DFS Daily Update for 10/8: Week 6 College Football Preview
Welcome back to Week 6 of the college football season, where DraftKingsis offering 17 games on the early slate and 13 games on the late slate. On the other side, FanDuel has 15 games in the early slate and 9 games in the late slate. Staying consistent, we will focus on the early games this week, with 3 lines set over 70 total points in Vegas. Check out real money college football games by visiting FanDueland visiting DraftKings.
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Iowa State 2-2 @ Texas Tech 3-2 2:30 PM CT
Line: -12.5 Texas Tech
O/U: 74
Texas Tech is trying to bounce back after back-to-back losses against top 5 opponents. They bring in the nation’s number one passing offense (423.8 yards/game), while the Cyclones allow 194.8 yards a game through the air. The best part about this game is Tech’s defense is ranked 116th in pass defense and 120th in rush defense. Iowa State has a few players on offense starting to emerge as primary rushers and receivers, so this one is very juicy for DFS.
Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes (8400 DK) (8600 FD) should have a field day against the Cyclone defense. His knee looked just fine last week against Baylor, when he put up 39.5 FPPG while accounting for 4 total TDs.
Texas Tech WR Jakeem Grant (6500 DK) (6900 FD) has caught at least 6 passes in each game, but has only found the end zone 3 times this year. He gets a price reduction this week, so he’s a reasonable play, but we need more TDs.
The rest of the Texas Tech WRs are hit-or-miss and should only be played in GPPs. Last week, two receivers who had a combined one catch for 45 yards in the first four games broke out last week against Baylor. Zach Austin (3800 DK) (5700 FD) and Tony Brown (3600 DK) (6000 FD) each had 5 or more catches for over 100 yards and a TD last week. With Devin Lauderdale and Ian Sadler out, those two plus Reginald Davis (4100 DK) (5700 FD) can be worth taking a flyer on this week.
Texas Tech RB DeAndre Washington (5200 DK) (7100) should also get more touches this week and will be solid in all formats.
Iowa State QB Sam B. Richardson (7300 DK) (7300 FD) is going to be the guy who has to perform well if Iowa State wants to keep up with Tech. Unfortunately, DraftKings has accounted for this, which almost makes him unplayable for me. If you go with Richardson, Allen Lazard (5400 DK) (6100 FD) is becoming the go-to receiver for the Cyclones.
Iowa State RB Mike Warren (6000 DK) (6200 FD) has had big back-to-back games and I got in on him late last week. But again, he was 4k last week; 6k takes a lot of his value away this week, especially if Iowa State aborts the run game early to try and keep up.
#3 Baylor 4-0 @ Kansas 0-4 11:00 AM CT
Line: Baylor -44
O/U: 77
Baylor brings in the best offense in the country, Kansas has one of the worst defenses. This game will not be close and there should be some cause for concern of taking the starters out early in case of a blowout. Luckily, with Art Briles, that will not happen until Baylor is up 50 or so points.
Baylor QB Seth Russell (9300 DK) (9800 FD), found his legs against Texas Tech, adding 81 yards and a pair of TDs to go with his 286 passing yards and 4 TDs last week. I wouldn’t expect him to take off much in a game like this one, but it is good to know later in the season against a team like TCU.
Baylor WR Corey Coleman (7900 DK) (8600 FD), leads the nation with 11 TD receptions after adding 3 more last week against Texas Tech. Last year, Coleman had 3 catches for 167 yards and 2 TDs against the Jayhawks. I don’t foresee his production dipping this week.
Baylor WR Jay Lee (5900 DK) (6200 FD), is the only other consistent receiver so far this year for the Bears. There are plenty of young receivers you could take a cheap flyer on, but Baylor has put an emphasis on the running game this year, so I’d personally stay away.
Baylor RB Shock Linwood (7400 DK) (8100 FD), made me eat my words last week after putting up 37.1 FPs last week. I think we now know for sure that Briles wasn’t kidding around about wanting to run the ball more this year. With that said, Johnny Jefferson (4500 DK) (5600 FD) and Terence Williams (4400 DK) (4900 FD) do get plenty of carries in blowout games. Jefferson looks to be the number two back after last week, but does that mean he gets a bulk of the carries in mop-up time?
Kansas will be starting true freshman QB Ryan Willis (4200 DK) (4500 FD) on Saturday due to injuries. This should add to the Baylor backup RBs more, but Kansas is expected to score around 17 points according to Vegas. Baylor has had a poor pass defense with the exception of the Rice game and Willis doesn’t need much to pay off his salary if you’re looking to punt your QB2.
