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The Big $8.80 - 53 left....
A few things to start: A) Run this through something like ICMizer to understand how profitable reshoving each hand is based on villains opening and calling ranges. B) Quotes below are the wrong way to think. Taking a % hit to your stack isn't the way to think (or to assume others think) -- it's about cEV. In addition, having at least X% equity is also wrong. It's about how much equity you actually have vs calling ranges, no a "worst case I have 30%" approach. C) As an aggro villain, you have to understand how your aggression manipulates opponents reshoving range. When there's too ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 21st, 2015
This result belongs to a section you don't have read access to.
Questions to Those Who Play MTT For a Living
1. There's a trade off between volume and quality of play. I play best with 6, but I think I maximize my hourly rate at 10-12. There are some regs out there that play every site and every tournament and are 40-50 tabling. 2. I usually figure out which tournaments I want to start the day with and will reg for 2-6 hours, depending on how I'm feeling 3. True, but you can also win a tournament and make 10k in one day. There's a short-term vs long-term perspective. All that matters in MTTs is the long-term, because any short-term period is going to be very swingy. 4. Probably are. I don't know ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
Push Fold Charts Questions
0. Write more succinct questions. These are impossible to read. 1. Push/fold charts are unexploitable. Unexploitable is not optimal. That means you can shove the range shown in the charts and will never be making a "bad" play. BUT, it does mean other options could be better. For example, you can shove AA with 20bbs from utg, but raising and allowing people to 3b you with worse hands is almost always going to be better. Similarly, you can shove 15bbs with a hand from the button, but against certain people, a r/f or a r/c is going to be better. The optimal decision is situation dependent. 2. ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
Gaping Hole
If you want to get better, you have to actually provide enough info to allow people to give you feedback. The info you posted about those 4 hands is insufficient to tell you anything. In each of them, the answer can range from don't cbet/give up on the flop to barrel away on 3 streets as a bluff. You've been told before in other posts what type of info is needed if you want helpful feedback, so unless you can post the detailed needed in HHs, you're not going to get feedback that will allow you to get better. Also, 1-3 callers is a massive difference. You can't group postflop strategy for ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
To bet or check this turn
I wouldn't bet river as played. It looks like you're bluffing. Also, 8x improves villains range more than yours. Bet turn after villain checks. The donk flop, check turn play is a classic fish play. The best way to play back is to flat flop and bet turn. If villain decides to c/r turn, you can easily fold. If you get called, you can make your decision on the river. There are still a lot of good cards that can improve your hand or that can rep with a bluff. Overall, bet turn. If called, shove any spade, Jx, Qx, Kx, Ax river and give up on the rest of the deck.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
(5nl ZOOM)Flopped 2nd NF vs 3 barrel donk and river overjam!
I don't play Zoom, so not sure of the general read on the population. That said, I'd be surprised to see a Jd or Td high flush draw here. With the Kd out and Qd in your hand, there's not many combos of worse flush draws in villains range. It's also hard to imagine villain playing those hands the way he did. I would think his range is polarized between Ad flush draws and Ad bluffs, but I think he can make a reasonable sized river bet with his bluffs and still achieve folds most of the time. So I'd guess he's pretty much all value here with a rare bluff, and I'd fold.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
Button top pair facing tricky donk lead
Villain sounds like the type of player that could do this with flush/straight draws, some Ax hands, and two pair. I occasionally see people shove 86 here for some stupid reason, but when that happens it's just a cooler. Anyway, against that entire range, you're crushing him and I'd snap call here. If he has you beat, it's simply unlucky. If he has a draw and gets there, it's even more unlucky.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
1/2 Variance
With respect to the variance question, a suggested bankroll level is only good if you're a winning player. If you were playing sub optimal for an extended period of time and were actually a losing/breakeven player, your downswing isn't surprising at all. Based on your follow-up post, I'd say you tend to play poorly when running cold and/or losing. When that happens, your long run EV (per hour, per hand, whatever) decreases and you can easily move from a profitable player to a losing player. I'd focus on ensuring your mental game is where it needs to be going forward before and during each ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
Making it through later stages with large stack
When you have a big stack and are approaching the bubble, you should expand the range of hands that you're playing. AK and QQ are no brainers -- you should be raising and reraising with those hands. If you go all in with them and lose, that's a super standard play in SNGs/MTTs and not something you try to avoid. In addition, you should be opening from late position with a wide range to steal the blinds and also looking for people who are opening too wide and either reshoving strong hands against them or making light 3b steals. Your questions are a little too broad to provide too much more ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
Advice
I agree with the above re: books. I haven't read Moorman's book, but I'm sure there's some good content in it. I think the best video content is at Run it once -- but only in the elite package, which is more pricey than other sites.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 20th, 2015
34
Well, I would fold 34 in a vacuum. But, given how you played the hand, if I had played with you enough, I'd call there with 34. So, I'd say you played the hand poorly and 34 should fold pre...but since it didn't, it's probably not a bad call
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 18th, 2015
34
So you jammed $200+ into ~$40' As mentioned above, that's really bad. Making over pot bets with vulnerable hands is going to be very -$EV in the long run. I'd just bet 50-70% of pot on the turn and then value bet river. Having a nemesis is -$EV. You end up trying too hard to win pots and it's never going to make you more profitable. Put emotion aside and play well.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 18th, 2015
Casinos for under 21 year olds
I wish someone would invent a tool that allowed you to search the internet for things like this.
