Join Date:
Blog Entries: 0
RSS Feed
  1. Which would you rather have? Run 14.17 bb/100 ABOVE expectation or run 8.18 bb/100 BELOW expectation? Most likely you’re going…”Duh Gilbert who doesn’t want to run better than expectation?”

    Ok, let me ask you another question. When would you rather have Aces cracked by Pocket Sixes and lose a 30bb pot…the first hand of a tourney when you started with 166bb or on the money bubble for your last 30bb making you the bubble boy? Again you’re going, “Duh, that’s a no brainer. In the first scenario yes a bad beat hurts but I’m still in the tourney. In the second, I’m out of the tourney and worse yet I didn’t make any money”. In the above scenario, your bb/100 of having Aces cracked by Sixes would have the same negative expectation for both cases, yet one seems way worse than the other doesn’t it?

    I bring all this up because how you run early in a tournament can often greatly overshadow your overall bb/100 number. Let’s say you’re the one with the Pocket Sixes in the first hand of a tourney that cracks Aces. But instead of a 30bb pot, let’s say you stack the person. That is going to hugely inflate your bb/100 showing you running greatly above expectation. Flip the scenario and now you get Aces cracked for say a 10bb stack and your bb/100 below EV takes a hit but not too bad.

    So let’s go back to the beginning of this post. Those were my numbers for the first 10 days of August and then after a day off, the next 4 days after that. During those first 10 days that I ran +14.17/100bb, I was early in tournaments running hot and building stacks. However, in the late stages of tourney’s I was either getting bad beated right at the money bubble or shortly thereafter. As an example, I played the Nightly $109 on Merge 6 times in those first 10 days and 4 of those times I was either the stone bubble or 1 off the stone bubble. In each of those 4 times I had QQ+ and each time I was ahead pre-flop. Long story short, even though my bb/100 showed I was running hot, in real money I had lost about $1300.

    After the day off…a mental health day if you will…I was back on the tables and over the next 4 days I ran horrible early but great late. Picked up a win, had a 3rd place in the Big Ticket, then won the Nightly $109 and the next night was set-up for back-to-back wins but finished 4th after a bad beat. All in all, despite running 8.18 bb/100 below EV I had about $7300 in profit.

    The moral of the story is, while over time your bb/100 will all equal out with you running both good and bad, both early and late, looking at it daily or even monthly doesn’t tell the whole story. In fact, overall for August my bb/100 was below expectation despite the fact I had a very profitable month.

    Also we tend to remember/dwell on bad things in our lives much more than we do the positive. I once saw a study that showed for every negative things someone says about us it takes 15 positive things to offset it. I think it’s the same way in poker…we tend to remember the bad beats we take way more than the ones we put on others. Overall this can lead to us having a very negative attitude, which in turn will hinder our play because we’re thinking that the worst is going to happen or we tell ourselves, “I just run so bad” which impacts how we play a hand.

    So with all that said, keeping making the right decisions pre-flop, and on each street and let the cards falls as they may. Yes, go ahead and check your stats is you want but remember..Not All Variance is Created Equal!

    In addition to a great month on the tables, it was a great month off as well. It was good to get back into the swing of things at church after my vacation and we’re getting settled into our new home as well. I was also honored to be asked by fellow pastor and poker player Rob Gardner to be on his Twitch Stream (www.Twitch.tv/pokerpastor) for an interview. You can watch the full interview on his Twitch VOD or you can watch it here on YouTube. In it we covered a wide-range of topics covering poker, life and faith. The feedback we’ve been getting has been very positive. Give it a watch and let me know what you think.

    As for my actual August stats, let’s take a look…
    157..…Tournaments Played
    64…..Cashes (40.8%)
    22..…. Final Tables
    6.......Top 3 Finishes
    4……Wins
    $14,908.28 in total cashes (47.50% ROI)

    Now onto my Merge up-date. For those not familiar with my blog, Merge stopped allowing Pocket Fives to track scores on September 5th 2016, so what I’m doing here is tracking where I would have been had they not stopped tracking. I do play some on other networks but Merge gets out 95% of my volume so I thought it would be fun and motivating to keep things going as if though it never stopped. I use Poker Dominator to track all tourney’s so these are the most accurate and up-to-date numbers as of the last day of the month.

    Merge Lifetime Total: $520,158.42
    Career Lifetime Total: $585,867.18
    Career number of Cashes: 4544

    Follow my monthly results in real-time by following me on Twitter: @YourPokerPastor

    Thanks for reading...please post a comment with your thoughts or anything you'd like me to address in future blogs.

