit more. Checked on the turn, he bets out $40. Villian shoves. What is your move here' Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Mar 17th, 2013 |
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$1/$2 live cash game hand Here is a hand from my casino session yesterday afternoon. I'm going to post this from the villians perspective (so, the 'hero' in the hand is my opponent, and I am villian 1). I am going to give you reads that he could have picked up from the session, but I don't know for a fact that he has them. I have distinct opinions on how the Hero plays this hand, but don't want to say what they are (to prejidice the hand). I'm willing to speak through my thoughts on Villian 1 perspective after some responses if there is interest. Important information on the hand. Villian 1: $250 stack UTG Villian 2: ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Mar 17th, 2013 |
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hi is there heads up poker tourneys by any chance in michigan? Northville Downs runs then a couple times a year. Other than that, I'm not sure. Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
Mar 11th, 2013 |
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Ugly river spot in live cash game. Is this a fold? If your folding here you really need to play the hand differently. If his range is this strong you have to check the river and call not fold. What hands do you think he has that he's flatting with. It feels like he's often going to raise or fold the river. I don't see a lot of a9 hands showing up and flattering. So by betting the river your committing to the call.I don't love it but you have to do it. If he's any good it's pretty obvious you are t sitting on the nuts. Your range is wide pre and any sets on the flop probably push. Scare card check turn when he checks you can bet most ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Nov 30th, 2012 |
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Thoughts on this Live 1-2 Cash game hand $1-$2 will over value hands occasionally bad reraise trip 5s here, so I hate bet folding without a strong read. I like betting out mainly because top pair type hands check behind but are willing to call. As played I'm calling. Flush missed bigger straight nay have raised the turn. Guy boated up you have to pay it. As played if you think he'll bet a wide range, check calling is best. Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
Nov 13th, 2012 |
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Pre-flop Bet sizing - $1/2 - $1/3 NLHE I think you have the right idea op. I usually raise to come $12-$15. I think you just have to be unconcerned with the percentage of stack if your played back on. If the loss drops you below $200 just buy back. I would rather have this issue than the 5 to a flop anyday, especially since any decent cbet is going to be for half the pot so your risking the same amount of cash. Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
Oct 26th, 2012 |
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$1/$2 Cash hand - advice seeked Unemployable, I don't mind a limp here, but the problem is that it's very hard to range players after a flop, and 2 pair, a weak ace, even mid pairs seem to bet out and call. I always feel rather stupid sticking $20-$40 after the flop when I've been behind the whole time. That's why I raised here, I figured it would at least help range, and give me the aggression in the pot. gj, I always dislike talking at the table. I don't think it leads me to the right answer very often. I've done it very rarely if I'm very strong and I think the opponent is rather weak, trying to look like I'm bluffing, ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Oct 21st, 2012 |
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$1/$2 Cash hand - advice seeked Hi, Let me start by saying, effective stacks for this hand are about $250 to start with (I have about $530 if this matters, no one else at the table has more than $250 or so). I've built this over 2 hours (have been there since the table opened). I'm on the button, villian 1 (utg) limps, villian 2, 3, and 4 limp. I look down at A10dd. I never like limping these hands because I have a hard time folding if I hit top pair, and it's been a passive table. 3 other times I've been in this sort of a spot, I took 2 down preflop, doubled up on 1 stealing with A7 in with 2 limpers, getting a call, ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Oct 20th, 2012 |
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1/2 NL live cash hand analysis I think both KK and AA played alright. You didn't mention if reraises were common. The fact that someone says here we go again when he has AA markes that fine. KK to 25 is fine. Can argue it can be higher but still good enough. The raise to 225 is interesting. We can say it's too high but J10cc hung around. KK going no where but if your getting other callers, good bet. KK calling 200 more, you may feel beat, but I'm never folding in that spot. If you have AA to my KK I pay you off. After the flop AA feels beat but it's a drawy board and the 225 pre was effectively a push. I ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Oct 15th, 2012 |
