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9bb vs LAG fish open and fish call- ICMIZER says get ATC in here? How is this right?
Your shove here is definitely fine. To answer your question, no, there's no way 72o is profitable. You must have something wrong with the calling ranges of the villains. If you have those lower than they should be, it'll appear that ATC is profitable. Can you post a screenshot of the ICMizer setup'
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 21st, 2015
PLO
AKK2ds isn't that strong since you're basically setmining or flush hunting. Hands that create wrap draws -- especially when suited/double suited -- are much stronger beginning hands than high pairs with limited/no straight draw opportunities. Your starting hand isn't bad -- it's just not what I would consider a strong starting hand. With respect to this hand, definitely flatting the flop since a gut shot + second nut flush is not that great of a hand in a multiway pot (especially if you're OOP)
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 18th, 2015
PLO--Preflop Equity Issue
The issue is that AAJ8 unsuited isn't all that strong. If you had something like AAJ8 double suited you'd have closer to 63% equity. It's not a good play by villain, but not surprising for the stakes you're playing.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 16th, 2015
Is this all wrong?
Yeah, agree with the above. Define your expectations for poker. If it's to have fun, deposit an amount you're willing to lose on a regular basis and take shots. If you want to be profitable, bankroll management and a blend of studying, reviewing and playing is necessary.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 15th, 2015
Live + new format.
Agree with the above. On a separate note, have you appealed to Stars re: your ban' It's been 4-5 years+ and there's new ownership. Doesn't hurt to ask....
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 15th, 2015
$35 - 20K GTD Wednesday Challenge 888
Agree with this. The 3b sizing is very suspicious, especially for someone running a 14% 3b. Most people that 3b relentlessly have smaller sizing in order to maximize the EV of the light 3bs. I'd probably fold here because I don't think you're getting folds often enough. I'd also expect him to reshove a lot of small/medium pairs, so he's either nutted or has air here. You do quite terribly against his nutted range, so it's really a question of how often he'll 3b/f...and I don't think it's enough.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 15th, 2015
Just call or shove?
Generally speaking, UTG and UTG+1 are considered EP when 9 handed. UTG+2, UTG+3 are MP and HJ, CO and BTN are LP. I would consider this an MP open. In any case, it is rather irrelevant since this is a clear shove vs an UTG+2 open, whether it's considered an EP or MP open. You need to have a very specific read on villain to fold here -- basically, need evidence that he opens a very narrow range from every spot but LP to even consider a fold. This is even more true when villain has a 50bb stack and should have a wider opening range than normal.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 15th, 2015
QQ overpair against unknown villain, can we find a fold?
Completely agree with the Ginger on this one. @QuietShady -- the reason it's fine to flip here is that you start the hand with
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 15th, 2015
Big 3.30 , bust out hand break down
Hand is bad beat. I disagree with pretty much of all this. You should be playing hands based on whether or not the spot is profitable in the long run. stack sizes are a component of this, but to play tight or loose based solely on your M zone is not a good strategy. Harrington's books are really old. There's some solid fundamental info in them, but relying too much on it is not a good strategy for modern day MTTs
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 6th, 2015
MTT FT Final hand
Your hand is too strong to flat pre vs someone as aggressive as villain. I'd reshove every time.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 5th, 2015
MTT FT Final hand
I'd just reshove preflop. At a FT, taking down a pot without showdown can be better than going to showdown with 55-60% equity. I'd rather just shove here rather than 3b/c and have to get into close spots with broadway hands that he's jamming light.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 5th, 2015
16 left in the Super HR.. 11 pay what's your play?
I think you're asking a question that shouldn't be asked. We can define villains range better and make subsequent streets easier to play by betting flop, especially IP. You put yourself into a spot where you're trying to guess whether or not villain can check flop and call a turn raise with worse. The answer is how often does villain check any of the hands you mentioned' Does he check 99-JJ on that board oop' Seems unlikely unless he expects you to spaz. I'd also expect Ac hands to cbet since they can pick up good turn cards to double barrel. With respect to worse Qx hands, if he's checking ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 4th, 2015
Some Noob percentage questions..
I don't really see the value in a lot of the stats you're looking for. The reason that preflop to flop and postflop to turn/river are most common is that those are the important stats to know. If you're set mining a small pair, the odds of flopping that pair is most important since you're likely to face a cbet. As a result, knowing the turn/river results isn't really all that helpful. In other words, we play poker and face bets one street at a time. Assessing non-all in decisions needs to be done on that one street at a time basis. You can sometimes think forward and calculate implied odds, ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 4th, 2015
What do you think about this hand?
1) Pre is fine from the big blind. 2) Flop is fine as well. You can even c/r this flop sometimes since it hits your range so much more than villains and helps you avoid tricky river spots by showing strength earlier in the hand. 3) A c/r will commit you. I actually prefer leading turn. I'd lead my 9x hands as well since I expect villain to check back a lot of hands here -- including pairs + draws -- so leading can be credible with both strong hands and draws 4) Need more history to decide. It's a very light bluff catch. That said, villain can easily have 67, 78, 68, missed flush draws, ...
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tyson219
Aug 4th, 2015
Four of a kind in river, should i fold the turn?
The hand history isn't loading for me. Can you repost'
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tyson219
Aug 4th, 2015
Calculating MTT ROI w/Excel? (no use of OPR or Sharkscope)
Well, that is the definition of ROI. Not sure what you're looking for... You could calculate the ROI of each tournament and take the average. That will treat each tournament equally which compared to the aforementioned calculation the results are weighted by buyin. If you don't have large variations in buyins, the results would be similar.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Aug 2nd, 2015
Calculating MTT ROI w/Excel? (no use of OPR or Sharkscope)
ROI is simply return on investment: just make the calculation of total profit/total buyins
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tyson219
Jul 31st, 2015
Late stages of $100 MTT, I should just be folding this preflop?
