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Have the variance levelled out?
I’ve been playing online for 2 years now and i am very interested to see (through my hand history) if the confrontation variance I:E: AK vs AQ, vis versa have levelled out as thy should. The standard confrontations we get into in mtt`s all the time. Does anybody know of the software that can do this for me ''''''' I know the likelihood is that the variance has levelled out to the laws of probability but I just want to see it for myself! So that I know if im losing its from bad play and not bad luck Thank you for your help!
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jan 24th, 2008
BOOM... God damm computer !
So I was at 2 final tables the other day after a very dry run and came a very frustrating 6th and 5th (bad beats of course). Then today I reach a final table of a $5 rebuy and I’m playing great, I was just 2nd in chips but the chip leader and me had a big gap from the field. We get down to the final 4 and me and the chip leader, (who I’m only just behind) have an even bigger gap between the other 2. I’m determined to take this tourney down, as I haven’t won an MTT for months, then boom my fucking god damm computer conks out and shuts down. OMFG I have to sit there for 10 minutes waiting for ...
Posted in: Bad Beats
salted
Aug 13th, 2007
did i reraise too much?
ok i found it!............... i have no idea why id be childish enough to say i folded Queens when i didnt, but i do know it wont be the last time! i dont think ur reraise is to big nh elementaa....... Full Tilt Poker Game #4621170508: $10,000 Guarantee (34447683), Table 30 - 120/240 Ante 25 - No Limit Hold'em - 14:37:19 ET - 2007/12/25 Seat 1: murdoc354 (4,824) Seat 2: salted 19 (11,354) Seat 4: DOCTOR_PANDA (32,804) Seat 5: need2deposit (12,458) Seat 6: ElementAA (7,814) murdoc354 antes 25 salted 19 antes 25 DOCTOR_PANDA antes 25 need2deposit antes 25 ElementAA antes 25 DOCTOR_PANDA posts ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Dec 29th, 2007
did i reraise too much?
haha....... i can slightly remember this hand, ive looked at my hand history but i cant find the tourny. i probably did have QQ but i am capable of repopping with nothing and just saying i had queens.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Dec 29th, 2007
RIDICULOUSLY LONG HAND ANALYSIS, PLEASE READDDDDDDDDD
i check here also, i dont mind seeing a free flop with A10 suited. if you put in a standard raise you will very likely have 1 or 2 callers then youre creating a big pot out of position with a weak ace, then if the flop comes 3 rags you feel as though you have to continuation bet to take down the pot, (and this can get nasty, lol), i also limp with the A10 if im in the small blind for the same reasons. if you raise and get called and you flop the ace or the 10 its unlikely your going to win a big pot as your hand just isnt strong enough to take a lot action and still be ahead! (but then in a ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 18th, 2007
WCOOP Qualifier Bubble, Should I have gone all in here?
i have to agree, sometimes you have to gamble, theres just no point in folding and looking for a better spot because you just dont have the stack. Q9 not a bad hand to do it with either , just hope for live cards or a race.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 19th, 2007
final table of a rebuy, cooler or bad play????
Hello, first time posting. I was on the final table of a re-buy tournament yesterday, and I came on as the short stack and I took advantage of the tight preflop play and built my stack from 80k to 170k and became chip leader just through stealing blinds. I’ve got a question about the pot that I got involved in and ended up crippling my stack. The blinds were 5k 10k (no antes) with not much play for any one at the table as it was a 10 minute clock, I was on the big blind and its folded around to the button who raises it the minimum to 20k (tight player like every one else and I have no ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 17th, 2007
What's your most hated "good" hand?
i really hate AK, always miss the flop and have my CB check raised, plus i never win races and AK is the race capital of the world.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 30th, 2007
I tossed KK in this situation pre...