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Live 1/2 Not a math wiz, but I'm pretty sure if your risking $38 and your odds are 38%, you need to win $100 to break even. So, $95 is a losing play Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Oct 4th, 2012 |
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@ michigan players, where do you make your poker money from? any1 else answer pls Yeah, Snookers is a bar, I've never played there, but they advertise often. If I was closer to Utica, I would probably play. Honestly, most of my time is at the Motor City Casino, and I dabble some at Northville Downs, mainly playing $1/$2. Northville allows people to button straddle for any dollar amount, which leads to some massive preflop pots (and a higher variance game). Motor City, play is tigher, but still bad. Funny part there is that the better players still don't seem to understand about odds. They are convinced that anyone chasing a straight or a flush is horrible. Leads to them ... Posted in: Poker Community |
lordxixor101
Sep 16th, 2012 |
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Is this play unoptimal? Well, it's not quite $130, about $100 in the pot or so with my 30 and the two callers, and then some limpers. Mybluedog, there is no way I'm not betting here. I suppose there are 3 options 1) Bet something in the range of $50-$100 - with the intention to call off any raise or push any turn 2) Same bet, but fold to anything 3) Push My lean toward a push is that it takes some of the thinking out of the hand. Might be bad logic, but as I tried to point out, it just seems like an ugly spot. I really don't have a clue between 1 or 2 of the big stack pushes here. I hate throwing money in with ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Aug 19th, 2012 |
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Is this play unoptimal? I was at this $1/$2 live game for a half hour, but it's at a charity room where the game gets very aggressive, with some unusual bluffs. In my 30 min here, the game wasn't playing much different. I'm in the bb, and pick up KKh, 4 limpers, and the button raised to $7. The button has about $80 behind, i'm sitting with about $190, everyone else in the hand is in my range of stacks. My thought is to try and isolate. If I raise to $15-$20, I'm likely dragging the entire group. The first guy to limp is the table chip leader, he will call wide, and likes to bluff strong on scary boards. So, I raise ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Aug 19th, 2012 |
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Stars completes FTP takeover, working on public announcement!? This would be an amazing story IF it came through. The government (like the SEC) will work with large companies to buy others that are struggling to help the economy. Usually, those companies get some sort of break in the deal (I'm pretty sure Chase bought Countrywide in this sort of deal, at a time when nobody in their right mind would buy them...I didn't look this up, so it probably isn't the best example). To me, there is only 2 logical reasons that PS would buy FTP 1) They are really concerned about their version of Rush poker. Though, I have to think some smart people would be looking ... Posted in: Poker Sites |
lordxixor101
Jul 27th, 2012 |
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Article: Senate Indian Affairs Committee Chair Drafts Online Gaming Bill Assuming that all (or most) states allow people to access the same sites, this might be an issue for a little while (a year or two) but the cream will rise to the top. Anyone can open a retail store, yet most of us have a Walmart and a Target close by. Back in the pre black Friday days, a lot of sites had the opportunity, Tilt and Stars rode to the top. If we get the legislation correct, I don't care how many sites there are starting. Let there be 200 of them if that's what this takes. The right number will shake out eventually. Posted in: vBCms Comments |
lordxixor101
Jul 27th, 2012 |
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Online Poker for US You are definitely in a 'buyer's beware' situation in the US for online. If you have other options for playing, most would suggest going that route. If you don't, then you can take your chances, but I don't think there would be any shock value if these sites went the way of FTP/PS at some point (and money not coming back). I think the fact that P5's won't run promotions on these sites should say volumes about the situation. My personal unfounded hope is that either we get something attached to a bill after the elections in November, or the FTP trial happens, and something out of that ... Posted in: Poker Sites |
lordxixor101
Jul 21st, 2012 |
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Ethical/Moral Dilemma Well, I'm not sure what you want to do here. In most card rooms, it is posted that you should try to avoid seeing someone's cards, but if you happen to see them, you are allowed to use the information. You also warned the guy before the hand, so I don't see an issue. Even if you say something, what do you think happens' What I'm sort of surprised about here is, if the guy had more money, why not raise with 3rd pair there all-in' You know the guy will fold, and probably think he had bad luck, so he could be abused again. Flatting 3rd pair makes it rather obvious that he saw the hand. Posted in: Live Poker |