66-77 from that position is a really bad shove though. Agree with rest of your range, but you also have to factor in 4 players left to act, which constrains our range just enough that I can comfortably say I'd rarely call AJss here -- without knowing for sure villain induces the top of his range and shoves beyond what is a profitable nash range. So maybe 5% of the time'
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 29th, 2015
10 10 horrible played: middle of my bigest MTT for now: 100K gtd
@GTO - not knowing the range is exactly why a flat is better. Given that we have very deep effective stacks, the villain is likely to call with the vast majority of his opening range (in fact, I'd call with my entire opening range from UTG). Since we don't know if villain is opening a correct (i.e., tight range) or a wide range, we're stuck guessing his range on every street. In addition, he can easily flat the top of his range and set a value trap. Basically, three issues with your logic: (1) we rarely take the pot down preflop, (2) we don't define villains range because he should be ...
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 29th, 2015
Late stages of $100 MTT, I should just be folding this preflop?
I disagree with Ted. Most people aren't shoving that many Ax/Kx hands for 17bbs from that position. It's a very tight range from most people (
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 29th, 2015
Playing a monster draw OOP
Agree with theginger on this one
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tyson219
Jul 28th, 2015
10 10 horrible played: middle of my bigest MTT for now: 100K gtd
I'm generally not a huge fan of a 3b here. You bloat the pot and you're facing an UTG raise from an unknown, so you have no clue what type of range you're playing against. In addition, with such deep effective stacks, you're rarely getting a preflop fold. I prefer to flat pre and if it results in a multi way pot, so be it... Regarding post flop, I don't see any point in shoving flop. Villain is unlikely to play worse pairs this way, so it's either a hand that beats you or something you're ahead of (like a semibluff with Ax, 55, etc). I'd flat flop and reeval turn
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 28th, 2015
Spot during semi-late stages of a $100 MTT
Check back flop. It's a board texture that hits the villains defend range. We set ourselves up for a lot of bad folds/crying calls when c/r on that board. The bb also has the perfect stack to c/j with and should be jamming a ton of his range ont hat board. Checking back allows you to catch Jx, Qx, Kx, and Ax...which all improve your actual or perceived range and allow you to win the pot at showdown/without a showdown.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 27th, 2015
Late stages of $100 MTT, I should just be folding this preflop?
Yes, fold pre. Although I disagree with above. I'd rather call than shove since reshoving over 50bbs ensures you only get called by hands dominating you. By flatting, you can safely assume no worse hands will reshove behind. Occasionally, 99-TT will, but even those hands will fold some of the time. That said, it doesn't really matter...just fold pre.
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tyson219
Jul 27th, 2015
This is still bugging me... Can I check a set on the turn and give him a free card?
Agree with all the above. Definitely need to keep firing at this pot.
Posted in: Poker Advice
tyson219
Jul 27th, 2015
Help with full tourney reviews can I do it myself? What should I look for?
Reviewing your own MTTs from start to finish is a great way to review your game and you can/should be doing it. Reviewing with a HUD is the best option (if you are asking technically how to do it...I don't know, I use PT4). In terms of what to review, a few (but not a complete list) of things to pay attention to: --Are you missing value in certain spots throughout the tournament' Specifically, are you checking behind turns/rivers when ahead' --Are you missing good light 3b spots' --Would you play the hand differently if you had all the time to think about it' --Would you play the hand ...
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tyson219
Jul 27th, 2015
Late stages of Sunday tournament on FTP.
Yeah, exactly this. Even if you haven't had a spot in a while, 12-13bbs is no reason to panic. You can r/f that spot. Even if it fails, you still have a 10bb stack to shove with in late position.
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tyson219
Jul 27th, 2015
36BB: bust out hand - 37 players remaining
Hand 1: it's a marginal preflop call vs a super tight player. I'd actually flat the flop bet instead of raising. It's a lot easier to rep Jx by flatting and you can get better hands to fold by getting it in on the turn. Hand 2: yeah, it's fine.
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tyson219
Jul 26th, 2015
Is this a completely donk play or not that horrible?
You had 20bbs, pretty normal for a MTT. No need to get panicky. 1. It's marginal. I'd peel most of the time, but I'm very comfortable playing postflop. Given the way you played this hand, you aren't and should just be folding until your postflop abilities improve. 2. It's terrible. You're betting 2.5x pot. If you hand a strong combo draw, 2pr, sets, etc. you would c/r this flop or donk a normal sized bet. You telegraph your hand by taking this line. I'd much rather see you c/r small and jam turn if you're going to do anything here. 3. Yes, standard call because you don't shove any value ...
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tyson219
Jul 26th, 2015
AA slowplayed before set over set
Hand 1: It's been said above...but: 1) Don't play tricky and try to trap. ABC poker is all you need at these stakes 2) Your 3b squeeze, especially OOP, needs to be significantly larger for two reasons. First, simply to build the pot and maximize value. Second, it's a clear tell if you 3b normal with weak hands and small with the top of your range. 3) You must bet flop here so that you get 3 streets of value vs. Qx (which they will have plenty of and will rarely fold on the river) 4) You need to be turn to continue getting value from Qx and also charge flush draws 5) The point of ...
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tyson219
Jul 26th, 2015