INSTA CALL- (and ive mucked kings pre-flop a few times)
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Aug 1st, 2007
Such a sick spot late in the Daily Fifty Grand...
mgerman23 I don’t think you fully appreciate how good you have run to reach 2 final tables in one day (both were big fields I’m assuming) I realize its very frustrating to reach Final tables and go out on a bad beat but you have to run very very good (no matter how skilful you are) to reach final tables, just count yourself lucky you didn’t pick these bad beats up on the bubble. It’s a real slap in the face to me for you to complain about running bad at FINAL TABLES when I haven’t been near one for god knows how long and Whenever I’m all-in, 95% of the time I have by far the best of it.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Aug 1st, 2007
Railbirds Wanted
well that was very stupid, dont try and bluff bad players who dont fold! my god man how can you blow 13k with blinds of 150-300 with ace high, with supporters on the rail watching you 2. nah just jokin bud, good game, better luck next time........maybe you should stick to freerolls in the near future tho huh!!!!!
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 30th, 2007
Railbirds Wanted
its says you must have a buy-in for this tournyey in your account, and i dont.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Jul 30th, 2007
KK fold early in 500k on tilt, thoughts? No read on the other guy
nice fold dude, got a nice structure for the 500k so plenty of time to get over it and move on, well played
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Jul 29th, 2007
Stars Down?
it won't let me update for some reason, just says error. any1 else have this problem'
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 8th, 2007
Reynolds XO deep in the mil
gl reynolds!
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 5th, 2007
Allinstevie.
congrats stevie
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 30th, 2007
Why are the FT MTT payouts so shitty?
i would prefer an 8% payout structure myself, i played in the stars millions about 2 mounth back and with 10894 people in and over 2000 people cashing, to me thats a silly amount of people cashing. and i just crept in the money but still think less should cash.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 1st, 2007
to flip or not 2 flip???????
yer i deleted the antes when posted the HH, as it takes up a lot of space
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Dec 4th, 2007
Matusow: 'Online Poker Are For Idiots'
yes, very true
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 3rd, 2007
Lifetilt
just take a few days off and cool down, or play freerolls and micro limits. thats what works for me. good luck
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Jul 30th, 2007
Fossilman Raymer on a heater in the mill
hmmm ill go railbird him now, go greg
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Jul 29th, 2007
A 'Smart Blind' Structured Tournament -- Hypothetical
Yeah this is a very good idea, I’ve thought for a long time that mtt’s should have a slower structure (from 15 min blinds to 25min) for the last 15% of the field, so that there is more play and more skill whilst playing for the bigger money but I think your idea is much better. I think keeping the average stack at about 35 bb is good.
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 3rd, 2007
Probably one of the worst moves I've ever seen in a 200R tourney..
rigged !
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Aug 12th, 2007
Railbirds Wanted
ok im watching you, theres no observer chat allowed on that tourney. dont do anything stupid now! i cant believe i have nothing better to do then some stranger in a $10 rebuy
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 30th, 2007
Such a sick spot late in the Daily Fifty Grand...
i would most likely reraise pre-flop but i dont mind the flat call. he only comes out with a very small bet after the flop so i would probebly raise there because it looks like a very weak continuation bet with a very wide range of hands, problem is you will be commiting your stack. (as some one has already said this would be my main reason for the pre flop rereaise) the flat call on the flop was a big mistake as it really doesnt get you anywhere but more commited and next to no information on what you opponent has. so i would lean towards pushing on the flop(if hes got the ace, HES GOT THE ...
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Aug 1st, 2007
laid down kk in micro limits- some body shoot me!
Think you all took this thread a little to serious! But thanks for keeping me entertained all night………… lol
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 3rd, 2007
Free online poker videos
run some good free videos, cash as well. if your looking for some random guy making a video theres loads on
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Jul 29th, 2007
LOL Lee Watkinson in 30K Guaranteed
I gave a slight chuckle….
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 2nd, 2007
just when i thought i couldnt run any worse
hehe, very nice. The poker Gods them selves are Jealous of how you run!!!
Posted in: Poker Discussion
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Aug 1st, 2007
Cooler? Or easy laydown?
i told you just yesterday New Shawboy to play freerolls in the near future, now look what youve gone and done. silly rabbit tricks are for kids!
Posted in: Poker Discussion
salted
Jul 31st, 2007