  2. I played my first ever live tournament this august which happened to be the Unibet Open Bucharest main event , I won a 2k euro package(buyin,travel exp,hotel) from a freeoll,anyways it was the highest buyin(1100euros) I have played.However I did make a bad hero call .It happened to be day 1a of the main event and my connecting flight was delayed by 3 hrs so I landed at like 3 am the day I was scheduled to play ,play started at 11am I late regged at the last level which was 7 hrs late since I slept like 5 hours & I had breakfast and then was hanging with my family who came with me for a vacay since we went to turkey afterwards.I think it was a combination of being tired and jet lagged even though that shouldnt matter if you dont make mistakes chances you bust will be less.I was yawning through out the tournament,I was short stack after the bad call and went all in 3 times for double ups with a short stack before the bust a7 loses to 33 (it was prolly 1hr before end of day 1A & the guy who busted me finished 5th for like 25k).Well I did meet some unibet pros, I met Dara O' Kearney at breakfast on day of play .The next day I met David Vanderheyden (who I follow on twitch)and his family and David Lappin(follow on twitch) and his family and Espen Uhlen Jorstad(uhlenpoker on twitch) and also on my way back I also happened to recognize and meet 888 poker pro Sophia lovgren in the elevator where she was going to play on day 1b and I was going to my room.I wished her luck ,while I went to duck lol.Later when I went to the restaurant for dinner I met Ian simpson who I also like and follow on twitch who invited me to join his table and met wacky jaxon (P5S Moderator)who joined too.There were 2 player partys in which Molly Bloom was also invited,but the first one was on the day I busted and was too sleepy and 2nd one was on the day I had gone to see DRACULAS PALACE in Translyvannia called Bran Castle which is the biggest castle which is far from Bucharest and I was tired by the time I got back.The day before I visited the most crowded beach I have ever been too called Mamaia beach.The trip to Turkey was amazing too,visited many tourist attractions,most suprising is seeing Moses's Cane (the one that seperated the sea with the help of God) from the egyptian army it was at Topkapi Palace they also had John The Baptist hand armour and other sacred stuff.But no one is allowed to take pictures there since its sacred.




    Peace

  3. So our housing situation is finally all resolved! Still unpacking some boxes and doing little projects but was able to get back to a normal poker grind this month. The truth is over the first half of the year, I was wore out…some nights I wasn’t sure if I’d be able to keep my eyes open playing, so in addition to the low volume that I’ve already documented in previous blogs, my average buy-in was way down as well. In fact, it was all the way down to $37.33.

    Going into July though I knew I’d be able to get back to normal so I started playing my normal games again. For July the ABI was $45.54. Now that may not sound like much of a difference, but that basically meant adding back in the $109’s and the Big Ticket $162 on Sunday’s. Sure enough on July 1st in the Big Ticket I finished 4th and the month just kept getting better from there. Included was a win in the Nightly $109,, two days after I had finished 2nd in it.

    Overall the month didn’t crack my all-time top 10 but it was by far my best month of this year and it will help with all the new house expenses as well as momentum for the 2nd half of 2018. On a side note, this was also the month where I cracked the half-million mark in cashes just on Merge alone!

    The picture below was from one of my Sunday grinds sitting out by the pool. Our new neighborhood is super relaxing and every day we see wildlife, mainly deer, wandering through our yard. One of my next steps is putting in a poker table so I can host some home games for friends of mine.


    As for the online grind, here is a break-down of our July results
    153..…Tournaments Played
    63…..Cashes (41.2%)
    19..…. Final Tables
    8.......Top 3 Finishes
    2……Wins

    $14,829.83 in total cashes (112.82% ROI)

    Now onto my Merge up-date. For those not familiar with my blog, Merge stopped allowing Pocket Fives to track scores on September 5th 2016, so what I’m doing here is tracking where I would have been had they not stopped tracking. I do play some on other networks but Merge gets out 95% of my volume so I thought it would be fun and motivating to keep things going as if though it never stopped. I use Poker Dominator to track all tourney’s so these are the most accurate and up-to-date numbers as of the last day of the month.

    Merge Lifetime Total: $505,294.67
    Career Lifetime Total: $570,958.90
    Career number of Cashes: 4480

    Follow my monthly results in real-time by following me on Twitter: @YourPokerPastor
    Thanks for reading...please post a comment with your thoughts or anything you'd like me to address in future blogs.

 
Page 1 of 14891 2 3 11 51 101 501 1001

Return to Blogs

Quick Navigation