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TT vs tight and amateur players facing 3-bet
I'd click it back and fold if Button comes over the top and obviously call off the small blind. Flatting is bad because it gives the button the right price to see a flop and he can play pretty close to perfect against you in that situation. Definitely don't shove since stacks are way too deep to get it in vs button. Also, fwiw this could be a very close fold against a very passive fish. I've seen players like him flat hands like AK and AQ in that spot...which would make his 3b range 88+ or tighter (maybe JJ+). I've also seen bad players 3b/f with those stacks. It all depends on how he had ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 27th, 2014
This result belongs to a section you don't have read access to.
Stack management?
Also some good advice here from the past few days: /
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
Stack management?
This is kind of a question like "how do i play tournaments'". I think you need to be more detailed for any advice to be helpful and relevant. In general, there's really no need to be thinking about stack management. You need to look for spots to accumulate chips and build your stack. That involves: --Smart opening ranges from EP+MP --Stealing blinds in smart spots in late position post-ante --Adjusting to table dynamics and game flow --Finding good light 3b spots to build your stack --Looking for spots to exploit weaknesses from your opponents --Utilizing your stack size and playing it ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
A4s BVB is this a fold?
Preflop: I like the flat given stack sizes. The issue with a 3b (without more reads) is that our stack is great for a 3b/5b. But...this allows villain to have a light 4b range, and without more reads I'd hate to 3b/f a strong BVB hand when we can easily flat and usually be able to outplay the villain even if we miss the flop. I'd be more inclined to 3b under two conditions: (1) villain doesn't have a light 4b range and (2) villain tends to flat 3bs OOP, allowing us to play for a bigger pot with control of the hand in position. Flop: I'd flat a normal sized bet. Given that villain minbets, ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
A4s BVB is this a fold?
Preflop: I like the flat given stack sizes. The issue with a 3b (without more reads) is that our stack is great for a 3b/5b. But...this allows villain to have a light 4b range, and without more reads I'd hate to 3b/f a strong BVB hand when we can easily flat and usually be able to outplay the villain even if we miss the flop. I'd be more inclined to 3b under two conditions: (1) villain doesn't have a light 4b range and (2) villain tends to flat 3bs OOP, allowing us to play for a bigger pot with control of the hand in position. Flop: I'd flat a normal sized bet. Given that villain minbets, I ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
I am clueless nowadays...Cash game weird spot.
Posting this before reading results... I'm never folding the flop here. I'd definitely shove and actually be fairly happy about it. 1) The button can easily limp behind here with some strong Ax hands (e.g., A7, K7s), 4x and some midpairs -- 77-99, maybe even TT. I can see him limping the midpairs because attempting to iso the crazy player won't work and he'd end up playing a bloated pot with a guy that makes absurd bets. So going for pot control with midpairs makes some sense. 2) Given the how crazy guy is playing, the button can raise here with a very wide value range and expect to ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
I am clueless nowadays...Cash game weird spot.
Posting this before reading results... I'm never folding the flop here. I'd definitely shove and actually be fairly happy about it. 1) The button can easily limp behind here with some strong Ax hands (e.g., A7, K7s), 4x and some midpairs -- 77-99, maybe even TT. I can see him limping the midpairs because attempting to iso the crazy player won't work and he'd end up playing a bloated pot with a guy that makes absurd bets. So going for pot control with midpairs makes some sense. 2) Given the how crazy guy is playing, the button can raise here with a very wide value range and expect to get ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
Extracting Value
Exactly. There's a small % chance he original raiser spazzes and calls/shoves something he'd fold when you reraise, so might as well give him the opportunity to make a mistake.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
Poker tracker/ Holdem Manager
In terms of which one to use, best advice is to download both HEM and PT4 and see which one you like more. It's pretty easy to install the trial versions and using both for a little bit, while annoying, may help you choose the one that you're most comfortable with.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 23rd, 2014
Early stage 45 man SnG: Bad call?