Posted in: Live Poker
tyson219
May 17th, 2015
34
You left out all the important info. Such as the stakes, preflop action, stack sizes, reads, etc. Not that any of it matters, 43o is a fold preflop.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 17th, 2015
Too Tight?
You have two options in this hand: fold to the 3b or shove. It's 22bbs effective. No other options can be considered
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 14th, 2015
who takes this spot who doesnt
What spot' Care to explain'
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 14th, 2015
Too Tight?
It's a terrible fold. 1) Get rid of "ability" from your HUD, it's useless 2) review basic poker math, because you could 4b 72o there and then profitably call. 3) Bottom 1/3, top half, etc, etc means nothing. it's all about playing well and make the best decisions possible that allow you to accumulate chips. 4) IDK...just snap call I guess. unless villain literally rolls over AA before you decide, there's no way you can fold here
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 14th, 2015
Two hands in the Big 27.50 just now
I prefer a flat because (1) you have aggro big blind who's likely to squeeze over a couple flats; (2) even if table is passive, there's still a few reshove stacks behind -- even bad players know that it's a shove or fold spot and won't overcall, (3) UTG opening range probably folds to a 3b a very high % of the time, and we don't maximize the value of our hand
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 12th, 2015
1-2 Cash game live...Should I Fold.
Never folding. If villains range includes even AA, it's easy to get it in. Especially since there are 6 combos of AA vs. 3 combos of KK (since there's 1 K on the board already), making AA 2x as likely as a starting hand as KK. Pretty sure that's correct...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 12th, 2015
Ante only tournament strategy
+1. With respect to preflop sizing, pay attention to when people start folding (i.e., 5x blind raise' half pot' pot'). A lot of the field is going to be playing this incorrectly, so figure out how to exploit them.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 12th, 2015
What would you do to exploit this stat line 9/6
LOL. Agreed. You usually don't worry about exploiting the guys who are playing 1 of every 15-20 hands. And he's obviously aggressive on the flop -- he's only playing premium hands and can cbet pretty much any board.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 12th, 2015
So, is Bovada currently the only U.S.-facing site with fast/reliable cashouts?
tldr Also, why do cashouts matter' Won't you lose anyway'
Posted in: Poker Sites
tyson219
May 11th, 2015
Two hands in the Big 27.50 just now
Hand 1: bad beat. You played it well. Flatting pre is optimal. I'd just call the flop bet rather than raise to make sure villain doesn't fold draws/bluffs that would bet turn. Hand 2: you should fold pre. Flatting an UTG raise with J9s is generally bad and especially bad given how short stacked you are. As played, it's fine. But the best move is to fold pre in spots like these since it avoids difficult postflop situations
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 9th, 2015
Short Stacked on the bubble
Yes, this.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 9th, 2015
Getting in a pickle with AK
20bbs effective, I'd just shove pre. If you do 3b, the plan needs to be to get the money in--especially on good boards like the one you got. I'd cbet/call flop as played. c/c down is also fine. As is c/r flop if villain is the type to stab in position on most boards.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 8th, 2015
Short Stacked on the bubble
1) You should be using a push/fold chart for short stacked situations. Here is Jennifear's: #gid=3 2) You should never be folding 20-30 hands in a row. There are always opportunities for a late position steal, light positional 3b, etc. If you're folding that many hands in a row, there are leaks in your game.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 8th, 2015
Frowned Upon? Is it affective?
I wholeheartedly disagree. If you're going to use a stalling strategy, it doesn't make sense to stop it once blinds get to push the blinds up and effective stacks down would still be advantageous. I don't know if this is a good strategy or not -- but if it is, it wouldn't make sense to stop doing it until you've cashed. edit: also, there's an ROI factor as well. If can only play 4 tables and you make the games take 2x as long, you have to decide whether or not the increased ITM % is enough to offset the lower hourly $$
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 8th, 2015
Is this too ambitious?
Need buyin level, stacks and pot sizes on each street to provide a good answer on that.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 8th, 2015
Does Anyone Get Away From 2 Pair Here?
Yeah...your stack is large enough that you should be stealing/restealing as much as possible and avoiding big pots post-flop. Satellites are unlike traditional MTTs and your goal should be survival--not chip accumulation.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
May 8th, 2015