lordxixor101
Jul 21st, 2012 |
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Article: South Point Real Money Online Poker Site Could Launch in September Definitely step in the right direction, though I think 90% of your customers are going to be Nevada residents. I think what you forget is that Nevada has a lot of people who aren't in Vegas. Take Mesquite, NV, it's closer to Utah than Vegas, and is a golfing community. There are 3 decent size casinos there, but the live poker has been relegated to one and is horrible. I think your poker playing people around there would rather play online than have your one table...when there is enough for a game. Posted in: vBCms Comments |
lordxixor101
Jul 21st, 2012 |
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I folded...but what does he have? I don't know what he has, but I think it could be incredibly wide. If he's any good here, your raise wasn't that much pre-flop so that he could call. Also, I don't see would have to reraise preflop. So, anything he raised with preflop he could probably call with (even complete air). Once the flop comes out all diamonds, you bet exactly the same amount as your preflop raise. Now, when I played online, that bet on very connected boards usually (90% of the time by my recollection) was a scared bet. So, I loved pushing with nothing in those spots. If he has a diamond or a decent pair, he can ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Jul 20th, 2012 |
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Family Oriented Groups Mobilize Against Internet Gaming This shouldn't be a shock. These groups believe all gambling is wrong. Everyone is entitled to their opinions, but I find it funny that gambling hurts families, but other activities dont' Isn't the point of The Avengers to separate families from $50+' Everything in the economy is meant to separate people from money' Why not take on pro sports andth the playoffs' Those tickets cost a fortune, and cost families. Posted in: Poker Legislation |
lordxixor101
Jun 8th, 2012 |
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Calling when the board hasn't changed in a pulverising situation You probably need to avoid these situations vs a random. This would be a horrible way to play against a random in this sort of spot, and for the exact reason that you discribe. Obviously stack sizes, blinds, cash vs tournaments, etc all play rolls, but at some point, you need to bet out or raise. The easy thing to do is raise preflop. Button raises look weak, so pop it up another 3x and see if he call (blinds 50/100, he raises to 300, pop it up to 850-900). Then see what happens' Depending on stacks, you could just push right there. If you aren't doing that, you have 2 options. You could ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
May 19th, 2012 |
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JJ on button, facing a raise then an all in This is a really ugly spot here, what is the buy in' I'm asking because, without stats, I will use the buy in and assume that Chomp is a random player. I know that most of the really good players today use small raises to play small pots in these, but I think against random bad players, it makes a lot of awkward spots, and you have to be really good. The problem here is, with you flatting, you make an absolutely great spot for chomp to steal, and it makes it reasonable for him to out and out push a good hand. You have about a $4k pot here, so in theory, the original raiser should call any ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
May 19th, 2012 |
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Article: Introducing the U.S.-Facing FaceUp Gaming Not sure I would be interested in this site anyway (I never did sign up for ), however, why are they not taking players from Michigan' Michigan has poker everywhere (unless, that's the reason). I would love to get one decent option online that I trusted (I have a bad feeling about Merge, possibly unfounded), but with one good online option, I would play a lot less live. Posted in: vBCms Comments |
lordxixor101
May 19th, 2012 |
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Player specific moves with others to act Playing in the local $1/$2 games, I have run into several situations where you have a 'gambler' at the table who is making many big bets, getting lucky in some spots, and really looks like they are trying to give money away. Often times, the table begins to shy away from the person, waiting for a massive hand. I'll post my one from yesterday with all the background, but really looking to drive discussion on how to handle these spots. Someone is going to get this guys money, do you wait only for a monster or do you take a shot on a hand that should beat him, and hope to get past the rest of ... Posted in: Poker Discussion |
lordxixor101
Apr 8th, 2012 |