The villain seems fairly tight and I really don't see someone like that bluffing here very often. In terms of a value range, the only hands he's betting here are AK, KQ, AA, and maybe KJ/KT. A lot of people will check back Qx hands for pot control and aren't likely to bet that big with them. There's a missed flush draw out there, but his turn sizing looks more like he's trying to protect against a draw than bet a draw. There's definitely missed flush draws in his range, but because of the sizing I'd discount them somewhat. Overall, I'd probably fold this spot because I don't think you'll ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 20th, 2014
Do you think my play was sensible? Unfortunately I ran in to a donk.
Only person that's donking around in this hand is you. The flat is questionable by the villain, but not at all surprising given the stakes. Your flop bet is terrible but you don't allow yourself to get value from worse hands and will only get called by hands that beat you and occasionally 1-2 Ax hands you're ahead of.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 20th, 2014
Early stage SnG: Two pair vs large turn and river bets
It's close. I haven't played these stakes in a while, so with no reads on the individual player, you need to make a population based read and figure out the typical $3 SNG player would do this with. I wouldn't be surprised to see someone limp hands like KJ, Q9, 55, K5, K6, etc. and then bet them this way. I'd probably fold here since I'm guessing there's more hands that beat you than not, but you only need to be right 1 of 3 times for this call to be breakeven, so it is very close.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 20th, 2014
Official Bankroll Management Thread
Yeah, agreed with above. I think $250-300 is enough, but since long downswings are common, be prepared to step down at a certain point and rebuild. Otherwise, I'd go with closer to 500
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 20th, 2014
Optimal multi-entry strategy?
There's been a number of posts on this. I'd search for it and see what you find. Here's the most recent thread that might address some of your questions.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 20th, 2014
WSOP ME Hand
I didn't watch closely, but I'd probably r/f there instead of shoving. The table didn't seem very aggressive and nobody is going to 3b light given that they're committed to calling off. That said, I wasn't paying close attention and have no sense of gameflow. I just feel that 15bbs is still workable with the ME structure and would prefer not to get it in pre.
Posted in: Live Poker
tyson219
Jul 15th, 2014
MTT Day 1a--1b Question
Both Day 1s will play a certain amount of levels or until a certain % of field remains. In either case, average stacks from each day will be roughly the same. There's no advantage to playing one or the other based on field size. I'd play the day that you expect to be the weakest and also consider whether the day of rest in between 1a and 2 is better/worse for you than playing them back to back. As TVG said above, I'd suspect Saturday is weaker, but you probably have a better feel for that.
Posted in: Live Poker
tyson219
Jul 15th, 2014
Did I donk this AK shove
Yeah, there's no ICM consideration here. You're not even ITM, it's purely chip chop counts and this is +cEV, so go with it since you're ahead of the ranges of both players.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 15th, 2014
Unlimited Re-Entry MTT Strategy.
What's your point' Bonomo at the Seminole Hard Rock compared to a small field online MTT isn't comparable. I really don't think there's any reg who's EV in a merge MTT is equivalent to Bonomo's EV playing that live event (due both to field size and skill vs average player). It's also an entirely different structure which makes comparing it to an online MTT impossible.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 15th, 2014
Unlimited Re-Entry MTT Strategy.
I don't quite follow... 1) ROI = EV. ROI is a %; EV is a dollar amt. In a $10 MTT (no rake to make this simple), expected profit of $3 is the same as 30% ROI. It's simply expressed in different units. 2) Expected value is the amount you expect to win. Expected ROI is the % amount you expect to return. I should have used expected ROI in all posts above, but that's such a nitpicky detail...everyone knows what was meant. Anyway...you can estimate your ROI and come up with an expected ROI pretty easily and that's what's used in most variance simulators. If you play around with something like ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 14th, 2014
Unlimited Re-Entry MTT Strategy.