Kansas WR Tre’ Parmalee (3900 DK) (5700 FD), is about the only WR for Kansas you could take a flyer on.
Kansas RB Ke’aun Kinner (4200 DK) (6100 FD), was a popular play last week against Iowa State after having 5 TDs in the three previous games, but was a complete whiff with only 8 FPs. Does he get it back against a Baylor defense allowing 1.5 rushing TDs a game? Personally, I’d fade the entire KU offense, but to each their own.
Massachusetts 1-3 @ Bowling Green 3-2 1:00 PM CT
Line: Bowling Green -13
O/U: 79
The highest scoring total Vegas has to offer in the early slate features two good/great passing offenses against terrible defenses. Both teams are led by their own star wide receivers and pretty good quarterbacks.
Bowling Green QB Matt Johnson (9400 DK) (9300 FD) is poised for a big game after being more efficient his last two, increasing his completion percentage considerably from the previous two weeks.
Bowling Green WR Roger Lewis (7800 DK) (8200 FD) bounced back from a weak showing at Purdue with his third 200 yard receiving game of the year. This game should be no different, and he should be highly considered in all formats.
Bowling Green RB Travis Greene (5600 DK) (6300 FD) is becoming more of a weapon for the Falcon offense. He has been a factor recently both rushing and receiving and could see a big day against the 115th ranked rush defense in the country.
Massachusetts QB Blake Frohnapfel (7500 DK) (6900 FD) has been hit-or-miss this year, which is expected playing against a few tough defenses, but should be considered against the 113th ranked pass defense in the country.
Massachusetts WR Tajae Sharpe (7200 DK) (6800 FD) is a hot commodity on DraftKings with all the receptions he halls in (over 10 a game), but he has had trouble finding the end zone this year with only 1 TD, hurting his FanDuel value. I expect that to change this week in a high-scoring affair.
Massachusetts WR Marken Michel (4200 DK) (5000 FD), has been coming along slowly this year and finally broke out last week going 7 receptions for 113 yards and 2 TDs.
Other Players Worth Considering
Iowa RB Jordan Canzeri (6200 DK) (5800 FD), has done a phenomenal job taking over for the still banged up LeShun Daniels, even running for 125 yards against a stout Wisconsin defense. Illinois had trouble with North Carolina’s Elijah Hood and Marquise Williams a few weeks back, so don’t be fooled by their 33rd ranked rushing defense.
Ohio State RB Ezekiel Elliott(8500 DK) (9400 FD) where have you been?!? Finally Coach Meyer gave you the ball and Elliott responds with 274 yards and 3 TDs. Even better this week, the Buckeyes host a terrible Maryland team on both offense and defense.
Oklahoma RB Samaje Perine (6700 DK) (7700 FD) has a nice price reduction with the emergence of Baker Mayfield producing from the QB position. However, this one should be in the bag early and Oklahoma can lean on the run game more against a terrible defense.
Qadree Ollison RB Pittsburgh (5200 DK) is listed as the starter after a nice game last week against Va Tech. Virginia is a much weaker defense, so Ollison has great potential in this one.
LSU RB Leonard Fournette(9900 DK) (10000 FD), how could I not put him on here? I liked him before the game got moved to Baton Rouge. South Carolina had trouble against a nonexistent Missouri rushing attack last week. How will they even come close to stopping Fournette? Look for 200 plus yards and 2 plus TDs for the Heisman hopeful.
Minnesota RB Rodney Smith (4400 DK) (6000 FD) will get the bulk of the carries against a bad Purdue defense who let L.J. Scott run all over them last week. Smith is cheap enough to take a flyer on.
Nebraska WR Jordan Westerkamp (4600 DK) (6600 FD) had a terrible game last week vs. Illinois. That said, I do not see Nebraska running it well against Wisconsin and at 4600, Westerkamp has value written all over him in a weak receiving core for this early slate.
Western Kentucky WR Jared Dangerfield (6100 DK) is looking like he is back from the injury that plagued him earlier in the year. This should be another high-scoring game and I like Dangerfield the most, with Taywan Taylor (6000 DK) coming in a close second.
This week features a few big passing attacks where the scores should be high, but it also has a lot of great running backs in a lot of different games. I hope to see everyone out there on the virtual gridiron. Good luck finding the guys who will bring home the bacon, as I see it getting more competitive with some noticeably cheaper pricing this week.