One issue is that ICM inherently assumes equal skill, which is an issue since you would never enter if it was equal skill (otherwise just regs trading money while paying rake). Also, I don't know of way to calculate ICM with over 20 people, making it difficult to do that calculation. I think as the field size increases it approaches chip chop, but using chip chop it's always even money, which makes it entirely dependent on ROI.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 14th, 2014
Unlimited Re-Entry MTT Strategy.
Let's change the tone guys. No need to get rude or argumentative. My thoughts: ROI definitely decreases. There are, at least, a few primary reasons: 1) A player usually chooses to register at the time that is most profitable (i.e., they take account of not wanting to play early levels, table space, and all those other factors). Any subsequent re-entries will occur later than the first entry and based on that alone, should have at least a slightly lower expected return 2) A re-entry changes the proportion of regs:fish. The recreational players might fire 1-2 bullets, but as we've seen on ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 14th, 2014
Opinions Please
I'd probably 3b small pre given reads allowing villain to blast away with his better hands and still might flat pre given a good price. Obviously the goal is to get HU, but if you get 2 calls of the smallish 3b, you'll have a PSB left for the flop. I get the point of flatting and don't hate it, but with 2 people in the hand you're going to run into a lot of Kx/Ax boards that leave you stuck or end up with some fairly coordinated boards that give either of the villains great equity with combo draws. It's not wrong to flat, but without running any flopzilla calcs, pretty sure there's >50% of ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 14th, 2014
Folding AA on flop. So tough to do.
Well...yeah the J8 had is awful by the villain. However, your bet sizing in both hands needs a lot of work. With a pot of $4 facing a bet of $2, raising to $10 is going to narrow villains range to the very top of his range and not allow him to continue with any bluffs/semibluffs and fold some of the small/mid pairs you're ahead of. In that hand, if your plan is to fold to a reraise, I'd flat pre and attempt to build the pot on the turn/river. If you really decide you want to raise flop, something like $6-$7 is a lot more standard and likely to keep more worse hands calling you down. In the ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 14th, 2014
Shove or Fold?
But if OP had a hand that could shove over a 4x, this thread would have never been created.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 14th, 2014
Shove or Fold?
He's not going to switch from minraising to 4x'ing with any two edit: also no way he opens ATC with all the reshove stacks behind
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 13th, 2014
Unlimited Re-Entry MTT Strategy.
I would say the bigger question is: Do your opponents play re-entry MTTs differently than freezeouts' If opponents are playing differently -- e.g., opening a wider range, willing to take more allin flips, not folding as easily, etc. -- then you have to adjust to exploit what they're doing. Personally, I think the way a lot of regs play the re-entries on Merge is terrible and they're burning money over the long-term, but I won't stop them... There's not set rule on when to stop re-entering. Technically, as long as you're +EV it's fine to reenter. Of course, defining when you are/aren't +EV ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 13th, 2014
Getting screwed by three donks in one hand
+1 600/1200 Q3 likely made the correct call Don't get so short waiting for AK next time
Posted in: Bad Beats
tyson219
Jul 12th, 2014
How to read 3 of a kind vs full house.
Yup, exactly what was posted above. Step 1: fold pre. Step 2: don't raise river. Also, raise more on turn, because a min raise accomplishes nothing. You'll never get better hands to fold and you lose value from worse hands that would call a bigger raise.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 12th, 2014
Deep stack - cold 4 bet spot or spew?
It's an okay spot, but not that great. First, even though both players are opening a lot, it's still a 3b of an UTG raise, so it's not as wide of a range as if the initial open was from MP. Second, it's a $2 mtt and I don't see a need to get too crazy. People will hand you chips, so this is often not necessary. I'm still generally fine with the 4b, but definitely need to go bigger preflop. You're giving villain almost 4:1 to call, so he's not folding in position with very much, if any, of his range. I'd more likely 11-11.5 Not much to way about postflop. Villain is aggro and has a wide 3b ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 12th, 2014